SCP-6405 Euclid ~ medium confidence
SCP-6405
Expected annual
$33.8M
One-time setup
$12.5M
Annual recurring
$33.3M
Personnel
85
Initial capital and contingency reserves are in the low tens of millions (mostly for contingency remediation and escalation); annual operating costs are dominated by continuous offshore patrols, crewing, and mobilizations, yielding a baseline recurring cost of roughly $33.3M/year.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $12.5M
Environmental Remediation Contingency $5.0M
[#13] Contingency remediation fund for worst-case fuel/oil spills and large-scale environmental response (one-time reserve).
Contingency Research Reserve $3.0M
[#23] Rapid-escalation contingency reserve for emergency scale-up of containment, research, or construction (recommended flexible pool).
Equipment $2.1M
[#1, #4, #7, #8, #10, #14, #20] Purchase of tether hardware/spare sets, RHIBs and davits, initial cold-weather PPE kits, mechanical cameras/portable darkroom hardware, remote (shipboard-facing) radiation-monitoring hardware, initial access-control/sensor systems, and initial ship-to-shore communications hardware.
Excavation And Cutting Capability $1.1M
[#18] One-time excavation/cutting operation capability (per-operation budget estimate including engineering studies and mobilization-capable contracting for a single significant cut/excavation).
Cover Story Initial Investigation $600K
[#16] Initial investigative/cleanup and legal/diplomatic work (forensic ownership tracing, initial cover-story setup, emergency legal retainers).
Facilities $350K
[#17] Secure vault setup and related physical security construction for archival/containment vaults on shore.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $325K
[#9, #21] Film archival & digitization lab setup (cleanroom/archival storage, scanners) and initial archive-loss-prevention infrastructure/climate-controlled storage for film negatives and backups.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $33.3M/yr
Logistics And Transport $21.2M/yr
[#2, #3, #12, #15] Biannual tether installation/anchor-handling mobilizations, continuous maritime perimeter patrol charters/operations (two vessels on-station), standby towing/scuttle retainers and helicopter/air-support retainers.
Staff Wages $8.5M/yr
[#5] Salaries, hazard pay and rotation logistics for patrol crews, RHIB crews, watch officers, logistics personnel and support staff (50–120 roster; loaded average cost).
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #19] Ongoing film archiving/processing, passive dosimetry program and lab analysis, specialist research grants/subcontracts (radiation physics/anomalous behavior), and annual training/SOP refreshers.
Administrative Overhead $600K/yr
[#24] Program management, accounting, security clearances, audits and overhead for long-term remote containment program.
Environmental Retainer $350K/yr
[#13] Annual readiness kit/retainer for spill-response and environmental protection services.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#4, #7, #8, #21, #22, #25] Annual RHIB maintenance/fuel, PPE replacement/consumables, film processing consumables, off-site archival storage maintenance, waste handling/decontamination, and routine replacement of destroyed/lost items.
Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr
[#16] Ongoing legal, diplomatic liaison, cover-story maintenance, falsified-manifest work and routine international/registry liaison.
Medical And Occupational Health $300K/yr
[#6] Pre/post-deployment medical screening, counseling, medevac readiness, PTSD and cold-exposure monitoring, periodic evacuations.
Facilities Maintenance $200K/yr
[#9, #14] Annual maintenance and operations for archival facility and sensor/net systems (radar/AIS/acoustic buoy ops).
Communications Service $150K/yr
[#20] Annual service and subscription costs for redundant/hardened ship-to-shore communications and satellite links used by patrol assets.
Miscellaneous Destroyed Equipment $30K/yr
[#25] Replacement budget for accidentally-destroyed personal and small operational equipment lost or damaged during missions.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $33.3M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled tether mobilizations, continuous patrols, routine research and maintenance; no major incidents.
scheduled_tether_replacements chartered_patrol_operations routine_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $34.8M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Localized failure or minor emergency (single tow/mobilization, small remediation and investigative response).
single_tether_failure emergency_tow_mobilization localized_remediation
🚨 Major Breach $44.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$11.0M vs baseline
Significant tether failure or loss of the vessel requiring scuttle, large environmental remediation, emergency research escalation and major legal/containment costs.
complete_tether_failure vessel_drift_or_loss large_scale_environmental_remediation
👥 Personnel 85 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 38 Deck-level boarding and interdiction teams, primary law-enforcement containment personnel. (Mapped to staff wages #5)
Patrol Vessel Crew & Watch Officers 22 Crew necessary to operate two continuous offshore patrol vessels (navigation, engineering, watch rotation). (Mapped to staff wages #5)
Research Scientist 6 Radiation physics and anomalous behavior study staff (embedded and external liaisons). (Mapped to research funding #11)
Medical Officer 4 On-call medical staff for pre/post deployment, medevac coordination and occupational health. (Mapped to medical program #6)
Engineer / Maintenance 5 Maintenance for vessels, RHIBs, sensor suites and mechanical systems. (Mapped to equipment maintenance #4/#14)
Logistics / Operations Coordinator 4 Mission planning, rotations, transport coordination and supply chain. (Mapped to logistics & transport #2/#3)
Administrative Staff 3 Program management, accounting, clearances and administrative overhead. (Mapped to administrative overhead #24)
RHIB Coxswain / Boarding Specialists 2 High-speed boarding specialists trained for 9-minute sortie windows. (Mapped to RHIB purchase/maintenance #4)
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Program lead and executive liaison for containment program.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and operational requirements, allowing medium confidence; many items (environmental remediation, major excavation, breach likelihood) have wide tails and depend on unknown anomaly behaviors, which prevents a high confidence rating.
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