SCP-6046 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6046
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$2.5M
Annual recurring
$1.1M
Personnel
5
One-time setup and modification of facility and specialized equipment are the main upfront costs (~$2.47M), with recurring annual operations, staffing, inspection and incident-reserve costs driving ongoing costs (~$1.13M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.5M
Facilities $1.6M
[#1, #3, #20, #23] Vault construction and retrofit (4 m exclusion compliance), custom non-fastened mounts and supports, redundant/welded adjacent infrastructure, and a $1,000,000 contingency/planning reserve.
Equipment $592K
[#2, #4, #5, #9, #10, #11, #18] Secondary welded containment sphere, encapsulated cameras/monitoring hardware (initial), structural health monitoring deployment (initial), custom non-mechanical tools/manipulators, transport/transfer pod, primary jar & spare stoppers, and backup power hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#8] Wet/dry lab buildout, instrumentation and initial research tooling for distance-effect mapping and countermeasure development.
Cover Story Initial $20K
[#17] Initial cover-story / PR / administrative secrecy measures setup.
Decontamination Procedure $10K
[#21] Establish decontamination/disposal procedures and initial equipment for handling recovered marbles and affected hardware.
Outreach Training Initial $5K
[#22] Initial outreach/training materials for maintenance staff (posters, pocket cards, digital training).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.1M/yr
Staff Wages $370K/yr
[#6] Salaries + benefits for assigned containment lead, technician(s), security staff and maintenance liaison (example distribution used to estimate total).
Breach Remediation Fund $250K/yr
[#15] Annual retained fund for containment breach operations, deep-cleaning, recovery teams, contractor work and temporary shutdowns.
Facilities Maintenance $163K/yr
[#13, #14, #18] Routine inspection cadence and fastener-testing, annual replacement/repair reserve for compromised fasteners/equipment, plus backup power fuel/maintenance.
Research And Monitoring $155K/yr
[#4, #5, #8, #19] Ongoing monitoring/data analysis, structural-health sensor data processing, operational research budget, and record-keeping/audit admin.
Cover Story And Legal $115K/yr
[#16, #17] Insurance/liability/legal counsel and annual upkeep for cover-story / PR measures.
Emergency Response And Drills $40K/yr
[#7] On-call emergency retrieval team, regular drills, overtime and standby pay.
Decontamination Incident Costs $25K/yr
[#21] Expected annual budget for disposal/decontamination incident costs (hazardous-waste handling, contractor fees).
Supplies And Consumables $10K/yr
[#12, #11] Adhesives, resins, pottings and repair kits; includes small recurring consumables related to jar seals/spares.
Outreach Training Refreshers $3K/yr
[#22] Annual refreshers for maintenance/outreach training materials.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.1M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady-state operations, routine inspections, staffing and reserves; no major containment incidents.
no_incidents routine_inspections scheduled_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized uncontained instance or small-scale loosening event requiring emergency response, localized repairs and limited downtime.
uncontained_instance_discovered localized_fastener_failure equipment_damage_repair
🚨 Catastrophic Structural Remediation $2.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Widespread dispersion of instances into structural members requiring major structural remediation, controlled demolition or multi-million-dollar repairs and extended shutdown.
multiple_instances_dispersed structural_member_compromise extended_shutdown_and_demolition
👥 Personnel 5 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Containment Lead 1 [#6] Senior researcher assigned to containment and oversight (salary component included in staff_wages).
Technician 1 [#6] On-call technician for maintenance and experimental support (salary component included in staff_wages).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 2 [#6] Trained security staff familiar with SOPs (salary component included in staff_wages).
Engineer / Maintenance Liaison 1 [#6] Maintenance liaison coordinating inspections, repairs and contractor work (salary component included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from analyst-provided ranges and midpoint assumptions; many costs (structural remediation, incident frequency) are highly scenario-dependent so overall uncertainty is moderate.
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