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SCP-6121 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-6121
Expected annual
$9.1M
One-time setup
$4.5M
Annual recurring
$8.9M
Personnel
33
Initial one-time setup is approximately $4.5M driven primarily by chamber buildouts, modular surge units, vehicles/equipment and program establishment; annual operations are approximately $8.855M/yr, driven by MTF staffing, per-event readiness/deployments, turnover, and a large contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.5M
Facilities $3.4M
[#3, #4, #11, #12, #18, #23] Baseline chamber buildouts (10 chambers ~$1.1M), surge modular container conversions (15 units ~$1.2M), Site-43 minor electrical upgrades ($75k), additional soundproofing bump ($100k), Winter Olympics container prep (one large containerized chamber, allocated $200k), and initial classified program establishment and secure rooms/legal cover ($750k).
Equipment $775K
[#1, #8, #9, #10] Cliometria.aic integration/setup ($75k), capture & restraint team kits one-time ($200k), transport vehicles (3 custom vans ~$250k), and event surveillance & comms kits one-time ($250k).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#13] Specialized behavioral research lab equipment and initial study instrumentation (~$200k).
Training Course Development $100K
[#17] One-time curriculum and course development for capture drills and exercise design (~$100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.9M/yr
Staff Wages $3.3M/yr
[#2, #6] Dedicated analytics & monitoring staff (3 FTE @ $95k/yr ≈ $285k) and MTF Kappa-43 core team staffing (30 personnel @ ~$100k fully-loaded ≈ $3.0M).
Logistics And Transport $1.5M/yr
[#7] Per-event deployment travel, per diem, overtime and logistics (avg $2,500/event × ~600 events ≈ $1.5M/yr).
Per Event Chamber Activation $1.4M/yr
[#5] Per-event chamber activation, cleaning, decontamination and turnover (~$1,500–3,000/event; midpoint $1.35M/yr for ~600 events).
Contingency Reserve $1.0M/yr
[#21] Emergency surge fund reserve for simultaneous multi-city manifestations or major public incidents (~$1.0M/yr reserve).
Research And Monitoring $300K/yr
[#13] Recurring behavioral research staff time and consumables (~$300k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#16] Legal & liaison retainer and contingency for quiet agreements/permits (~$150k retainer + $100k contingency ≈ $250k/yr).
Amnestic And Witness Management $250K/yr
[#15] Field amnestic supplies, witness management, payments to organizers/influencers and associated travel/observation (~reserve $250k/yr recommended).
Administrative Overhead $250K/yr
[#22] Miscellaneous facilities/admin overhead: janitorial, increased site security, IT/security, scheduling/admin (~$250k/yr).
Winter Olympics Amortized $150K/yr
[#18] Amortized annual contribution toward quadrennial Winter Olympics preparedness (prep + surge averaged across 4-year cycle ≈ $150k/yr).
Climo License And Hosting $120K/yr
[#1] Recurring Cliometria.aic licence, API access, secure hosting & maintenance for the event cataloguing pipeline (~$120k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $110K/yr
[#9, #11] Vehicle operations/maintenance and incremental Site-43 utilities/maintenance (vehicle maintenance + HVAC/electrical uplift operations ~ combined $110k/yr).
Training And Exercises $75K/yr
[#17] Recurring drills, certifications and cross-agency exercises (~$75k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#8, #12] Annual consumables/spares for capture kits (~$50k/yr) and PPE/decibel monitoring consumables (~$5k/yr).
Long Term Holding $50K/yr
[#19] Ongoing upkeep for concurrently held instances (~$10k/yr per active instance; assumed average 5 active -> $50k/yr).
Medical Services $50K/yr
[#14] Medical, psychiatric and debriefing services for staff and exposed bystanders (~$50k/yr).
Data Storage And Handling $30K/yr
[#10] Cloud storage, data uplinks and handling for event surveillance and recordings (~$30k/yr).
Hazardous Waste Disposal $30K/yr
[#20] Hazardous/decontamination waste handling and certified disposal (~$30k/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.9M/yr
63.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard monitoring, per-event turnover and steady operations; no major incidents or Olympics surge.
routine_event_volume no_major_manifestations no_Olympics_year
🚨 Minor Incident $9.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
A notable manifestation or public incident requiring extra amnestics, targeted PR/legal payments and limited extra containment activity.
single_manifestation_requiring_field_amnestics local_media_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $11.9M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Simultaneous or aggressive multi-city manifestations requiring full contingency activation, large-scale emergency procurements and repairs, and substantial legal/PR settlements.
simultaneous_multi-city_manifestations aggressive_or_injurious_behavior
🚨 Winter Olympics Spike $9.3M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Year of the Winter Olympic Games with international manifestations and elevated deployment + diplomatic/cover operations.
Winter_Olympics_manifestation international_deployment
👥 Personnel 33 total
Role Count Notes
Analyst / Monitoring Staff 3 [#2] 2–3 analysts triaging Cliometria alerts; budgeted 3 FTE at fully-loaded ~$95k/yr each.
Security Officer / MTF Agent (MTF Kappa-43) 30 [#6] Core MTF Kappa-43 staffing for rapid deployment and processing of captured instances; 30 personnel @ ~$100k fully-loaded avg.
📋 Confidence Notes
Manifestation frequency, escalation probability, and a number of assumptions (event count, reuse policy, and Olympic-year behavior) are uncertain; estimates are order-of-magnitude and rely on analyst assumptions rather than fixed procurement quotes.
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