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SCP-6412 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6412
Expected annual
$3.9M
One-time setup
$14.9M
Annual recurring
$3.7M
Personnel
17
Estimated initial capital outlay is roughly $14.9M driven largely by potential land purchase, site construction/vaults, and contingency reserves; recurring annual costs are about $3.70M driven mainly by covert security staffing, arcane/ritual team salaries, MTF readiness, research, and ongoing cover-story/legal/administrative support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $14.9M
Land Purchase $8.0M
[#1] One-time purchase option to acquire ~3.14 km² (≈776 acres) around the tree (alternative to recurring easement).
Crisis Contingency Reserve $1.8M
[#23] Dedicated contingency fund held in reserve to respond to major breaches, mass amnesticization, legal/PR fallout.
Decommission Contingency $1.5M
[#27] One-time cost estimate for demolition/destruction/decommissioning options (highly variable).
Equipment $1.2M
[#3, #4, #5, #15, #17, #18] Patrol vehicles and drones, MTF heavy equipment/armored vehicle, exterior surveillance hardware, specialized interior re-entry standby kit, initial ordnance stockpile, initial uniform/gear issuance.
Facilities $678K
[#9, #10, #16] Small site operations building construction, secure vault construction/environmental controls, hatch fabrication and initial arborist reinforcement.
Legal One Time Reserve $500K
[#8] One-time legal/liaison contingency/reserve for expedited fees/hush payments or settlements (initial reserve as noted).
Community One Time Settlement $500K
[#22] Possible one-off larger settlement/resolution payments to local parties (mid-range estimate for occasional settlement event).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $188K
[#11, #14] Onboarding/recruitment/training costs for arcane cartography team and redundant data/archival hardware setup for experimental preservation techniques.
Cover Story Setup $150K
[#7] Initial cover-story/PR setup (brochures, webpages, staged events, initial grants/paid actors).
Rare Item Purchase $150K
[#12] Occasional one-off rare reagent/material purchases required by ritual program.
Amnestic Inventory One Time $100K
[#6] Initial purchase and secure storage setup for Class B/C amnestics and related medical disposables.
Environmental One Time Remediation $100K
[#24] Possible one-off environmental remediation / regulatory compliance remediation if covert modifications trigger violations.
Perimeter Signage $30K
[#2] Covert perimeter infrastructure (signage, low fencing, decorative park barriers) initial installation.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.7M/yr
Staff Wages $1.4M/yr
[#3, #11] Covert on-site security 'park ranger' payroll (12 full-time positions) and arcane cartography/ritual team salaries; includes basic benefits and payroll load.
Research And Monitoring $650K/yr
[#13] Funded research program to study anti-cartographic effects and develop resilient archival/mapping procedures (lab time, instrumentation, experiments).
Cover Story And Legal $400K/yr
[#7, #8, #22] Ongoing cover-story/PR budget, legal/liaison retainers, and community mitigation discretionary funds.
Mtf Readiness $400K/yr
[#5] Recurring readiness/armory/munitions budget to maintain on-call armed response capability.
Supplies And Consumables $215K/yr
[#6, #12, #14] Annual amnestic replenishment and medical consumables, ritual consumables/reagents, and media/offsite archival media replacements.
Personnel Vetting $125K/yr
[#20] Background checks, security clearances, CI monitoring program costs for high-clearance staff.
Specialized Equipment Maintenance $100K/yr
[#17] Annual maintenance/replacement of specialized interior re-entry/rescue equipment kept on standby.
Administrative Overhead $80K/yr
[#25] Utilities, insurance, secure communications, administrative staff and site overhead.
Containment Audit $60K/yr
[#19] Annual containment audits, Ethics Committee briefings, and secure briefing material costs.
Training And Drills $60K/yr
[#21] Regular realistic training, drills, and re-certification for rangers, medics, and MTF on procedures and amnestic administration.
Psychological Care $60K/yr
[#26] Counseling, psychiatric care, and after-action treatment for staff exposed to interior or affected by operations.
Facilities Maintenance $58K/yr
[#9, #10, #15, #16, #18] Building utilities/maintenance, vault environmental control maintenance, surveillance upkeep, arborist inspections, and ordnance storage audit/maintenance.
Logistics And Transport $52K/yr
[#4] Fuel, vehicle maintenance and mobility support for patrol vehicles and occasional transport; includes drone ops.
Environmental Remediation $42K/yr
[#24] Ongoing environmental impact monitoring, covert mitigation, and compliance work.
Perimeter Infrastructure Maintenance $6K/yr
[#2] Periodic replacement/repair of low-visibility barriers and signage.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.7M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: ongoing containment posture with routine patrols, research, and cover-story operations; no major incidents.
no breaches routine operations scheduled research and maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $4.1M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
Localized breach or small intrusion requiring MTF response, limited amnesticization, minor equipment replacement and legal/PR actions.
single breach/intrusion limited MTF deployment local media exposure requiring small PR/legal action
🚨 Major Breach $7.2M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$3.5M vs baseline
Large breach or exposure event causing mass amnesticization, multi-day MTF deployment, large legal settlements, and major replenishment of reserves.
wide perimeter breach mass civilian exposure major legal/PR fallout
👥 Personnel 17 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#3] Covert armed 'park rangers' to provide 24/7 perimeter coverage (4 on-site per shift × 3 shifts).
Arcane Cartographer / Ritualist 3 [#11] Small specialized ritual/arcane team (2–4 specialists); median headcount used for budgeting.
Administrative Staff 2 [#25] Site administrative and operations staff supporting utilities, communications, and finance for the covert site.
📋 Confidence Notes
Individual line items are based on analyst ranges and canonical staffing assumptions, but many costs (land acquisition, contingency reserves, frequency/severity of breaches, research outcomes) are highly variable; numeric estimates use mid-range choices where ranges were provided.
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