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SCP-6410 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6410
Expected annual
$21.5M
One-time setup
$22.4M
Annual recurring
$21.3M
Personnel
132
Estimated one-time startup of ~$22.38M driven by regional facility construction, acquisition/reserve funds and equipment/software purchases; recurring annual costs of ~$21.34M driven primarily by staff wages, security operations, and an ongoing acquisition/lease fund.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $22.4M
Facilities $6.0M
[#7, #9, #11, #20] Regional containment facility purchase/retrofit for 3 sites ($4.5M), clinic buildout ($500k) and disposal/termination facility modifications ($1M). HVAC/fit-out noted as included in facility build-outs per #9.
Acquisition Seed Fund $5.0M
[#15] One-time seed fund to begin opportunistic purchases/leases of sites of interest.
Emergency Contingency Reserve $5.0M
[#27] One-time reserve setup recommended for surge response (callable fund).
Equipment $4.3M
[#1, #5, #6, #8, #10, #14, #21, #23, #26] One-time purchases and dev: webcrawler/software ($150k) [#1], vehicle fleet ($680k) [#5], drones ($150k) [#6], item-lockers/museum storage ($2,000k) [#8], security hardware (cameras/locks) ($300k) [#10], predictive analytics development ($250k) [#14], heavy-lift & containment rigs ($400k) [#21], initial security hardening ($250k) [#23], and initial consumables stock ($150k) [#26].
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#12] Secure research lab fit-out and specialized equipment (materials analysis, imaging, etc.) estimated at ~$1,000,000 one-time.
Litigation Contingency Fund $500K
[#24] One-time contingency fund to seed litigation reserve / indemnity pool.
Initial Training And Curriculum $200K
[#4] One-time development of specialized training & certification curriculum for JTF Tau-14 and AWD training.
Legal Startup Fees $200K
[#16] One-off startup legal fees, in-country setup and permits.
Amnestics Stockpile $150K
[#19] Initial manufacture and secure storage of amnestic doses and delivery devices.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $21.3M/yr
Staff Wages $10.0M/yr
[#2, #3, #9, #10, #11, #12] Annual fully-burdened payroll: intelligence analysts (4 FTE) [#2], JTF field personnel (40 operators) [#3], conservation specialists (4 contract specialists) [#9], security guards (72) [#10], clinic staffing (2 vets/biologists + 2 techs) [#11], research staffing (6–10; modeled as 8 FTE) [#12].
Administrative Overhead $3.0M/yr
[#28] Finance, HR, procurement, janitorial, site services; modeled as ~20% of recurring operational costs per #28.
Cover Story And Legal $2.6M/yr
[#16, #17, #18, #24, #25] Ongoing legal/government liaison ($600k) [#16], cultural consultants and cover-story PR campaigns ($800k) [#17], practical effects/cover-up production ($500k) [#18], insurance premiums ($300k) [#24], PR damage-control retainer ($400k) [#25].
Acquisition And Lease Fund $2.0M/yr
[#15] Conservative annual allocation for opportunistic purchases and leases of junkyards, shrines, museums and storage.
Logistics And Transport $1.2M/yr
[#5, #6, #22] Vehicle maintenance/fuel (~$150k) [#5], drone maintenance/operator training (~$40k) [#6], transportation & incident response moves (~$1M) [#22].
Facilities Maintenance $1.1M/yr
[#7, #9, #10, #21] Site operations/maintenance for 3 regional facilities ($600k) [#7], energy/HVAC for sites ($300k) [#9], security systems monitoring & maintenance ($200k) [#10], heavy-lift/containment rig maintenance ($40k) [#21].
Research And Monitoring $685K/yr
[#1, #12, #13, #14, #29] Ongoing webcrawler hosting/alerts ($60k) [#1], research staffing consumables/sample testing ($150k) [#12], radiocarbon/provenance testing (~$100k) [#13], predictive analytics data/license & ops ($125k) [#14], archival & stewardship grants ($250k) [#29].
Security Intel And Counter Surveillance $200K/yr
[#23] Ongoing digital intrusion detection, OPSEC teams, audits and secure comms monitoring.
Termination And Hazardous Materials Contract $200K/yr
[#20] Standing contract and readiness for termination/disposal services (hazmat, incineration) recurring retainer.
Supplies And Consumables $145K/yr
[#11, #19, #26] Medical/veterinary consumables and supplies ($50k) [#11], amnestic annual replacement/quality control ($20k) [#19], capture/PPE/consumables replenishment ($75k) [#26].
Misc Incident Drills And Audits $100K/yr
[#30] Tabletop exercises, full-scale drills, third-party audits and red-team exercises.
Training And Certification $75K/yr
[#4] Annual refresher training & certifications for JTF Tau-14 and specialized handling.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $21.3M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard monitoring, acquisitions and scheduled training; no major clustered activations or large-scale responses.
routine monitoring scheduled acquisitions no major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $21.8M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Single-site incident requiring rapid-response deployment, extra overtime, short-term temporary storage and modest legal/PR activity.
single large animated instance localized public exposure short surge deployments
🚨 Clustered Activation $28.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Multiple simultaneous activations (clustered outbreak across several sites) requiring surge funding, mass transport, emergency storage, and large-scale PR/legal operations.
clustered activations multiple large objects extended surge operations
👥 Personnel 132 total
Role Count Notes
Intelligence Analyst / Monitoring Staff 4 [#2] Bilingual (Japanese/English) analysts to review crawler alerts and validate incidents.
JTF Operator / Field Agent 40 [#3] Standing rapid-response team (negotiators, medics, containment techs, drivers).
Security Officer / Guard 72 [#10] 24/7 guard force across regional sites (three shifts).
Veterinarian / Biologist 2 [#11] On-site medical/veterinary staff to assess and treat biological/physiological instances.
Medical / Tech Support 2 [#11] Clinic technicians and support staff.
Research Scientist / Technician 8 [#12] Researchers and technicians for Mythology & Folkloristics and Anomalous Weapons Development.
Conservation Specialist 4 [#9] Contracted conservation specialists for object preservation and pest control.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates for most costs (staffing, facilities, equipment) enabling a reasoned budget, but many items (frequency of activations, size distribution of instances, policy choices on centralization vs distribution) introduce significant uncertainty; contingency reserves and acquisition decisions create a wide plausible range.
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