SCP-5931 — SCP-5931 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-5931 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-5931

Expected annual

$17.8M

One-time setup

$19.1M

Annual recurring

$17.6M

Personnel

Estimated one-time setup costs are approximately $19.07M, with ongoing annual operations around $16.59M; main drivers are personnel wages, informant/payments and R&D/monitoring operations.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $19.1M

Contingency Reserve $11.0M

[#23] Redeployable contingency/scale-up reserve for outbreak scenarios.

Undercover Initial $2.4M

[#4] Initial costs for deep-cover placements, false employment histories, relocation and identity setup.

Facilities $1.9M

[#13, #14] Vault build-out and secure laboratory/containment facility build-out.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.8M

[#12, #16] Initial SEM/CT and specialized forensic equipment plus initial R&D program funding and lab setup.

Equipment $1.1M

[#6, #7, #8, #24] Vehicle purchases, covert comms/electronics procurement & installation, initial cyber tooling, and initial data/IT hardware.

Training Program Initial $525K

[#21] Initial program funding for undercover/forensic/legal training and recruitment setup.

Identity Fabrication Initial $275K

[#22] Initial creation of legal/financial identities, shell companies and forged records.

Forensic Collection Setup $100K

[#11] Team kit, training and vehicles for forensic evidence collection setup.

Summary Envelope $0

[#26] Illustrative summary budget envelope (note 26 is a summary statement; not double-counted).

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $17.6M/yr

Staff Wages $4.3M/yr

[#2, #3] Dedicated analysts/case officers and MTF-Epsilon-23 operatives (salaries, benefits, overtime).

Research And Monitoring $3.8M/yr

[#1, #12, #16, #15] Continuous monitoring subscriptions and annual research/lab operations including forensic lab operations, R&D recurring budget, and specialized imaging.

Informants Payments $2.8M/yr

[#18] Payments to informants, corrupt officials, and fixers.

Facilities Maintenance $1.5M/yr

[#5, #14, #13] Safehouse rents/utilities and secure facility lease plus vault security/maintenance.

Cover Story And Legal $1.1M/yr

[#17, #10] Legal/PR contractors and autopsy report alteration/coroner interfacing costs.

Cyber Ops Recurring $850K/yr

[#8] Ongoing OSINT/HUMINT/cyber operations, influence and digital cover-story work.

Forensic Lab Ops $600K/yr

[#12] Annual forensic ballistics and materials analysis lab operations and contracted testing.

Amnesticization Medical $512K/yr

[#9] Medical amnestic administration, pre/post monitoring and emergency care for witnesses.

Undercover Sustainment $500K/yr

[#4] Ongoing sustainment costs for long-term undercover placements.

Logistics And Transport $464K/yr

[#6, #11, #19] Vehicle maintenance/fuel/insurance, forensic field operations annual costs, and evidence/mortuary logistics.

Specialized Imaging $260K/yr

[#15] Annual costs for MRI/CT, histology, toxicology and genetic testing per subject caseload.

Training $250K/yr

[#21] Recurring training courses for infiltration, forensic tradecraft and amnestic administration.

Identity Maintenance $175K/yr

[#22] Ongoing costs to maintain fabricated identities, shell companies and associated records.

Covert Comms Maintenance $125K/yr

[#7] Annual replacement, maintenance and storage for covert comms and surveillance kit.

Vault Maintenance $125K/yr

[#13] Secure evidence storage and vault ongoing security/maintenance (also referenced in facilities_maintenance).

Data It Operations $125K/yr

[#24] Encrypted case management, secure databases, backups and cybersecurity defenses operations.

Supplies And Consumables $85K/yr

[#25] PPE, evidence bags, medications, office supplies, petty cash.

Psychological Support $85K/yr

[#20] Counseling, debriefing and medical care for operatives and undercover staff.

Legal Pr Additional $0/yr

[]

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $17.6M/yr

88.0% probability / year

Normal year with routine monitoring, investigations, and containment operations; no major surge or outbreak.

sporadic incidents no major spike in fatalities

🚨 Minor Incident $17.6M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$15K vs baseline

Localized spike in incidents requiring surge staffing, additional amnestic events and short-term leasing/overtime.

cluster of deaths over weeks increased eyewitnesses requiring mass amnesticization

🚨 Major Outbreak $30.6M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$13.0M vs baseline

Significant escalation / mass-event requiring full contingency reserve deployment, large-scale detentions, mass amnesticization and emergency hiring/leasing.

mass casualty event rapid geographic spread or media exposure

👥 Personnel 32 total

Role	Count	Notes
Intelligence Analyst / Case Officer	9	[#2] Midpoint of 6–12 analysts assigned to review feeds, triage and coordinate field tasking.
Security Officer / MTF Agent	23	[#3] Midpoint of 15–30 MTF operatives assigned to infiltration, field containment and response.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, but many estimates are wide and dependent on incident frequency and operational aggressiveness, producing moderate uncertainty.

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