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SCP-5819 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5819
Expected annual
$1.8M
One-time setup
$3.1M
Annual recurring
$1.7M
Personnel
13
One-time setup and contingency funding are the largest upfront costs (secure locker, quarantine suite, MTF equipment, research and contingency funds). Recurring costs are dominated by site staff wages (research + dedicated guards), ongoing research/monitoring, and administrative/public-safety/corporate liaison budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.1M
Emergency Outbreak Contingency Fund $1.2M
[#19] One-time contingency fund to erect temporary quarantine wards, surge medical response and large-scale MTF mobilization in a major outbreak.
Dr Pepper Substitute Development $625K
[#13] Development/negotiation costs to produce a scientifically acceptable Dr Pepper-branded substitute or secure corporate cooperation (one-time development/negotiation).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $475K
[#12] Startup costs for research program, lab experiments, instrumentation and initial testing capacity.
Equipment $252K
[#7, #17] MTF rapid response equipment (vehicles, comms, containment cases) and one-time cybersecurity / secure-server hardware purchase.
Facilities $188K
[#1, #9] Combined estimate for reinforced containment locker upgrade and medical quarantine suite buildout (secure room, environmental controls, fire suppression, isolation room buildout).
Modeling And Policy Planning $162K
[#25] Epidemiological and societal mitigation modeling, interagency planning and policy drafting for worst-case scenarios.
Legal And Corporate One Time $125K
[#14] Initial legal retainer and negotiations with Keurig Dr Pepper / distributors for trademarks, labeling access and cover arrangements.
Retrieval And Initial Recovery Operation $30K
[#4] Field team search, travel, inspections and temporary MTF deployment to recover all 24 cans if dispersed.
Training And Sop Development One Time $22K
[#18] Initial SOP development and training program creation for Site-73 staff, MTFs and liaised agencies.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.7M/yr
Staff Wages $565K/yr
[#5, #6] Salaries and benefits for 1 lead researcher + 2 assistants and 8–12 rotating site-level security guards (annual total).
Research And Monitoring $262K/yr
[#12, #23] Ongoing research program costs (staff, supplies, testing) plus forensic and behavioral analysis efforts to determine mechanism and countermeasures.
Miscellaneous Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#24] Facilities overhead, admin support, utilities share and contingency petty cash (15–25% of recurring operational budget).
Cover Story And Legal $160K/yr
[#14, #16] Ongoing legal budget and public-safety / misinformation/cover costs (PSAs, reimbursements, small-scale cover-ups).
Logistics And Transport $100K/yr
[#8] Annual budget for MTF operational deployments (fuel, per-diem, overtime, consumables) beyond baseline readiness.
Long Term Healthcare Reserves $100K/yr
[#20] Reserve funding for long-term treatment, disability support or lifetime care obligations for chronic cases.
Dr Pepper Substitute Production $85K/yr
[#13] Small-scale production and distribution of an acceptable Dr Pepper substitute (annual production/distribution costs).
Medical Care Acute And Chronic $75K/yr
[#10] Ongoing acute and short-term medical treatment costs for affected individuals and some chronic-care provisioning (per-patient costs are variable).
Public Health Surveillance $60K/yr
[#21] Periodic sampling of Dr Pepper supply chains, liaison with food safety units and regional surveillance.
Chain Of Command Clearance $25K/yr
[#22] Ongoing clearance processing, polygraphs and background monitoring for personnel with access to SCP-5819 information.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#11] Controlled beverage supply and consumables for medically-sustaining containment (procurement, labeling, inventory).
Cybersecurity And Data Storage $12K/yr
[#17] Ongoing cybersecurity, secure storage, encryption and periodic audits for containment logs and medical records.
Training And Refresher $12K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training and SOP updates for staff, MTFs and external agency liaisons.
Cctv And Monitoring $9K/yr
[#2] 24/7 recording, redundant cameras, motion/thermal sensors and remote alarm monitoring costs.
Evidence Handling And Disposal $6K/yr
[#15] Secure chain-of-custody, analysis and hazardous disposal / incineration of confiscated SCP-5819-B cans.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance, calibration and integrity testing for locks, sensors and environmental controls.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.7M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Routine containment year with no major public outbreaks; standard research, staff, monitoring and occasional small deployments.
no_public_outbreak containment_secure routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.9M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Single public manifestation or small cluster causing several conversions requiring multiple MTF deployments, acute medical treatment and extra public messaging.
single_public_manifestation small_cluster_conversions additional_MTF_deployments
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Successful research outcome requires rapid scale-up of substitute production and corporate/legal operations to supply afflicted individuals at scale.
effective_substitute_identified need_for_small-scale_manufacturing expanded_distribution
🚨 Major Breach $4.7M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Widespread public conversions leading to mass medical response, large-scale MTF mobilization and activation of emergency contingency funds and quarantine surge capacity.
mass_public_transmission multi-site_outbreak activation_of_contingency_fund
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 3 [#5] 1 lead researcher (Level 3/5819 clearance) + 2 research assistants per analyst notes; staffing covered in staff_wages.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#6] Dedicated site-level security guards (8–12 range; midpoint used). These are the staff-level security positions included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges but many figures are wide (orders-of-magnitude for contingency, development and long-term care). Scenario probabilities and mid-point estimates introduce moderate uncertainty; high-variance one-time contingency items reduce confidence.
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