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SCP-6078 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-6078
Expected annual
$11.6M
One-time setup
$136.6M
Annual recurring
$9.5M
Personnel
46
One-time capital and contingency costs dominate the budget (~$137M) driven by a large break-glass contingency reserve and secure infrastructure; annual operating costs are ~ $9.14M driven by MTF staffing, language/medical programs, and diplomatic/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $136.6M
Contingency Reserve $125.0M
[#26] One-time large rapid-response/neutralization reserve for worst-case permanent manifestation or large-scale interventions (midpoint of analyst range).
Diplomatic Initial Mou Retainer $3.0M
[#13] Initial negotiation/retainer costs, MOUs and diplomatic setup for liaison with Irish and maritime authorities.
Facilities $2.0M
[#11] One-time fit-out for secure processing/detention facility near staging port (converted warehouse or barge).
Equipment $2.0M
[#3] One-time acquisition of specialized MTF maritime equipment (RHIBs, boats, small arms, comms, protective gear).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.6M
[#9, #16, #18] Initial Class-A amnestic stockpile ($350k), language corpora/translation lab infra ($250k), mobile BSL-2/3 lab ($1,000k).
Secure Image Editing Infrastructure $1.0M
[#7] One-time buildout of secure editing workstations, forensics hardware and covert payments infrastructure.
Secure Data Center $1.0M
[#20] Hardened, air-gapped servers and secure backups for operational control and classified archives (one-time build).
Public Health Initial Campaign $600K
[#17] Initial public health campaign to island population (vaccination/primary care outreach, one-time effort).
Legal Retainer $250K
[#22] Initial legal retainer for international law, contingency litigation support (one-time).
Conservation Initial $100K
[#23] Initial environmental/archaeological conservation funding and material preservation kits.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.5M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#1] MTF Omega-54 baseline salaries & benefits (24 operators × ~$100k fully burdened).
Legal Insurance Reserve $1.2M/yr
[#22] Annual insurance, legal defense and contingency litigation fund (midpoint of analyst range).
Cover Story And Legal $1.0M/yr
[#13] Long-term public affairs, diplomatic payments, and legal teams to maintain cover stories and liaison.
Research And Monitoring $950K/yr
[#16, #18] Ongoing language/anthropological program staffing (~$800k/yr) plus biosurveillance/mobile lab operations (~$150k/yr).
Mtf Training $500K/yr
[#2] MTF training, exercises, certifications, simulators and amphibious exercises to maintain readiness.
Medical Operations $325K/yr
[#10] Medical personnel staffing ($300k/yr) plus annualized event deployment costs (~$25k/yr).
Cyber Contingency Annualized $281K/yr
[#8] Annualized covert cyber/black-ops contingency budget for uncooperative imagery providers (per-event midpoint annualized).
Logistics And Transport $275K/yr
[#4, #5, #14] Annualized standby maritime chartering and rotary-wing readiness plus carrier compensation (annualized totals for event readiness).
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#11] Annual operations for secure processing/detention facility (utilities, security staffing, facility upkeep).
Equipment Maintenance $200K/yr
[#3] Annual maintenance for boats, RHIBs, weapons, comms and protective gear.
Public Health Programming $200K/yr
[#17] Recurring medical aid, vaccination resupply, training local medical personnel and surveillance costs.
Secure Data Center Maintenance $200K/yr
[#20] Maintenance, hosting and secure deletion operations for hardened data centers (annual).
Psychological Care $200K/yr
[#21] Counseling, follow-up and malpractice reserve for amnestic recipients (annual).
Administrative Overhead $200K/yr
[#29] Small recurring administrative overhead: office, liaison travel, covert banking and petty cash.
Standby Maritime Assets $150K/yr
[#4] Annualized cost of charter availability for patrol/escort vessels (events occur every 4 years; annualized).
Periodic Audits $150K/yr
[#27] Periodic audits, ethics oversight and interagency coordination (annual).
Archive Monitoring $131K/yr
[#19] Ongoing archive/historical record editing baseline ($100k/yr) plus expected annualized leak-remediation reserve (annualized).
Image Forensics Operations $125K/yr
[#7] Annualized operations/contracting to edit imagery during events (per-event costs annualized).
Classa Maintenance $125K/yr
[#9] Ongoing Class-A amnestic replacement, QA, cold storage and testing (annual maintenance).
Satellite Monitoring Analytics $100K/yr
[#6] Automated monitoring/analytics baseline ($50k/yr) plus annualized satellite tasking allowance (annualized per-event portion).
Misinformation Campaigns $100K/yr
[#28] Baseline media management ($50k/yr) plus annualized per-event media control budget.
Rotary Wing Annualized $94K/yr
[#5] Annualized rotary-wing support (per-event rental/pilots/medevac divided over 4 years).
Island Logistics $75K/yr
[#12] Annualized logistics/charter costs for landings, return transits and rapid mission support (per-event average annualized).
Conservation Maintenance $50K/yr
[#23] Ongoing conservation and heritage protection expenses.
Supplies And Consumables $40K/yr
[#25] Fuel, consumables and small equipment averaged annually (marine diesel, medical disposables, batteries).
Fuel And Consumables $40K/yr
[#25] Annual baseline for fuel, medical disposables, spare parts and mission consumables.
Notam Coordination $38K/yr
[#15] Annualized NOTAM/NAVAREA/IMO coordination costs plus liaison baseline.
Carrier Compensation $31K/yr
[#14] Annualized compensation for rerouted passenger vessels and claims (per-event annualized).
Interception Logistics $25K/yr
[#24] Annualized costs for intercepting civilians (lodging, transport, cover identities) per-event annualized.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.5M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents beyond planned operations; event-related per-event costs are not incurred beyond amortized reserves.
no Manifestation Event response routine operations and maintenance
🚨 Manifestation Event $12.0M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Actual Manifestation Event year (island surfaces, 24-hour window) requiring full per-event deployments and surge costs beyond amortized annual reserves.
Manifestation Event (Feb 29) mass civilian sightings / nearby passenger vessels
🚨 Catastrophic Manifestation $159.1M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$149.7M vs baseline
Low-probability worst-case in which SCP permanently manifests or mass migration/hostile takeover occurs, requiring large-scale intervention/evacuation and major expenditure.
permanent manifestation / island becomes continuously accessible large-scale evacuation / neutralization effort
👥 Personnel 46 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#1] Core Omega-54 team (24 operators at ~100k fully burdened each).
Research Scientist / Linguist / Anthropologist 8 [#16] Language and cultural program staff funded by recurring research program (~$800k/yr).
Medical Officer 3 [#10] Medical staff for amnestic administration and field medical support (recurring staffing budget ~300k/yr).
IT / Forensics Specialist 4 [#7, #20] Secure image-forensics and data-center operators/analysts covered by editing/IT budgets.
Administrative Staff / Liaison 4 [#13, #29] Diplomatic liaisons, PA/cover operatives and administrative support (cover story and admin budgets).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#3, #11] Facilities and equipment maintenance personnel for boats, RHIBs and processing facility.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1, #13] Single senior operations/director-level staff overseeing containment and interagency coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst-provided ranges and frequent per-event/amortization assumptions; many line items are range-based or contingent (cyber ops, contingency reserve) so totals use midpoint assumptions and annualizations, producing moderate confidence.
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