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SCP-6188 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6188
Expected annual
$3.2M
One-time setup
$3.8M
Annual recurring
$3.0M
Personnel
12
Estimated one-time capital costs of roughly $3.81M primarily driven by contingency funds, potential relocation/exploitation capital and equipment; recurring annual costs are approximately $3.01M/yr driven by staff wages, research/forensic operations, and optional long-term research station operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.8M
Dedicated Research Station Build $1.5M
[#27] One-time capital to build a permanent remote research station if Foundation elects long-term exploitation/continuous access to SCP-6188-1.
Attempted Movement Mitigation $1.0M
[#26] One-time capital for heavy-lift equipment, specialized rigs, redundant safety systems and insurance required for any attempted relocation.
Contingency Reserve Fund $500K
[#25] One-time/standing emergency reserve for large incidents, helicopter charters, emergency repairs, and mass-casualty response.
Equipment $462K
[#5, #6, #7, #9, #10, #11, #12] Capital purchases: armored off-road vehicles (upfit), heavy-duty test tent, tarp & heavy locks, external surveillance installation, solar+generator power hardware, initial medical/biohazard kit, portable refrigerated unit.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $200K
[#14] BSL-2/3 retrofit or initial dedicated lab bench buildout and research instrumentation (one-time retrofit cost).
Facilities $148K
[#1, #8] Land purchase/lease control and perimeter/fencing/landscaping capital (site closure, covert landscaping and barriers).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr
Staff Wages $950K/yr
[#3, #4] Salaries, benefits, training and hazard pay for permanent on-site guards (6 guards) and regional rapid-response/containment team (approx. 6 operatives).
Dedicated Research Station Ops $900K/yr
[#27] Recurring operating costs if a permanent remote research station is built (staff salaries, facilities ops, utilities).
Research And Monitoring $585K/yr
[#6, #12, #13, #15, #16, #18] Recurring test program and forensic costs: per-test logistics and tent operations, morgue/refrigeration handling, forensic pathology and advanced testing, annual test program (multiple tests), D-class procurement/replacement, expendable tracking/telemetry losses.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#20] Legal retainers, reactive PR operations, shadow documentation and contingency funds for lawsuits to maintain the memorial cover story.
Municipal Liaison $90K/yr
[#2] Ongoing payments/bribes/fees to local officials, cemetery/registry fees and payments to suppress publicity to keep the 'war memorial' cover credible.
Supplies And Consumables $62K/yr
[#11, #17, #29] PPE replenishment, entrant expendable equipment losses (small sensors/body armor replacements), and general consumables/sundries (batteries, disinfectant, replacement parts).
Law Enforcement Coordination $40K/yr
[#21] Payments, MOUs, overtime reimbursements and training for local police coordination and mutual aid agreements.
Training And Exercises $35K/yr
[#24] Regular drills, containment exercises, first-aid and safety audits to maintain readiness.
Facilities Maintenance $31K/yr
[#7, #8, #10, #22] Ongoing maintenance: lock replacements/inspection, perimeter upkeep, power system maintenance and road/access maintenance.
Annual Audit $30K/yr
[#30] Independent internal audit and risk reassessment of containment integrity and public risk.
Logistics And Transport $28K/yr
[#5] Fuel, vehicle maintenance and drivers for off-road patrols and response.
Surveillance And Comms $25K/yr
[#9] Data, communications backhaul (satellite/cellular), encryption and maintenance for external sensor network.
Emergency Response Retainer $25K/yr
[#25] Annual retainers/standby fees for emergency charters, local contractor surge capacity and rapid-response readiness.
Psychological Care $20K/yr
[#19] Counseling and psychiatric care for exposed personnel, guards and witnesses.
Land Easement And Lease $15K/yr
[#1] Ongoing lease/easement payments or localkeeper stipends to legally control and close off the forest parcel.
Records And Archival $15K/yr
[#28] Secure encrypted data storage, backups and off-site archival for logs, video and legal paperwork.
Memorial Upkeep $10K/yr
[#23] Cosmetic upkeep to preserve the tank's outward appearance as a WW2 memorial (rust management, plaque fabrication, small repairs).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with standard operations, testing at the current pace, and maintenance of cover story.
no major incidents regular testing cadence ongoing cover maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
A localized incident (trespasser discovery, single severe returnee) requiring emergency response, extra forensics and modest PR/legal response.
trespasser discovered single mutilated returnee requiring extended forensics small media attention
🚨 Major Breach $4.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or series of incidents causing multiple casualties, heavy forensic workload, major repairs and substantial PR/legal expenses.
extended 'hunt' activity multiple returned mutilated victims significant public exposure
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $5.1M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$2.1M vs baseline
Decision to aggressively research/exploit SCP-6188-1 (build station, scale personnel and operations).
policy decision to exploit endless food/water or SCP-6188-2 biology approval to build permanent research station
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 Permanent on-site 'memorial guards' providing two-person coverage across shifts (6 guards to cover 24/7 rotations).
Rapid Response / MTF Agent 6 Regional containment/recovery team (4–8 operatives assumed 6) on-call for incidents and retrievals; salaries included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes are detailed and cover most cost drivers (site control, security, sensors, testing, and contingencies), but several items are highly conditional (station build, attempted-move mitigation, size/frequency of tests and forensic cases) so totals rely on mid-range assumptions; this yields medium confidence.
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