SCP-5952 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-5952
Expected annual
$5.4M
One-time setup
$13.5M
Annual recurring
$5.2M
Personnel
28
Initial one-time capital costs are dominated by a conditional reinforced containment suite and lab buildout (~$13.5M total one-time across all contingencies), while annual recurring costs are driven primarily by personnel (MTF rotations, liaison, observers, and research) and partnership/legal obligations (~$5.17M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $13.5M
Long Shot Contingency $10.0M
[#27] Long-shot contingency for forced entry / litigation / full removal of the school (political/military/legal costs); extremely variable; mid-range assumed $10M.
Facilities $1.8M
[#1, #8, #9] Includes refurbishment of an on-site liaison office (~$40k, #1), perimeter hardening installation (~$300k, #8), and a dedicated reinforced containment suite for a >2.4 m humanoid (baseline ~$1.5M, #9). Containment suite is conditional on capture.
Equipment $795K
[#5, #6, #13, #22, #23, #14] Fleet and hardware purchases: 3armored SUVs + 1 transport (~$400k, #5), non-imaging detection network installation (~$150k, #6), capture equipment purchase (~$120k, #13), secure data/records hardware setup (~$50k, #22), communications equipment purchase (~$50k, #23), PPE & trauma kit initial purchase (~$25k, #14).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#11] Medical & veterinary research lab setup (biosafety equipment, necropsy slab, hoods) baseline estimate ~$500k.
Emergency Evacuation Reserve $200K
[#26] One-off reserve for emergency evacuation / mass-casualty readiness (midpoint ~$200k reserved).
Legal Formation $150K
[#18] One-time legal costs to formalize the Hierophant Accord and initial contracts (~$150k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.2M/yr
Staff Wages $2.9M/yr
[#2, #3, #7, #12] Core personnel loaded salaries: liaison personnel (3 × ~$120k = $360k/yr, #2), MTF Theta-6 rotational staffing (~$1.5M/yr total, #3), night-time human observers (10 × loaded ~$50k + shift diff ≈ $650k/yr, #7), research/medical staffing (combined loaded cost included here ~$400k/yr, #12). (Containment ops staffing #10 excluded here unless capture occurs.)
Contingency Reserve $400K/yr
[#28] Annual contingency / replacement reserve recommended at ~10–20% of recurring budget; midpoint assumed ~$400k/yr (~10–20% of baseline), #28.
Local Security Contract $300K/yr
[#4] Payments/hazard pay to WWSCSTT staff and local security contract to secure cooperation (~$300k/yr baseline, #4).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal counsel, contract maintenance, indemnities and retainer costs (~$200–300k/yr; baseline $250k/yr, #18).
Partnership Payments $250K/yr
[#19] Regular partnership/compensation payments to WWSCSTT to maintain privileges and cover disruption (~$200–300k/yr; baseline $250k/yr, #19).
Family Payouts $250K/yr
[#20] Expected annual contingency for family settlements/cover-ups (assumed avg $50k × 5 incidents = $250k/yr baseline, #20).
Witness Support $170K/yr
[#16] Witness interviews, counseling, relocation & secure payments (~$120k baseline + assumed relocation for some witnesses ≈ $50k; total ~$170k/yr baseline, #16).
Research And Monitoring $125K/yr
[#6, #15] Ongoing sensor calibration/maintenance (~$25k/yr, #6) and forensic / missing-person investigation baseline casework (~$100k/yr, #15). (Laboratory staff salaries/loaded costs are included in staff_wages #12.)
Media And Public Relations $125K/yr
[#21] Local PR contract, community outreach and controlled messaging (~$100–150k/yr; baseline ~$125k/yr, #21).
Humint Program $100K/yr
[#17] Human intelligence/informant payments and incentives for students & staff (~$75–150k/yr; baseline $100k/yr, #17).
Training And Exercises $80K/yr
[#25] Joint exercises, capture drills, evacuation drills and training (~$80k/yr, #25).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#5] Vehicle maintenance, fuel, and transport upkeep for armored fleet (~$60k/yr, #5).
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#13, #14] Consumables: capture drugs and cold-chain replacement (~$40k/yr, #13) and PPE/biohazard replenishment (~$15k/yr, #14).
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#8] Perimeter and physical entry upkeep and repairs (~$30k/yr, #8).
Data Operations $30K/yr
[#22] Secure records operations, evidence storage, database maintenance (~$30k/yr, #22).
Electricity And Utilities $25K/yr
[#24] Incremental power and utility costs for sensors, lab equipment, and filtration (~$25k/yr baseline, #24).
Communications Service $12K/yr
[#23] Service/subscription costs for encrypted radios, satellite uplink service (~$12k/yr, #23).
Emergency Evacuation Reserve $0/yr
[#26] One-off reserve is tracked as a one-time cost; no recurring annual allocation assumed here by default (#26).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.2M/yr
84.0% probability / year
Normal year with sustained monitoring posture, no capture or major incidents beyond routine investigations.
no_capture routine_sightings standard_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $5.5M/yr
12.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Single-year uptick in activity (clustered disappearances or a high-profile sighting) requiring additional investigations, overtime, and PR/legal surge.
clustered_disappearances intensive_investigation local_media_interest
🚨 Capture And Containment $7.7M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
SCP captured during the year requiring one-time construction of a dedicated containment suite and establishment of long-term containment staffing.
successful_capture long-term_containment_setup increased_medical_support
🚨 Major Breach $17.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$12.2M vs baseline
Severe political/legal escalation or decision to forcibly remove/close the school resulting in very large one-time political/legal/evacuation costs.
forced_entry_or_litigation full_school_removal political_exposure
👥 Personnel 28 total
Role Count Notes
Mobile Task Force Officer / Agent 12 [#3] Twelve rotational operators for 24/7 coverage (MTF Theta-6). Loaded cost included in staff_wages.
Liaison Officer / Administrative 3 [#2] Foundation on-site liaison personnel (2–3 full-time; estimate uses 3). Loaded cost included in staff_wages.
Night Watch Observer 10 [#7] Trained human observers for 24/7 shifts (10–12); baseline uses 10 observers. Loaded cost included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist / Medical Officer 3 [#11, #12] Researchers/medics for pathology/toxicology and lab work (2–3); loaded cost included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are order-of-magnitude and based on analyst assumptions for a 100-student baseline; many items are conditional (capture, political escalation) and ranges were collapsed to midpoints. Staffing and contingency assumptions introduce moderate uncertainty.
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