SCP-6388 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6388
Expected annual
$7.3M
One-time setup
$17.4M
Annual recurring
$7.2M
Personnel
38
Initial one-time stabilization, recovery and facility buildout are the largest costs (~$15.3M); ongoing annual operations (security, research staff, maintenance, and contracted analysis) drive recurring costs (~$7.16M/yr). Major incidents (breach/decontamination) can add multi-million-dollar emergency expenses.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.4M
Facilities $6.2M
[#2, #3, #21, #27] Containment hangar and structural work (reinforced vault/hangar, blast/EM shielding and site purchase/lease capital) plus on-site accommodation construction and decommissioning reserve; includes purchase-option estimate for property.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $3.7M
[#4, #11, #12] BSL-grade environmental controls/HVAC for lab isolation, autopsy/forensic pathology suite buildout, and purchase of specialized analytical equipment (mass spec, SEM/TEM, sequencers, isotope labs).
Equipment $2.9M
[#5, #6, #7, #11, #15, #16, #22, #26] Specialized cutting/penetration tooling and custom robotics, remote-manipulation robotics and imaging purchase, generator/fuel infrastructure, refrigerated/cryogenic storage hardware, transport cradle/heavy-haul prep, IT/TEMPEST build and purchase of routine monitoring instruments; includes an initial contracted major-scan campaign.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#19] Emergency remediation/incident-response set-aside for rapid contracting and remediation.
Decommissioning Reserve $1.0M
[#27] Reserve for potential future demolition, burial, or long-term disposition of wreckage.
Property Purchase $750K
[#2] Capital purchase midpoint estimate for remote acreage or existing facility (purchase option; lease treated as recurring).
Indemnity Reserve Initial $500K
[#20] Initial indemnity/liability reserve assuming insurers will not cover anomalous risks.
Field Recovery And Initial Site Lockdown $300K
[#1] Helicopter/rotary lift, cranes/heavy vehicles, armored vehicles, UXO sweep, hazardous-materials entry teams, 24/7 initial security and civilian relocation/compensation for the first 72–120 hours.
Transport Of Wreckage $300K
[#15] Specialized heavy transport, cradle, route surveys and permits; airlift option/route upgrades if required.
Initial Background Checks $250K
[#17] Deep background investigations, polygraphs, psychological screening for initial ~50 staff (initial vetting costs).
Legal Initial Buyouts $250K
[#18] Initial legal counsel, property acquisition/permits, buyouts and hush payments as required at startup.
Hazardous Large Decon $200K
[#14] Single-event large decontamination/disposal event (upper-range single-event contingency).
Sample Contract Campaign Initial $150K
[#26] Initial major inter-lab contracts (synchrotron, neutron activation, large-bore CT) procured as one-off campaigns.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $7.2M/yr
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Salaries for core research staff (scientists and technicians), security guards (permanent 24/7 coverage), containment officers and on-site technical/administrative staff.
Research And Monitoring $1.2M/yr
[#12, #23] In-house research program funding and contracted analytical work (outsourced mass-spec, isotope labs) excluding inter-lab transport contracts which are separate.
Facilities Maintenance $300K/yr
[#4, #16, #22] Ongoing building, HVAC and environmental-control maintenance, IT/TEMPEST system upkeep, sensor calibration and routine repair.
Tactical Team Retainer $300K/yr
[#9] Rapid-response tactical team retainer and specialized security contracts.
On Site Accommodations Operating $250K/yr
[#21] Dorms, food, laundry and accommodation operating costs for remote-staff rotations.
Power And Fuel $200K/yr
[#5] Electricity and fuel for continuous HVAC, refrigeration, generators and high-powered instruments.
Insurance And Indemnity Topup $200K/yr
[#20] Annual top-up to internal indemnity reserves for liability and claims.
Sample Transport And Interlab Contracts $200K/yr
[#26] Secure transport and recurring inter-lab analysis contracts for high-cost tests.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#15, #28] Vehicle fleet operation, fuel, driver/escort logistics, and routine heavy-transport readiness.
Cover Story And Legal $150K/yr
[#18] Ongoing legal retainers, PR/cover-story maintenance, local liaison and expense for managed deception.
Training And Personnel Support $150K/yr
[#10, #25] Regular drills, certification training, BSL/radiation exercises and mental-health/counseling services for exposed staff.
Contract Scans And Large Bore Imaging $150K/yr
[#7] Recurring budget for contracted large-bore CT, muon tomography or synchrotron beamtime per year.
Diplomatic And National Security Liaison $150K/yr
[#24] Ongoing travel, secure briefings, and interagency coordination costs with military/intelligence partners.
Misc Operations Overhead $150K/yr
[#28] Office supplies, vehicle maintenance, local utilities/taxes and miscellaneous site overhead.
Supplies And Consumables $125K/yr
[#13] PPE, disposable suits, filters, sterilants, reagents, sample vials and routine laboratory disposables.
Hazardous Waste Processing $120K/yr
[#14] Annual certified hazardous/radioactive waste transport, treatment and storage contracts.
Property Lease $80K/yr
[#2] Lease option estimate (if property is leased instead of purchased).
Tooling Consumables And Contract Work $80K/yr
[#6] Consumables and contract support per penetration/opening attempt (diamond wires, cryogens, vendor R&D support).
Background Checks And Continuous Vetting $50K/yr
[#17] Ongoing vetting, polygraphs and psychological monitoring for staff.
Cryostorage Running Costs $50K/yr
[#11] LN2/LN2 systems, maintenance and power for long-term refrigerated/cryogenic specimen storage.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $7.2M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year of containment operations with routine research, maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_research_campaigns
🚨 Minor Incident $7.7M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$450K vs baseline
Localized contamination, small structural damage, or targeted leak requiring emergency response and limited external contracting.
small_leak_or_contamination limited_external_decontamination_contract
🚨 Major Breach $12.2M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or active anomalous reactivation requiring large-scale decontamination, rebuild, and possible public remediation.
large_scale_breach reactivation_or_mobility_of_wreckage
👥 Personnel 38 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 6 [#8] Senior scientists (exobiology, materials, aerospace) forming core research leadership.
Lab Technician / Technical Staff 8 [#8] Technicians, sample processors, imaging operators supporting research and autopsy work.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#9] 24/7 armed perimeter and internal security personnel, multi-shift coverage.
Containment Officer / Hazmat Team 6 [#10] BSL-trained containment and hazmat staff for direct sample handling and entry teams.
Administrative Staff / IT / Maintenance 4 [#16, #28] Administrative, IT (secure comms), facilities and vehicle maintenance staff.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#8, #18] Senior site leadership and liaison for legal/agency coordination.
Medical Officer 1 [#11, #25] On-site physician/pathologist support for autopsy and staff medical care.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates use midpoints of wide analyst ranges; many costs depend on unknowns (mass/material of wreckage, need for BSL-4/radiation hardening, frequency of high-cost contracted campaigns). Reasonably traceable items (construction, salaries) increase confidence, but anomalous behavior and site-specific factors keep overall confidence at medium.
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