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SCP-6318 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-6318
Expected annual
$10.2M
One-time setup
$22.1M
Annual recurring
$9.6M
Personnel
32
Initial one-time stabilization, infrastructure and remediation costs are estimated at approximately $22.1M, driven primarily by asset write-offs, contingency reserves, demolition/retrofit and mock-facility construction; recurring annual costs are approximately $9.6M/yr driven by lost revenue, satellite leasing, staff wages, research, and logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.1M
Facilities $6.5M
[#12, #13, #14] Mock/replica construction, whole-building containment retrofit, and controlled demolition/structural decommissioning costs.
Asset Write Off $5.0M
[#3] One-time loss/write-off of consumed or inaccessible anomalous inventory (mid-range conservative estimate given high uncertainty).
Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#27] Recommended one-time contingency reserve to cover worst-case escalation beyond immediate planning (regional remediation, surge operations).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.5M
[#9, #11] BSL-2/3 mycology/xenobiology lab build-out and initial R&D program start-up funds for neutralization/biocontrol.
Equipment $900K
[#7, #8] Specialized non-destructive inspection systems and remote robotic/telepresence platforms (initial procurement of hardware).
Emergency Relocation $500K
[#1] One-time emergency evacuation and relocation allowance for displaced Site-106 personnel (temporary housing, per-diem, relocation stipends, admin).
Initial Cover Story And Legal $500K
[#20] Immediate one-time PR/legal cover-up expenses and local liaison for closures and initial public-facing mitigation.
Cleanup Residual Remediation $500K
[#23] Initial clean-up / remediation of secondary contaminated properties (contingent per-affected facility; initial provisioning).
Satellite Facility Deposits And Fitout $300K
[#2] One-time deposits and minor fit-out for leased satellite warehouses to replace Site-106 storage footprint.
External Consultants Initial $300K
[#26] Initial specialist consult program (mycologists, structural bio-contamination engineers) one-time retainers and studies.
Ppe And Decon Stock $125K
[#6] Initial PPE stock, decon showers and containment laundry setup (one-time purchase of anti-fungal suits, PAPRs, etc.).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.6M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#1, #4, #5, #22] Ongoing wages and payroll burden: increased security staffing, psychometrist team salaries and travel/on-call coverage, personnel replacement/overtime/retention costs, and higher payroll burdens from relocated staff.
Opportunity Costs Lost Revenue $2.0M/yr
[#21] Annual estimated lost recoveries and reduced Procurement & Liquidation capacity (reduced throughput & revenue).
Satellite Facility Leasing $1.5M/yr
[#2] Recurring lease costs for multiple small-to-medium warehouses supporting Procurement & Liquidation operations (includes rent and reduced-capacity footprint).
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#18, #19] Recurring secure transport costs for item relocations, escorts, sealed/climate-controlled containers, and increased audit/logistics workload for authentication/handling.
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #15] Ongoing lab operations, genomic/metabolomic studies, R&D follow-up, and long-term environmental monitoring/sample analysis.
Insurance And Contingency $500K/yr
[#17] Increased liability insurance, indemnity adjustments and annual contingency provisioning.
Facilities Maintenance $150K/yr
[#13] Annual operations and maintenance costs for any quarantined/retrofit infrastructure (HVAC, negative pressure, redundant power upkeep).
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#20] Ongoing PR, legal retainers, and local government liaison costs to maintain cover-stories and manage exposure risk.
External Contractors $150K/yr
[#26] Ongoing retainers/fees for outside specialists (mycologists, remediation engineers, behavioral scientists).
Supplies And Consumables $145K/yr
[#6, #24] Recurring PPE consumables, decon laundry/disposal and waste incineration costs for contaminated consumables.
Equipment Maintenance $100K/yr
[#7, #8] Maintenance, calibration and repairs for inspection equipment and remote robotic platforms.
Emergency Training $100K/yr
[#25] Annual emergency response exercises, tabletop and field training for fungal-specific SOPs.
Medical Surveillance $80K/yr
[#16] Recurring occupational health program and medical surveillance for exposed/working personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.6M/yr
86.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with satellite operations, research ongoing, and no major incidents.
no_major_breach steady_research_and_leasing routine_remediation
🚨 Minor Incident $10.6M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized contamination or loss requiring targeted remediation, asset replacement, and surge logistics.
localized_spread targeted_asset_losses short-term_surge_cleanup
🚨 Major Breach $19.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Significant breach requiring demolition/large-scale remediation, major asset write-offs and extended relocation.
structural_instability_from_destruction spread_to_multiple_facilities large_asset_loss
🚨 Political Exposure $11.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Public exposure or legal/political intervention requiring extensive cover-up, compensations, and heightened operations.
media_leak local_government_involvement litigation_or_compensation
🚨 Catastrophic Regional Spread $34.6M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Worst-case expansion beyond Site-106 requiring regional public-health response and multi-site remediation.
uncontrolled_spread public_health_emergency multi-site_remediation
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#4] Additional guards for 24/7 security of relocated assets and during transfer missions; count chosen within the 10–30 range and costs folded into staff_wages.
Psychometrist 4 [#5] Foundation psychometrists for certification and on-call coverage; team size chosen within recommended 3–6 and costs included in staff_wages.
Administrative Staff / Logistics 6 [#1, #19] Admin/logistics personnel handling increased audit, item authentication backlog, and relocation admin; costs included in staff_wages.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#13, #7] Engineers/maintenance staff supporting containment retrofits, facility systems, and equipment upkeep; wages included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are low-confidence due to wide ranges in analyst notes (large uncertainty in asset write-offs, demolition scope, and potential for escalation), limited precise unit counts, and high variance in possible operational choices (demolish vs quarantine vs long-term research).
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