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SCP-6031 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6031
Expected annual
$946K
One-time setup
$32.2M
Annual recurring
$936K
Personnel
8.5
One-time capital replacement value dominates costs (~$31.5M); operational recurring costs are modest (~$0.94M/yr) driven by security, staffing, insurance, and ongoing monitoring/analysis.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $32.2M
Asset Replacement Value $31.5M
[#1] Replacement / material value of 180 kg of iridium (midpoint of $18M–$45M estimate).
Specialty Disposal Contract $300K
[#17] Contracting a specialist foundry/lab for cutting/melting iridium (midpoint of $100k–$500k contracting option).
Initial Transport And Handling $125K
[#2] Armored/crated transport, crane/gantry lift, specialist handlers and convoy security for initial move.
Equipment $88K
[#5, #10, #11, #12] Physical security hardware, monitoring installation, UPS/generator purchase & install, initial IT/hardware for secure logging.
Facilities $55K
[#3, #4] Custom mounting/plinth, floor reinforcement/seismic anchoring and acoustic/anechoic lining installation.
Decommissioning And Archival $55K
[#20] Projected end-of-life archival storage / decommissioning expense (midpoint of $10k–$100k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $30K
[#9] Initial battery of non-destructive materials tests (XRF/XRD/SEM/CT/MS).
Cover Story Initial $28K
[#16] Initial cover story/legal/setup costs (fabricated provenance paperwork, permits, local legal fees).
Medical Amnestic Stockpile $15K
[#15] Initial stockpile and training for amnestic/medical countermeasures.
Initial Incident Plan Development $3K
[#14] One-time emergency plan development and initial response paperwork/training setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $936K/yr
Staff Wages $544K/yr
[#6, #7, #8] 24/7 guard staffing (6 guards), 1–2 containment technicians (avg 1.5 FTE), and 0.25–0.5 FTE researcher salaries including benefits/overhead.
Insurance Equivalent $315K/yr
[#18] Insurance-equivalent / capital-reserve premium (approx. 1% of ~$31.5M replacement value; midpoint of 0.5–1.5%).
Research And Monitoring $34K/yr
[#9, #10, #19] Recurring follow-up materials analysis/testing ($5k–$20k/yr), data/storage/camera maintenance, and occasional specialized consultation fees.
Supplies And Consumables $12K/yr
[#13, #15] PPE, gloves, cleaning supplies, replacement seals and amnestic/medical replenishment.
Cover Story And Legal $11K/yr
[#16] Ongoing small legal/admin retainer and records management.
It And Cybersecurity $9K/yr
[#12] Ongoing IT support, patches, secure backups and cybersecurity for air-gapped logging systems.
Incident Response And Drills $8K/yr
[#14] Recurring drills, emergency equipment replacement, and training time.
Facilities Maintenance $4K/yr
[#11] Generator and UPS fuel, periodic testing and basic site equipment maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $936K/yr
94.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with standard staffing, monitoring, and upkeep.
no_incident routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $1.0M/yr
4.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Minor handling or containment incident requiring emergency response, additional testing and temporary security uplift.
minor_handling_error sensor_alert anomalous_vocalization
🚨 Transport Accident $1.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Damage or loss during transport (or major handling accident) causing investigations, legal costs, repairs and temporary containment upgrade.
improper_rigging crane_fail public_exposure
🚨 Neutralization Or Disposal $1.3M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$350K vs baseline
Decision or forced need to neutralize/cut/melt the iridium object requiring specialist contracting or purchase of extreme-high-temp equipment.
policy_decision_to_neutralize irreversible_contamination regulatory_demand
👥 Personnel 8.5 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#6] 2 guards per shift × 3 shifts = 6 on staff for continuous coverage.
Engineer / Maintenance (Containment Technician) 2 [#7] 1–2 containment techs (average 1.5 FTE); counted as 2 personnel on staff with shared duties.
Research Scientist 0.5 [#8] 0.25–0.5 FTE materials/anomalous researcher (part-time allocation).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item operational costs are well-specified by analyst notes (medium confidence), but large uncertainty remains in market price of iridium and in low-probability high-cost events (replacement value and specialty disposal).
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