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SCP-6385 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6385
Expected annual
$69.9M
One-time setup
$70.0M
Annual recurring
$67.4M
Personnel
95
Up-front one-time costs are dominated by seed funding, emergency reserves, partnership payouts and facility/lab build-outs (~$70M total one-time). Annual recurring operations (agency staffing, medical treatment, covert operations, monitoring and legal/PR) run on the order of tens of millions (~$67.42M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $70.0M
Emergency Reserve $20.0M
[#28] Emergency epidemic reserve and surge capacity contingency fund (held in reserve).
Partnership Payments $12.5M
[#9] Up-front partnership/bribe/negotiation payments to idol agencies / corporations (midpoint of $5M–$20M range assumed as one-time).
Facilities $10.9M
[#15, #18, #29] Site-356 containment locker build-out (#15), biosafety/memetic research laboratory facility build-out (#18), and decommission fund (#29) combined as structural/facility capital.
Seed Funding $10.0M
[#1] Seed funding to launch Foundation virtual idol agency and partner buy-ins (Operation BACHAZAI initial capital).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $5.8M
[#13, #19, #17] Thaumaturgic neutralization R&D setup (#13), robotic augmentation / reverse-engineering procurement & lab setup (#19), and initial medical/memetic safety training package (#17 initial).
Equipment $5.2M
[#4, #5, #23, #26] Virtual production studio hardware & mocap/servers (#4 initial), avatar/AI initial development hardware/licenses (#5 initial), transportation fleet purchase (#23), and secure data/storage initial setup (#26).
Legal Reserve One Time $5.0M
[#8] One-time legal defense / litigation reserve set-aside for anticipated lawsuits and contingency settlements.
Infiltration Costs $500K
[#20] One-time infiltration / initial HUMINT/FININT setup costs related to tracking/disrupting MC&D/third-party markets.
Executive Summary $0
[#30] Aggregate projected first-year / executive summary note; no additional separate one-time charge assigned here.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $67.4M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $23.0M/yr
[#12, #14] Surgical treatment & reconstructive surgery costs for victims (#12 estimate ~20M/yr) plus amnestic production/administration consumables (#14 ~3M/yr).
Staff Wages $9.5M/yr
[#2, #3] Ongoing wages: VTuber agency roster and support staff (#2 estimated midpoint), and MTF-Omega-20 personnel costs / Virtualistas (#3).
Research And Monitoring $9.3M/yr
[#5, #10, #13, #18, #19, #27] Avatar/software maintenance and patching (#5 recurring), influencer monitoring tooling & OSINT (#10), thaumaturgic application operations (#13 recurring), biosafety lab staffing & operations (#18 recurring), robotic reverse-engineering ongoing costs (#19 recurring), and cultural/public-health research programs (#27).
Logistics And Transport $9.0M/yr
[#11, #22, #23] Victim recovery & emergency field response per-case logistics aggregated at scale (#11), international covert operational deployments and associated travel/safehouses (#22), plus transportation maintenance & charter recurring costs (#23).
Cover Story And Legal $4.8M/yr
[#8, #24, #29] Ongoing legal defense retainer & litigation support (#8 recurring), public relations and media suppression campaigns (#24), and regulatory/ethical oversight & admin recurring costs (#29 recurring).
Marketing And Advertising $3.5M/yr
[#6] Global social media marketing & paid advertising campaigns to promote VTubers and reduce real-idol demand.
Covert Ops And Psyops $2.8M/yr
[#7] Covert smear/psyops campaigns, deepfakes, sockpuppets and operational security overhead.
Market Buyout $2.0M/yr
[#21] Annual fund to purchase SCP-6385-1 instances on black markets / auctions to prevent spread and obtain specimens.
Intelligence Operations $1.5M/yr
[#20] Ongoing covert HUMINT/FININT operations to track/disrupt sellers and MC&D activity (recurring operational costs).
Victim Support And Compensation $1.0M/yr
[#25] Victim psychological aftercare, reintegration services and compensation pools (200 patients @ ~$5k each baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $550K/yr
[#4, #15] Hosting, server redundancy & studio maintenance (#4 recurring hosting/maintenance) plus Site-356 containment locker maintenance (#15 recurring).
Training And Ppe $200K/yr
[#17] Ongoing medical & memetic safety training refreshers, drills and PPE replenishment.
Data Storage And Security $200K/yr
[#26] Secure data storage, audit trails and cryptographic documentation ongoing costs.
Incineration And Waste Disposal $120K/yr
[#16] Contracted incineration and hazardous bio-memetic waste disposal recurring contract costs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $67.4M/yr
79.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine case load (~200 cases/yr), ongoing Operation BACHAZAI activities and no major incidents.
200 cases/year steady covert operations normal marketing cadence
🚨 Minor Incident $72.4M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Localized surge or legal/PR crisis requiring extra medical, legal and operational response (e.g., cluster of severe manifestations or exposed MC&D auction).
localized case surge litigation or exposé requiring rapid PR/legal action
🚨 Epidemic Spike $217.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Large-scale epidemic-like acceleration in manifestations requiring mass casualty response, large-scale surgical/thaumaturgic treatment, and heavy international operations to halt spread.
rapid increase in manifestation rate regional epidemic requiring surge hospitals and mass amnesticization
👥 Personnel 95 total
Role Count Notes
VTuber Performer / Operator 45 [#2] Agency roster performers/operators, community managers and content producers (midpoint of 30–60 personnel assumed).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 50 [#3] MTF-Omega-20 personnel (Virtualistas) operating avatars and conducting online/offline operations; assumed ~50 members as in analyst notes.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are well-scoped (medical, staffing) but numerous broad ranges, moral/legal contingencies and market-driven items (partnership payouts, covert ops, MC&D buyouts) introduce significant uncertainty; midpoints used for ranges and contingency reserves included.
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