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SCP-6102 Standard ~ medium confidence
SCP-6102
Expected annual
$2.9M
One-time setup
$3.9M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
22
Initial one-time capital is approximately $3.85M driven by ARK compute hardware, containment chamber build-out, autonomous tending unit procurement and multiple contingency/reserve items; recurring annual costs are about $2.816M driven by personnel salaries, ARK power/cooling, security, and overhead.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.9M
Equipment $1.5M
[#2, #4, #6, #9, #11, #18] HVAC/environmental install ($150k, #2); Auto-Archivist-DA019 procurement & integration ($250k, #4); ARK compute hardware ($1,000,000, #6); monitoring instrumentation initial purchase ($50k, #9); autoclave/decon/PPE equipment ($30k, #11); sealed transfer containment kit ($25k, #18).
Facilities $575K
[#1, #6, #21] Containment chamber build-out ($300k, #1); ARK physical isolation / Faraday/shielding ($200k portion of #6); air-gapped vault / archival physical setup ($75k, #21).
Liability Reserve One Time $500K
[#23] Contingency reserve (actuarial reserve) seeded one-time ($500k contingency reserve, #23).
Ark Exfiltration Program $500K
[#24] Optional/contingent ARK-exfiltration or data-retrieval R&D (range $500k–$2M; conservative/minimum included here $500k, #24).
Contingency Seed Fund $250K
[#17] Seeded contingency & emergency response fund ($250k one-time seeding, #17).
Ark Initial Software Dev $200K
[#8] ARK initial integration and custom software development one-time cost ($200k, #8).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K
[#10] Basic research lab equipment & setup (benchtop centrifuge, microscopes, PCR, culture hoods where allowed) estimated $150k initial (#10).
Power Redundancy Install $100K
[#16] UPS/generator/ATS install for ARK and HVAC ($100k install, #16).
Legal Setup $50K
[#19] Legal/cover operations one-time setup costs ($50k, #19).
Training Setup $20K
[#15] Initial training/certification and drills setup ($20k initial, #15).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Staff Wages $1.6M/yr
[#13, #14, #8, #7] Security staffing 12 guards (~$600k/yr, #13); onsite technical staff (~$610k/yr as budgeted, #14); ARK software/ML engineer support (3 FTEs, ~$300k/yr recurring, #8); ARK ops support / SOC monitoring (~$60k/yr, portion of #7).
Facilities Maintenance $521K/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #7, #16, #20, #21] HVAC & environmental maintenance / filters (~$36k/yr, #3/#2); Auto-Archivist mechanical/service spares (~$30k/yr, #5); ARK electricity (~$240k/yr, #7); generator fuel & maintenance (~$10k/yr, #16); facility overhead allocation and utilities/insurance share (~$200k/yr, #20); archival media rotation/maintenance (~$5k/yr, #21).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#19, #23] Legal/PR retainer and cover operations (~$200k/yr retainer, #19); containment-breach insurance premium (~$100k/yr, #23).
Opportunity Cost Buffer $200K/yr
[#25] Opportunity-cost / indefinite preservation liability buffer (budget margin recommended 10–20% over baseline; here set as $200k/yr buffer, #25).
Research And Monitoring $105K/yr
[#9, #22] Monitoring instrumentation calibration/consumables (~$5k/yr, #9); scientific research program baseline funding (~$100k/yr, #22).
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#10, #11] Research reagents/consumables (~$50k/yr, #10); PPE/decon consumables (~$10k/yr, #11).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#12, #18] Hazardous waste handling & disposal contracted (~$20k/yr, #12); sample/transfer contingency (assume ~$5k/yr for occasional transfer or readiness, #18).
Contingency Replenishment $25K/yr
[#17] Annual replenishment of rapid-response / emergency fund (~$25k/yr, #17).
Training And Certification $10K/yr
[#15] Ongoing annual training, certification renewals and drills (~$10k/yr, #15).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; ongoing research and containment operations run as planned.
no incident routine maintenance scheduled research
🚨 Minor Incident $3.1M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment incident requiring emergency response, repairs, overtime, additional testing and short-term remediation.
small containment breach equipment failure minor ARK outage
🚨 Major Breach $5.3M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or ARK loss requiring major rebuild, hardware replacement, extended legal/PR response and potential evacuations.
major containment breach ARK catastrophic hardware failure or data compromise multi-day site recovery
🚨 Ark Exfiltration Attempt $3.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Deliberate high-risk program year to attempt extraction/retrieval from ARK (optional decision), activating expanded R&D and engineering.
policy decision to attempt ARK retrieval approval of optional R&D program
👥 Personnel 22 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#13] 12 guards to cover 24/7 rotation at ~$50k/yr each as specified (#13).
Research Scientist 2 [#14] 2 containment biologists (~$90k/yr each) for sample analysis and experiments (#14).
Technician 2 [#14] 2 biosafety/containment technicians (~$50k/yr each) for daily maintenance and decontamination (#14).
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#14] 1 site engineer (~$120k/yr) for facility and HVAC maintenance (#14).
IT Sysadmin 1 [#14] 1 sysadmin (~$110k/yr) for ARK and network operations (#14).
Research Software / ML Engineer 3 [#8] 3 FTEs maintaining ARK software and models as specified (~$300k/yr total, #8).
Operations / SOC Technician 1 [#7] 1 operations/SOC support role for hardware monitoring and ops (~$60k/yr portion of #7).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for capital and recurring items, enabling a coherent budget; uncertainty remains around optional ARK-exfiltration costs, contingency sizing, frequency of transfers/incidents and exact staffing salary allocations, so confidence is medium.
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