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SCP-5885 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-5885
Expected annual
$47.6M
One-time setup
$21.1M
Annual recurring
$46.4M
Personnel
118
Estimated one-time setup capital is approximately $21.1M, with recurring program costs of roughly $46.35M/yr. Major ongoing drivers are field staff wages, legal/cover-up operations (including international contingency and PR), surveillance/cyber operations, and a program contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $21.1M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $9.0M
[#12] Seed lab buildout and specialized instrumentation for temporal/physics research (tachyon detectors, quantum-clock labs, etc.).
Equipment $6.4M
[#9, #10, #11, #15, #17, #22] Transport purchase (vans/helicopter capital), portable Faraday/EMP kits, radiation/EM capture equipment initial purchase, secure comms/network hardware, medical equipment kits, and long-term cryopreservation startup equipment.
Facilities $4.1M
[#1, #14] Regional rapid-response base buildouts and cold-storage/sample-archive facility buildout (midpoint estimates).
Surveillance Development $1.0M
[#5] Development of automated scraping, NLP pipelines, and bespoke surveillance/detection software (one-time development).
Cyber Tooling Development $300K
[#6] Development of plausible-forgery tooling and suppression toolchain (one-time).
Insurance Setup $300K
[#21] Setup costs for shell companies, insurance pools, and plausible-deniability infrastructure (one-time legal/structural setup).
Program Estimates Summary $0
[#27] Reference summary of program-scale estimates; no additional one-time cost added here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $46.4M/yr
Staff Wages $13.2M/yr
[#3, #4, #6] Field rapid-response team salaries (100 personnel across 10 bases), specialized forensic staff, and cyber-operations team salaries (midpoint estimates).
Cover Story And Legal $10.2M/yr
[#7, #18, #19, #20, #21, #23] Legal/cover-up payments, public-relations/misinformation campaigns, archivist/document modification operations, international legal/diplomatic contingencies, insurance maintenance, and emergency legal/medical rapid-response funds.
Contingency And Escalation Reserve $6.9M/yr
[#26] Contingency reserve (estimated at ~17.5% of recurring operating budget midpoint to cover unpredictable high-cost incidents).
Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr
[#12, #24, #22, #5] Ongoing temporal/physics research staff and consumables, health-monitoring programs, long-term sample storage costs, and surveillance/cloud feed operational costs.
Facilities Maintenance $3.4M/yr
[#2, #14, #11, #9, #15] Ongoing base rent/utilities/repairs, cold-storage maintenance/power, EM/radiation equipment calibration, vehicle leases/maintenance, and secure network/cloud operations.
Witness Management $2.9M/yr
[#8] Witness relocation, housing, settlements, and enforcement (assumes midpoint incident witness rates and costs).
Administration Overhead $2.0M/yr
[#25] Program management, finance, HR, internal security, audit and compliance staff and overhead.
Training And Exercises $1.5M/yr
[#16] Regular regional training, simulated recoveries and legal/cultural preparedness exercises.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#9] Recurring leasing, fuel, maintenance and ad hoc airlift/charter costs for rapid transport fleet.
Supplies And Consumables $1.2M/yr
[#13, #17] Forensic consumables per incident (autopsy kits, sequencing reagents) and recurring replacement PPE/consumables.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $46.4M/yr
72.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with daily events managed without major public exposure or large-scale incidents.
daily recoveries executed on schedule no large public exposures regular research and maintenance activities
🚨 Minor Incident $48.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Localized high-visibility incident requiring extra legal payments, witness relocation, emergency PR and additional field deployments.
unexpected witness media coverage local authority interference small-scale operational failures
🚨 Major Breach $61.4M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Large-scale exposure or diplomatic crisis requiring extensive legal/diplomatic payouts, large witness relocation, emergency extraction, and international operations.
mass witness involvement cross-border political/diplomatic incident significant public/media exposure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $54.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$8.0M vs baseline
Significant experimental result triggers a planned scale-up of research capability (new labs/equipment/hiring) in a single year.
promising tachyon/temporal detection results decision to invest in expanded experimental program
👥 Personnel 118 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 100 [#3] Rapid-response field teams: ~10 staff per base × 10 bases; fully-burdened headcount estimate.
Research Scientist / Forensic Specialist 8 [#4] Specialized forensic staff (pathologists, anthropologists, toxicologists) across program; headcount scaled to midpoint cost.
Cyber Operations / IT Staff 10 [#6] Cyber-operations and records suppression team (admins, analysts, tooling operators) sized to match recurring cyber ops budget midpoint.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to highly speculative technical components, wide ranges provided in source notes, and program design sensitivity to posture (centralized vs. global). Many line items (temporal research, diplomatic contingencies) are inherently uncertain.
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