SCP-6516 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6516
Expected annual
$3.6M
One-time setup
$17.4M
Annual recurring
$3.5M
Personnel
33
One-time setup (land purchase, restoration, and perimeter security) dominates capital expenditures (~$17.4M), while recurring annual operating costs are driven by personnel (security + research), contingency/reserve funding, and cover-story/legal functions (~$3.52M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $17.4M
Property Acquisition $12.5M
[#1] Purchase of Harbrook Estate and ~425 ha of land under front agency (midpoint estimate).
Facilities $3.2M
[#5, #7, #6] Historic-building restoration/adaptation (Harbrook House), perimeter fencing and gates, and initial structural stabilization work for the bell tower.
Equipment $869K
[#6, #8, #15, #16, #10] Initial sensor installs for bell tower, surveillance/CCTV/thermal systems, communications equipment & generator, initial site vehicles, and rapid-response kit/field vehicles.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $531K
[#13, #14] Field-survey and remote-sensing capital (LiDAR/GPR/UAVs) and initial secure data systems/servers/licenses for research operations.
Legal Incorporation $344K
[#2] Initial legal fees and incorporation costs for front agencies, trusts, and purchase structuring.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.5M/yr
Staff Wages $1.7M/yr
[#9, #12, #21, #11, #10] Security staff (guards, control operators, manager), research scientists & technicians, grounds/conservation staff, medical officer and associated staffing, and recurring rapid-response team personnel/training.
Cover Story And Legal $456K/yr
[#2, #3, #4, #22, #20] Ongoing legal counsel/compliance for the front agency, DEFRA/regulatory liaison and lobbying, public-relations/cover-story upkeep, heritage compliance costs, and insurance/indemnity arrangements.
Long Term Capital Reserve $375K/yr
[#28] Annual set-aside for major future capital repairs/replacements (amortization for house, tower, sensors, and infrastructure).
Research And Monitoring $253K/yr
[#24, #25, #14, #26, #13] Annual experimental budget, continual mapping/legal surveying, data operations/licenses, specialist loss/replacement allowance for anomalous equipment failures, and ongoing remote-sensing operating costs.
Incident Contingency Fund $250K/yr
[#19] Annual provisioning toward a contingency fund for civilian reimbursements, legal settlements, bribes/compensation, temporary media control, and ad-hoc cover actions.
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#5, #6, #7] Ongoing maintenance for Harbrook House, periodic small conservation repairs, bell tower masonry upkeep and perimeter/fence repairs.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#17, #13, #18] Field consumables and PPE, expendable survey consumables, and visitor/test-subject event costs (escorts, monitoring, med follow-up).
Utilities And Rates $81K/yr
[#27] Electricity, water, sewage, council/business rates and basic site utilities for house and infrastructure.
Logistics And Transport $75K/yr
[#16, #15, #10] Vehicle fuel & maintenance for site fleet and ATVs/UTVs, communications link maintenance, and field transport for response teams.
Surveillance Monitoring $62K/yr
[#8] Annual monitoring, off-site review, and maintenance contracts for CCTV/thermal/sensor networks.
Training And Resilience $50K/yr
[#23] Ongoing training, scenario drills, psychological resilience, debriefing and PTSD mitigation programs for staff.
Bell Tower Maintenance $12K/yr
[#6] Regular bell mechanism and tamper/sensor maintenance (annual).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.5M/yr
91.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine staffing, maintenance, research, and cover-story activities.
routine_operations scheduled_research_and_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.8M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized incident: lost/stranded civilian requiring extended search & medical follow-up, small property damage, and limited PR/legal actions.
lost_visitor_recovery minor_property_damage limited_media_attention
🚨 Major Breach $6.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$2.5M vs baseline
Significant containment incident or public exposure requiring large-scale repairs, extended legal settlements, major PR/cover-up operations, and replacement of lost equipment.
significant_property_damage multiple_civilian_injuries major_media_scandal
👥 Personnel 33 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 10 [#9] Front-line guards providing 24/7 perimeter and patrol coverage (shift rotation to cover leave).
Control Room Operator 2 [#9] CCTV/sensor monitoring and access control operators.
Site Security Manager 1 [#9] On-site security management and liaison.
Research Scientist 3 [#12] Senior researchers focusing on apparitions, topology, and coordinated experiments.
Technician / Analyst 3 [#12, #13] Technical staff for field surveys, instrumentation maintenance, and data analysis.
Groundskeeper / Conservation Staff 4 [#21] Grounds and ecological management team (3 grounds staff + manager) to sustain the 'nature reserve' cover and safety.
Medical Officer 1 [#11] On-site medic and coordination for private ambulance contracts and counseling referrals.
Rapid Response Team Member 6 [#10] Field search & recovery team members (ATV/K9 capable) for missing-visitor recovery and emergency response.
Administrative Staff / PR & Legal Liaison 2 [#2, #3, #4] Staff managing front agency administration, FOI handling, PR, and routine liaison with regulators.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [] Senior oversight (Director-level oversight per Special Containment Procedures; not itemized in Stage 1 line items).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on analyst midpoints and reasonable USD conversion from GBP; many line items have wide ranges and local-market variability (property market, restoration condition, and incident frequency), so figures are indicative rather than precise.
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