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SCP-5916 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-5916
Expected annual
$49.8M
One-time setup
$46.5M
Annual recurring
$48.3M
Personnel
32
Estimated initial capital costs are roughly $46,500,000, driven primarily by ship/boat/aircraft purchases, sensor/ROV fleets, and tagging hardware. Recurring annual operations are roughly $48,285,000 per year, driven by logistics (ships/aircraft/fuel), large salvage/incident reserves, and ongoing diversion/compensation/legal programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $46.5M
Equipment $29.0M
[#1, #2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #7] Initial purchase/procurement of satellite/acoustic tags (20), 1 research vessel purchase, 2–3 patrol boats, 1 aircraft purchase (if owning), distributed buoy/hydrophone array deployment, ROVs/work-class ROV + crane rigging, and tagging/deployment gear.
Planning Contingency Reserve $7.8M
[#25] Planning contingency reserve (20% of initial capital estimate) to cover unanticipated capital costs, replacements, and escalation.
Legal Reserve One Time $5.0M
[#23] Initial seed for legal indemnity / compensation reserve (standing fund seed).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#9, #16, #18, #12] Initial secure telemetry/software backend deployment, R&D lab setup, autopsy/biobank setup, and initial database development for athlete monitoring.
Sapient Interaction Setup $1.8M
[#17] Shipboard retrofit / communications and translator suite for SCP-5916-10 interaction (one-time retrofit option).
Facilities $500K
[#21] Land-based office fit-out, secure comms hubs, storage and regional facility fit-out.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $48.3M/yr
Incident Response And Salvage Reserve $10.0M/yr
[#13] Annual contingency/reserve for deep-water salvage, wreckage recovery, forensics and urgent containment operations.
Logistics And Transport $8.2M/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #24] Crew/maintenance and operations for owned research vessel(s), patrol boats maintenance/crewing, aircraft flight hours/ops, and fleet-level transport costs.
Contingency Neutralization Reserve $5.5M/yr
[#20] On-call contract/reserve fund for potential military support or kinetic neutralization options and legal cover arrangements.
Staff Wages $5.3M/yr
[#8] Loaded salaries for MTF personnel, marine biologists, ROV pilots, medics, and support staff (20–40 personnel); includes training/certifications.
Legal Indemnity And Compensation Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#23] Standing reserve for lawsuits, hush payments, retained counsel and long-term indemnity.
Diversion Compensation And Operational Payments $3.5M/yr
[#10, #11] Compensation and charter/diversion payments to airlines/cruise lines and operational payments to secure reroutes and cooperation (~planning fund for diversions).
Energy And Fuel $3.0M/yr
[#24] Fuel and energy for ships, aircraft and other sustained maritime/aerial operations.
Cover Story And Legal $2.2M/yr
[#10, #14] Liaison office administrative costs and sustained cover-up/legal/diplomatic program funding.
Local Economic Mitigation $1.8M/yr
[#19] Payments and mitigation programs for fisheries, local maritime industries and economic impacts of exclusion zones.
Research And Monitoring $1.6M/yr
[#5, #9, #16] Buoy/hydrophone maintenance and data comms, telemetry hosting and software maintenance, and ongoing R&D program funding.
Facilities Maintenance $600K/yr
[#21] Annual overhead: housing, power, uplinks, insurance, depreciation and regional facility upkeep.
Supplies And Consumables $560K/yr
[#1, #7, #18, #6] Annual replacement tags/consumables, tagging/capture expendables, veterinary consumables, and ROV small maintenance parts.
Public Relations And Memetic $550K/yr
[#15] Media buys, memetic containment campaigns and psychological operations to manage public attention during incidents.
Intelligence Athlete Monitoring $325K/yr
[#12] Ongoing analyst salaries and monitoring costs to screen manifests, liaise with boxing organizations and operate the athlete database.
Training Exercises $175K/yr
[#22] Regular drills, tabletop exercises and coordination with coast guards/airlines/shipping companies.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $48.3M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine monitoring, maintenance, training, and standing reserves used only for planning; no major incidents or large salvage events.
no major incidents regular tag losses and maintenance only routine diversions and liaison activity
🚨 Minor Incident $49.8M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Single localized incident (aircraft/boat impact or lost tag leading to small salvage + PR/legal action) requiring elevated salvage, targeted PR and diversion compensation.
single aircraft or vessel loss lost tag leading to targeted recapture small-scale salvage operation
🚨 Major Salvage $68.3M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Major deep-water salvage or multi-party incident requiring large salvage operations, extended forensic work, and large-scale legal/PR response.
deep-ocean crash recovery multiple fatalities or high-publicity event extended salvage and forensic needs
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $123.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous incidents or a high-profile international exposure requiring military-grade neutralization, massive salvage, diplomatic interventions, and large compensation payouts.
large-scale public exposure uncontrollable mobile instance(s) requirement for kinetic/military response
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#8] Field operatives for tagging, containment and response (MTF Gamma teams).
Research Scientist 4 [#8, #16] Marine biologists and research staff for behavior study and R&D programs.
ROV Pilot / Technician 3 [#6, #8] ROV pilots and maintenance technicians to operate and service submersibles.
Medical Officer 2 [#8, #18] Medics and veterinary staff for field trauma and care; vet support for specimens.
Engineer / Maintenance 3 [#2, #3, #4, #21] Ship/aircraft/shore infrastructure engineers and maintenance crew.
Administrative Staff 3 [#10, #14, #21] Admin, logistics and liaison personnel for coordination and cover operations.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#8] Program director / senior oversight.
Communications / Intelligence Analyst 4 [#12, #9] Analysts for athlete screening, manifests, telemetry monitoring and secure communications.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to large ranges in analyst notes, dependence on geographic factors, government cooperation, uncertain incident frequency/severity, and the unusual/sapient nature of SCP-5916-10 which adds ethical and legal unknowns.
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