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SCP-6348 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6348
Expected annual
$16.6M
One-time setup
$59.8M
Annual recurring
$16.5M
Personnel
25
One-time setup estimated at approximately $58.8M driven primarily by drone and vessel acquisition; annual operating costs are approximately $16.5M driven by vessel charters, drone operations/maintenance, personnel, buoy servicing and contingency reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $59.8M
Drone Acquisition $30.0M
[#3] Purchase of high-atmosphere surveillance UAV platforms (3–6 platforms; total ~$10M–$150M).
Vessel Purchase And Outfitting $20.0M
[#7] Optional acquisition and outfitting of dedicated patrol vessel(s) as an alternative to charter ($10M–$40M upfront).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.1M
[#9, #18] Remote atmospheric sampling instrumentation and initial R&D lab setup/mitigation R&D ($200k–$1M and $0.5M–$5M ranges).
Buoy Purchase Deployment $2.0M
[#5] Buoy-mounted hydrophone hardware and deployment (~$1M–$4M total including deployment vessel time).
Insurance Reserve $2.0M
[#17] Contingency reserve held against discovery/claims ($0.5M–$5M suggested reserve).
Facilities $1.6M
[#10, #13] Command/control center build-out and large infrastructure rehab/upgrades prior to winterization ($200k–$1M and $0.5M–$3M ranges combined).
Infrastructure Rehab $1.0M
[#13] Larger one-time infrastructure rehabilitation prior to prolonged operations ($0.5M–$3M possibility).
Archive Hardware $100K
[#21] One-time archive/storage hardware for long-term data (~$50k–$200k).
Equipment $0
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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $16.5M/yr
Vessel Charter Ops $3.6M/yr
[#7] Charter/standby cost for maritime interdiction patrols (~$1.8M–$7.2M/yr practical range).
Drone Ops And Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#4] Aircrew, maintenance, spares and operations for 3–6 high-altitude UAVs (~$1M–$6M/yr).
Contingency Margin $2.2M/yr
[#22] Contingency/uncertainty margin (set to ~15% of baseline recurring operations to cover weather losses, equipment loss, political friction).
Staff Wages $2.0M/yr
[#12] Salaries for monitoring & specialist staff (estimate based on ~25 FTE × ~$80k fully-burdened; range $1M–$4M/yr).
Servicing Vessel Trips $1.8M/yr
[#19] Regular supply/support vessel trips to service buoys and island infrastructure ($600k–$3.6M/yr).
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#9, #18] Ongoing R&D and monitoring programs (ongoing mitigation research $200k–$1M/yr; includes some mission ops).
Buoy Operations $500K/yr
[#6] Buoy network operations, maintenance, battery swaps and replacement buoys (~$200k–$800k/yr).
Rapid Response Contracts $500K/yr
[#8] Helicopter/fast-boat standby contracts, medevac capability (~$200k–$1M/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#13] Seasonal on-island infrastructure maintenance & winterization (~$100k–$500k/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#16] Legal/diplomatic liaison and cover-story management ($100k–$1M/yr).
Insurance Provision $300K/yr
[#17] Annual provisioning to replenish contingency/insurance reserve ($100k–$500k/yr).
Evacuation Transport $200K/yr
[#1] Annual evacuation transport (charter ship / flights to remove personnel) (~$50k–$400k/yr).
Command Center Ops $200K/yr
[#10] Recurring comms, hosting and ops for command/control center (~$100k–$500k/yr).
Training And Drills $200K/yr
[#20] MTF training, evacuation and interdiction drills (~$50k–$500k/yr).
Temporary Accommodation $160K/yr
[#2] Temporary housing/processing in nearest safe port, per-diem and quarantine (~$80k–$240k/yr).
Sample Analysis And Mission Ops $150K/yr
[#9] Recurring sample analysis and unmanned mission ops (~$50k–$300k/yr).
Satellite Bandwidth $150K/yr
[#11] Satellite bandwidth and secure comms (~$50k–$300k/yr).
Handling Recovery Disposal $150K/yr
[#14] Recovery, processing and disposal of petrified remains (per-incident $5k–$40k; aggregate $50k–$500k/yr).
Data Processing And Storage $150K/yr
[#21] Data processing, archive operations, cybersecurity and backups (~$50k–$250k/yr).
Medical And Decontamination $100K/yr
[#15] Medical screening, decontamination and post-exposure care (~$20k–$200k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
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Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $16.5M/yr
94.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; routine evacuation, patrols, regular maintenance and research continue.
seasonal evacuation routine patrols scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $17.0M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized incursion or accidental exposure requiring medevac, recovery of remains, replacement of some sensors and legal/diplomatic work.
unauthorized vessel/aircraft approach single or small-number exposures sensor loss/damage
🚨 Major Breach $21.5M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant interdiction failure resulting in multiple exposures, loss/damage to buoys/drones/vessels, major diplomatic/compensation costs and accelerated emergency R&D.
large commercial or military vessel penetration multiple civilian exposures major equipment loss
👥 Personnel 25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 8 [#12] 24/7 rotational security and interdiction personnel.
Research Scientist 4 [#12, #18] Scientists conducting analysis and R&D on SCP-6348.
Drone Pilot / Operator 4 [#4, #3] UAV pilots and remote-sensor operators for high-altitude surveillance.
Technician / Maintenance 4 [#4, #6, #19] Technicians for UAV, buoy and island infrastructure maintenance.
Hydrophonist / Analyst 2 [#5, #6, #21] Specialists for hydrophone monitoring, acoustic analysis and data review.
Medical Officer 1 [#15] Medical screening, decontamination and post-exposure care.
Administrative Staff 1 [#10, #16] Administrative and legal liaison support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#10, #12] Overall program/site leadership and coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst ranges and several operational assumptions (seasonal activity, 20–60 people, 150 km exclusion). Large ranges for platform acquisition and remote operations plus unknown expansion rate of the phenomenon reduce confidence to medium.
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