SCP-5821 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-5821
Expected annual
$100.3M
One-time setup
$1.2B
Annual recurring
$85.3M
Personnel
117
One-time capital and contingency funding dominate costs (major line items include hardened facilities, backup sites, transport assets, reserves and catastrophic contingency funds), while recurring annual costs are driven by security staffing, memetic R&D, surveillance/sigint, detention/legal/PR, and medical/psych services.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2B
Societal Collapse Contingency $1.0B
[#25] Order-of-magnitude one-time reserve for worst-case societal-collapse contingency (policy-level; highly speculative).
Financial Reserve $60.0M
[#24] Internal financial reserve/shell-entity capitalization to cover losses, replacement assets and cover stories.
Facilities $30.5M
[#1, #2] Secure primary hardened residential containment compound and a hardened secondary/backup safehouse (land, construction, hardening, CCTV, Faraday shielding).
Crisis Response Fund $30.0M
[#15] One-time contingency reserve to cover mass-incident rapid relocation, emergency medical/surgical and replacement assets.
Transport Armored Assets $14.0M
[#7] One-time procurement of armored vehicles, tactical helicopters and related extraction assets.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $13.2M
[#10, #23] Initial memetics laboratory buildout and additional facility setup for long-term neutralization program.
Decoys And Doubles $1.8M
[#12] Production and setup of high-quality decoys, doubles, animatronics and deepfake infrastructure.
Anti Drone Systems $1.2M
[#8] Initial purchase and installation of anti-drone jammers, interceptor hardware, nets, and detection systems.
Legal Crisis Fund $1.0M
[#13] Initial crisis fund for immediate legal/PR actions and emergency cover-ups.
Power And It Setup $650K
[#18] High-availability power (generators, UPS) and secure communications/IT redundancy initial setup.
Training Facility $500K
[#19] Buildout of training facility for PTF-Lambda-27 scenario and memetic-resistance training.
Equipment $250K
[#9] Initial surveillance/servers/hardware setup for global monitoring and signals intelligence.
Medical Equipment $250K
[#6] On-site ER-level medical kit and trauma equipment initial procurement.
Pharmaceuticals Initial $250K
[#17] Initial procurement of sedatives, long-acting tranquilizers and non-lethal suppression stock.
Psych Setup $200K
[#4] One-time setup costs for specialized psychological screening systems and rotation/monitoring infrastructure.
Vetting Setup $100K
[#16] One-time setup costs for continuous background monitoring systems and MMIs.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $85.3M/yr
Long Term Neutralization Program $25.0M/yr
[#23] Multi-year large-scale program to develop mass inoculation/cognitive countermeasures (ambitious option).
Research And Monitoring $12.5M/yr
[#10] Ongoing memetic analysis, lab operations and core R&D budget (baseline memetics program).
Detention Costs $10.0M/yr
[#14] Annual cost to detain, incarcerate or indefinitely contain perpetrators (assumes tens of detainees annually).
Staff Wages $9.0M/yr
[#3] 24/7 PTF rotations and armed guard staffing (approx. ~60 personnel fully-loaded).
Inoculation Trials $6.0M/yr
[#11] Secure human trials, regulatory, cohort management and safety/containment during inoculation research.
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#13] Annual legal, PR, media-control operations and cover-story budgets.
Surveillance And Sigint $3.5M/yr
[#9] Global monitoring, analysts, cloud compute, OSINT and clandestine SIGINT operations.
Executive Protection $2.1M/yr
[#5] Dedicated close-protection team salaries, advance teams and personal medic for SCP-5821-1.
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#7] Operating costs for armored vehicles, helicopters, aircraft, fuel, maintenance and transport crews.
International Liaison $1.8M/yr
[#21] Diplomatic, legal and liaison costs for cross-jurisdictional incidents and evacuations.
Psych Services $1.5M/yr
[#4] Recurring costs for psychological screening, rotation therapy, counseling and pharmacological interventions.
Anti Corruption $1.2M/yr
[#20] Anti-corruption controls, compensation for secrecy, audits and occasional counter-insider measures.
Accounting Overhead $1.2M/yr
[#24] Ongoing accounting, shell corporations, fund management and financial cover-story overhead.
Medical Care $1.1M/yr
[#6] Recurring medical staff, on-call trauma surgeon, psychiatric care and medical supplies.
Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr
[#18] Building maintenance, Faraday/SCIF upkeep, generators/UPS operations and other site maintenance.
Training Operations $650K/yr
[#19] Ongoing tactical, memetic-resistance and rotation training operations.
Decoy Maintenance $600K/yr
[#12] Replacement and upkeep costs for physical decoys, animatronics and media elements.
Public Health Unrest Mitigation $500K/yr
[#22] Baseline support for local policing, compensation and minor civil-unrest mitigation (scales up dramatically in outbreak).
Vetting And Monitoring $350K/yr
[#16] Continuous background monitoring, polygraphs, MMIs and behavioral analytics for personnel.
Supplies And Consumables $200K/yr
[]
Anti Drone Maintenance $200K/yr
[#8] Maintenance, licensing and operational costs for anti-drone and EW systems.
Pharmaceuticals Restock $125K/yr
[#17] Recurring restocking of sedatives, restraint pharmaceuticals and non-lethal supplies.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $85.3M/yr
82.9% probability / year
Normal year with active containment, ongoing R&D and no major incidents.
steady containment no major attacks routine R&D progress
🚨 Minor Incident $90.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized attack or attempted assassination requiring medical response, asset replacement, short-term relocations and PR/legal action.
assassination attempt limited leak small-scale mob action
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $135.3M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$50.0M vs baseline
Successful/provocative memetic R&D result that requires rapid scale-up of trials/distribution infrastructure in a single year.
promising inoculation regulatory approval needs large-scale trial rollout
🚨 Major Breach $185.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Major containment breach or sustained coordinated attack leading to relocations, many casualties, mass detention and heavy PR/legal exposure.
coordinated multi-site attack large public leak mass conversion cluster
🚨 Catastrophic Societal Collapse $10.1B/yr
0.1% probability / year +$10.0B vs baseline
Rare global-level escalation where memetic potency causes widescale mass-action, requiring national/multinational military and societal-level intervention.
pandemic-level memetic outbreak widespread riots/cannibalism national emergency declaration
👥 Personnel 117 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 60 [#3, #19] PTF-Lambda-27 rotations and perimeter/hard-site security staffing.
Executive Protection 8 [#5] Dedicated close-protection specialists for SCP-5821-1.
Research Scientist / Memetics 12 [#10, #23, #11] Core memetics researchers, trial coordinators and long-term neutralization program staff.
Analyst / SIGINT 6 [#9] Surveillance, OSINT and signals intelligence analysts.
Medical Officer 4 [#6] On-site trauma/medical staff and psychiatric care.
Psychologist / Clinical Staff 4 [#4, #16] Psychological screening, rotation therapy and ongoing counseling staff.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#18, #8] Power/IT engineers and technical maintenance for Faraday, generators and anti-drone systems.
Training Instructor 4 [#19] Tactical and memetic-resistance training instructors.
Administrative Staff 4 [#24, #13] Administrative and accounting staff supporting cover operations and reserves.
Legal / PR 4 [#13, #24] Legal counsel, PR operatives and cover-story management.
Vetting & Security HR 2 [#16, #20] Continuous background monitoring, MMIs, polygraph and anti-insider controls.
Logistics / Transport Crew (pilots, drivers) 6 [#7, #21] Pilots, drivers and transport crew for armored vehicles, helicopters and evacuation logistics.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from wide ranges in analyst notes, heavy model uncertainty due to the memetic nature of SCP-5821 and large tail-risk contingencies; many items (reserves, societal-collapse costs, long-term R&D scale) are highly speculative.
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