SCP-6246 — SCP-6246 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-6246 Keter ? low confidence

SCP-6246

Expected annual

$3.0M

One-time setup

$7.4M

Annual recurring

$3.0M

Personnel

One-time readiness and research purchases dominate upfront costs (vehicles, sensor network, lab gear, R&D seed and capture-capable hardware) while recurring annual costs are driven by sustained field response/airlift contracts, ongoing research/monitoring, and reserves for contingency and remediation.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $7.4M

Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.5M

[#8, #12, #15] Thermal imaging & analysis lab equipment (GC-MS, spectrometers, high-speed thermal cameras) plus containment R&D program seed funding and amnestic R&D/stockpile establishment.

Evidence Of Concept Capture $1.5M

[#24] One major evidence-of-concept capture operation: planning, rentals (helicopters/heavy vehicles), large team, temporary containment deployment, mass amnestic readiness, remediation and legal cover.

Contingency Seed $1.0M

[#26] One-time seed for an emergency/containment contingency reserve.

Equipment $945K

[#2, #4, #5, #6, #10, #18, #23] Rapid-response vehicles (3 trucks + 4 ATVs), UAV/drone fleet, remote sensor node hardware, solar/battery hardware for remote sites, PPE/SCBA sets, evidence lockers/hardened servers, secure comms gear (one-time).

Facilities $500K

[#11] Construction/design of a temporary containment chamber/readiness cell capable of withstanding localized continuous flames.

Minimal Watch And Debunk Option $0

[#27] Alternative low-cost posture (watch-and-debunk) described in analyst notes; represented as an optional policy alternative, not purchased equipment.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.0M/yr

Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr

[#7, #8, #12, #15, #17, #18, #25] Satellite imagery/commercial tasking, recurring lab consumables/calibration, ongoing containment R&D program costs, amnestic restock/QA, OSINT monitoring overlap, hosting/backups/cybersec for evidence, and long-term archive/research fellowships.

Logistics And Transport $525K/yr

[#2, #3] Recurring maintenance & fuel for rapid-response vehicle fleet and helicopter/airlift on-call retainer/occasional use.

Staff Wages $480K/yr

[#1] Salaries for baseline field surveillance team: 6FTE × ~$80k fully-burdened/yr.

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#16, #19] Legal, PR, disinformation operations and insurance/contingency reserves for liabilities and property damage.

Contingency Replenish $200K/yr

[#26] Annual replenishment to maintain a $1M contingency reserve fund.

Facilities Maintenance $50K/yr

[#11] Utilities/maintenance for temporary containment chamber and readiness cell.

Witness Handling $50K/yr

[#14] Medical staff, amnestic administration logistics, secure facilities, monitoring, and aftercare per analyst estimate.

Forensic Cleanup Reserve $50K/yr

[#20] Reserve for post-incident cleanup and environmental remediation.

Training And Exercises $50K/yr

[#22] Regular training, exercises, and travel for field teams and interagency coordination.

Sensor Network Maintenance $40K/yr

[#5] Connectivity, maintenance, and periodic replacement for remote sensor stations.

Fire Coordination $30K/yr

[#13] Agreements/coordination with local fire services, rapid firefighting kits, and mitigation measures.

Supplies And Consumables $20K/yr

[#9, #10] Consumables for field sampling and lab assays; PPE inspections/replacements.

Uav Operations $20K/yr

[#4] Recurring UAV/drone operations: batteries, repairs, pilots.

Psych Med Care $15K/yr

[#21] Psychological and medical care for staff: counseling and health surveillance.

Secure Comms Subscription $12K/yr

[#23] Recurring service/subscription costs for satellite phones, encrypted radios, and secure data links.

Solar Maintenance $10K/yr

[#6] Battery replacements and servicing for solar power infrastructure at remote sites.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.0M/yr

90.0% probability / year

Normal operational year with active surveillance and readiness posture (full set of sensors, dedicated response team, R&D program active).

routine sightings in remote areas ongoing R&D and monitoring contracts

🚨 Minor Incident $3.2M/yr

8.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline

Localized incident requiring additional field deployments, increased helicopter hours, additional amnestic operations and remediation.

one or two remote manifestations requiring extended response small property/vegetation damage needing remediation

🚨 Major Capture Attempt $4.8M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.8M vs baseline

Large-scale planned capture/capture-proofing operation and associated legal/cleanup costs.

decision to attempt a capture or high-frequency manifestations need to deploy temporary containment cell and mass amnestic response

👥 Personnel 6 total

Role	Count	Notes
Field Agents / MTF Agent	3	[#1] Frontline field investigators; part of the baseline surveillance team.
Medical Officer	1	[#1] Medic assigned to field team for amnestic administration and medical support.
Communications / Tech Operator	1	[#1] Responsible for comms, UAV piloting support, and sensor link management.
Team Lead / Supervisor	1	[#1] Oversees deployments, coordinates with HQ and local authorities.

📋 Confidence Notes

Wide ranges in analyst estimates, large uncertainty in manifestation frequency and geographic spread, and speculative high-cost items (containment R&D and capture operations) reduce confidence. Many recurring costs depend strongly on policy choices and incident rate.

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