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SCP-6026 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6026
Expected annual
$9.0M
One-time setup
$37.3M
Annual recurring
$8.8M
Personnel
34
One-time capital (mid-range) dominated by purchasing and retrofitting a dedicated research vessel (~$29.8M), plus equipment (~$5.8M) and lab setup (~$1.54M). Annual operating costs are driven by on-site personnel, fuel/transport and maintenance (~$8.79M/yr baseline).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $37.3M
Facilities $29.8M
[#1, #29] Purchase and retrofit of dedicated research vessel (purchase + retrofit) and end-of-containment decommissioning/disposal.
Equipment $5.8M
[#6, #7, #8, #11, #12, #13, #16, #17, #20, #25, #26] ROV/AUV set, sonar/towed arrays, low-light camera & lighting suites, small boats purchase, UAVs/drone hardware, VSAT install, medical hardware (basic+hyperbaric), capture/cage hardware, specialized services setup (imagery/AIS capability), initial servers/encryption, buoy/seabed node deployment.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.5M
[#14, #15, #18] Onboard wet-lab buildout (sea-water capable), cold/cryostorage and portable sequencing/proteomics/mobile analytical instruments; initial R&D program seed for sedation/biocontrol.
Legal And Cover Setup $125K
[#19] Initial setup of shell companies, legal retainers and cover-story infrastructure (one-time legal/cover framework).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.8M/yr
Staff Wages $3.8M/yr
[#3, #4, #5] Civilian ship crew payroll and benefits, MTF operational personnel for continuous surveillance (multi-shift), and onboard scientific/technical staff salaries (fully loaded).
Logistics And Transport $2.0M/yr
[#10, #11, #16, #21] Fuel/propulsion and DP vessel energy consumption, small-boat operations & maintenance fuel, medevac standby contracts and port/harbor resupply/docking fees.
Program Overhead And Contingency $942K/yr
[#30] Administrative overhead, procurement, contingency (~10–20% of recurring budget).
Equipment Maintenance And Repairs $600K/yr
[#9, #17] ROV/AUV maintenance, generator and hull servicing, capture-rig/cage maintenance and recurring repairs/parts for intervention hardware.
Protocol 17 Reserve $500K/yr
[#28] Annual reserve allocation for rapid Protocol-17 mobilization (set-aside). Per-incident costs are much higher ($2M–10M) but only partially reserved annually.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#12, #20, #25, #26, #23] Aerial UAV ops and imagery subscriptions, data storage/processing (cloud), buoy/seabed node upkeep, and training/drills affecting monitoring readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#19, #24] Annual legal retainers/cover payments and active red-team/public-affairs monitoring & misinformation management budgets.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#15, #22] Recurring reagents/consumables for sequencing/analytical workflows and waste management/environmental compliance disposals.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Charter Platform Alternative $0/yr
[#2] Alternative: long-term vessel charter (with crew) instead of ownership; estimated ~$1.8M–6.0M/yr if used. Set to 0 here because baseline assumes owned platform.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.8M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Owned and retrofitted dedicated vessel; normal year with no major incidents. Recurring operations as budgeted.
normal_operations routine_surveillance no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $9.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Limited containment incident requiring emergency medevac, localized repairs, short-term overtime and PR mitigation.
limited_breach medical_evacuations emergency_repairs
🚨 Protocol 17 Activation $12.8M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Full Protocol-17 forced capture/removal requiring rapid mobilization, charters, heavy-lift and diplomatic mitigation.
refusal_to_comply large_scale_capture international_mitigation
🚨 Charter Option $11.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Operational year where Foundation elects to run containment via long-term chartered vessel rather than owned platform (higher recurring OPEX).
management_choice charter_instead_of_purchase
👥 Personnel 34 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 [#4] Multi-shift MTF team providing continuous surveillance, including operatives and immediate-response personnel.
Ship Crew / Civilian Mariners 10 [#3] Captain, engineers, deckhands and support crew to operate the vessel 24/7 (separate from MTF).
Research Scientist / Lab Tech / ROV Pilot 6 [#5, #15, #14] Onboard scientific and technical staff: marine biologists, ROV pilots and lab technicians for monitoring and experiments.
📋 Confidence Notes
Detailed analyst notes provide many line-item ranges, but large ranges on vessel choices, protocol costs and legal/cover operations introduce uncertainty. Estimates use mid-range assumptions and a baseline ownership model; alternative (charter) and incident costs remain uncertain, warranting medium confidence.
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