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SCP-609 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-609
Expected annual
$6.4M
One-time setup
$1.5B
Annual recurring
$6.1M
Personnel
23
One-time capital and R&D expenses dominate the program (notably a seeded emergency reserve and optional lunar retrieval costs), while recurring costs are driven by specialized staff wages, ongoing R&D/monitoring, field recovery operations, amnestics, and legal/cover-up budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.5B
Lunar Retrieval Mission $1.5B
[#26] Optional full recovery mission estimate (extremely costly; included for risk-awareness). Monitoring-only plan is handled in recurring costs.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $6.0M
[#4, #8, #15, #24, #30] Development and certification of Protocol 94 (training simulation rooms), initial specialized R&D program seed, inventory/chain-of-custody IT development, long-term containment R&D program seed, and contingency/rapid-research seed fund.
Contingency Reserve Seed $5.0M
[#18] Seed emergency/crisis reserve for large-scale amnestics, emergency relocation, legal payouts, and emergency R&D.
Longterm R And D Program $3.0M
[#24] One-time funding tranche for a multi-year program into cognitive-limitation containment and population-control technologies.
R And D Program Initial $1.8M
[#8] Initial tranche for specialized R&D into non-visual detection and manipulation techniques.
Legal Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#22] One-time contingency reserve for major civil suits or legal settlements (separate from annual retainer).
Contingency Research Seed Fund $1.0M
[#30] Flexible one-time rapid-response research/rapid-prototype seed fund for emergent outbreaks.
Equipment $585K
[#3, #14, #16, #25] Initial purchase of handling/visual-restriction hardware (glove-ports, blackout transfer boxes), forensic extraction/mobile surgical suites, secure transport fleet/armored crates, and specialized remote/hazardous recovery tools.
Facilities $375K
[#1] Retrofit/upgrade of an internal vault/locker room with reinforced walls, electromagnetic airlock, alarms, non-reflective finishes and one- or two-person airlock for opaque-container storage.
Staff Vetting Initial $300K
[#27] Initial vetting/clearance/background checks for privileged staff (~100-person scale estimate midpoint).
Specialized Extraction Tools $275K
[#25] Initial purchase of MRI-compatible extraction tools, hazardous-materials suits and specialized medical/technical gear for difficult recoveries.
Forensic Lab Equipment $175K
[#14] Portable sterile extraction kits, mobile OR suites and related initial forensic/extraction hardware.
Psych Screening Initial $150K
[#5] Initial psych screening and baseline testing for handlers (est. for ~50 staff at program start).
Inventory It Development $100K
[#15] Initial secure inventory/chain-of-custody software and restricted-access auditing system.
Individual Opaque Boxes $90K
[#2] Initial batch (≈1,000) of light-proof, tamper-evident, lockable boxes sized for 57.15 mm instances (labeling and chain-of-custody seals).
Secure Transport Fleet $75K
[#16] Initial fleet/transport crates designed to prevent observation (armored crates and handling SOP implementation).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.3M/yr
[#6, #7, #9] Salaries for dedicated containment staff: security guards (6–8 for 24/7 coverage), specialized researchers (4–8), and field-recovery operatives/MTF team salaries (8–12 operatives) — fully loaded estimate.
R And D Ongoing $625K/yr
[#8] Ongoing R&D budget for tactile/indirect detection, cognitive-interface tech and prototype testing.
Longterm R And D Recurring $500K/yr
[#24] Recurring funding to support ongoing multi-year containment R&D and trials aimed at preventing duplication.
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#12, #22] Annual retainer for legal services, cover-story/PR budgets, payments to vendors/shell companies and baseline cover-up operations.
Field Retrieval Operations Budget $300K/yr
[#9] Annual budget for field retrieval operational costs (missions, travel, equipment consumables) assuming moderate breach frequency.
International Retrievals Budget $300K/yr
[#10] Travel, logistic, temporary security and local legal fees for international retrievals (budgeted baseline).
Space Monitoring Partnerships $250K/yr
[#26] Monitoring-only partnerships, data-sharing and intelligence costs for extraterrestrial (Moon) monitoring strategies.
Amnestic Administration $200K/yr
[#11] Pharmaceuticals, medical staff, and follow-up care for administering amnestics to witnesses at moderate frequency.
Medical Surgical Contingencies $200K/yr
[#13] Budget for emergency surgical extraction, hospital stays and long-term follow-ups for occasional incidents.
Storage Scaling Costs $200K/yr
[#17] Incremental storage, box replacement, and slot/allocation costs as instances proliferate (baseline scaling buffer).
Psych Monitoring Recurring $150K/yr
[#5] Ongoing psychological monitoring, mandatory debriefing, post-exposure care and counseling for handlers.
Public Monitoring Tips $150K/yr
[#19] Monitoring, tipline staffing and social-media analysis to detect civilian reports quickly.
Digital Forensics Budget $100K/yr
[#20] Rapid footage confiscation, digital-forensics, and media replacement/restoration budgets for moderate incident frequency.
Specialized Extraction Missions Budget $50K/yr
[#23] Baseline annual budget for occasional complex extraction missions requiring cranes, permits or technical rescue.
Staff Vetting $50K/yr
[#27] Periodic reinvestigation, polygraphs and background checks for cleared personnel.
Audit And Compliance $50K/yr
[#28] Internal audits, compliance inspections and SOP maintenance to enforce single-observer containment rules.
Training Refresher $40K/yr
[#4] Ongoing costs for Protocol 94 refeshers, instructor hours, and simulation-room operation.
Facilities Maintenance $30K/yr
[#29] Ongoing maintenance, rekeying, seal replacement, software patches, and physical locker upkeep.
Individual Opaque Boxes $30K/yr
[#2] Annual replacements and additional boxes as instances proliferate (midpoint replacement budget).
Forensic Consumables $30K/yr
[#14] Consumables for sterile extraction kits, portable lab consumables and single-use surgical supplies.
Secure Transport Operations $30K/yr
[#16] Per-transport operating costs, insurance, and escort protocols budgeted annually.
Specialized Extraction Equipment Maintenance $30K/yr
[#25] Consumables and maintenance for specialized recovery/extraction equipment.
Inventory It Maintenance $20K/yr
[#15] Ongoing maintenance and hosting for secure inventory and restricted-access logging systems.
Biohazard Disposal $15K/yr
[#21] Secure disposal of contaminated biological material and destruction of evidence.
Handling Equipment Maintenance $6K/yr
[#3] Maintenance and replacement of blindfolds, blackout goggles, transfer ports and gloves.
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Research And Monitoring $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.1M/yr
74.5% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, no major incidents; routine recoveries and scheduled R&D and training.
no_large_public_breaches routine_field_recoveries scheduled_R&D_and_training
🚨 Minor Incident $6.3M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
One or a few small public recoveries requiring field teams, some amnestics, modest legal/PR action and replacement containers.
single_public_recovery small_media_exposure few_witnesses
🚨 Major Breach $8.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Large public breach (e.g., TV-set taping or multi-site exposures) requiring large-scale amnestics, extensive legal/PR payments, expanded retrieval ops and emergency R&D.
mass_media_event many_witnesses multi-site_spread
🚨 Catastrophic Proliferation $31.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Widespread uncontrolled proliferation (thousands of instances) triggering major storage expansion, full-scale long-term R&D ramp, continual retrieval demand and potential public fallout.
exponential_instance_growth systemic_noncompliance multiple_simultaneous_breaches
👥 Personnel 23 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 7 24/7 security coverage for locker room and escorts; included in staff_wages [#6].
Research Scientist 6 Cognitive/anomalous researchers for containment study and R&D; included in staff_wages [#7].
Field Recovery / MTF Agent 10 Operatives responsible for retrieval missions and rapid response; included in staff_wages [#9].
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates rely on many uncertain ranges (proliferation rates, breach frequency, success of R&D, and optional/one-off decisions such as lunar retrieval). High variability in scenario likelihoods and large optional costs reduce confidence.
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