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SCP-6531 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-6531
Expected annual
$2.8M
One-time setup
$4.1M
Annual recurring
$2.8M
Personnel
11
One-time capital expenditures are approximately $4.14M for site acquisition, perimeter works, equipment, vehicle procurement and lab/vault fit-out; annual recurring operations are approximately $2.76M driven primarily by an annual Halloween surge response, a sustained research program, and year-round security and support staff.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.1M
Facilities $2.2M
[#1, #2, #26, #27] Property acquisition, permanent perimeter/access-control installation, structural remediation/sealing and possible demolition/site remediation (selected midpoint estimates for buy + major remediation/demolition options).
Equipment $860K
[#3, #7, #9, #15, #17, #18] Initial CCTV/thermal sensor network, weapons/body armor and squad equipment, procurement of non-lethal containment hardware, emergency generator purchase, drone procurement and communications/IT setup (one-time procurement and installation costs).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $500K
[#11] Forensic analysis & pathology initial lab setup and instrumentation for sample testing.
Vehicle Fleet Procurement $300K
[#16] Purchase of armored vans/utility trucks/personnel carriers (fleet procurement estimate).
Artifact Storage And Vault $250K
[#12] Secure archival vault fit-out (climate control, Faraday shielding, inventory systems).
Decon Ppe And Kit $25K
[#23] Initial decontamination PPE and kits procurement (one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.8M/yr
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#11, #25] Annual forensic testing budget and long-term containment research program (multi-year research and countermeasure development).
Annual Halloween Surge $500K/yr
[#6] MTF Eta-13 deployment and additional surge personnel/contractors (one major annual event cost - overtime, hazard pay, deployment logistics).
Contingency Fund $360K/yr
[#30] Reserve fund for unexpected escalations; set to ~15% of estimated annual operating budget.
Staff Wages $240K/yr
[#5] Core on-site security staff salaries (2–6 guards; estimate assumes a 4-guard core team with benefits).
Logistics And Transport $85K/yr
[#14, #16, #17, #10] Temporary event infrastructure per-event (command post, lighting, portable shelters), vehicle maintenance/fuel, drone flight ops/licenses, and ambulance/transport per-event costs.
Archive Operations And Curation $80K/yr
[#13] Salaries and operations for archivists, conservators, and secure transport of items to/from vault.
Cover Story And Legal $75K/yr
[#19, #28] Public relations, cover story maintenance, coordination with local authorities, and specialty insurance/legal reserves.
Supplies And Consumables $65K/yr
[#8, #9, #10] Ammunition and expendables, annual non-lethal consumables, and routine medical consumables for operations.
Recordkeeping And Redaction $50K/yr
[#29] Administrative staffing for classified reporting, redaction, FOIA responses and internal audits.
Facilities Maintenance $45K/yr
[#4, #12] CCTV/sensor maintenance, licensed software, storage costs and vault climate/utility operations.
Training And Exercises $30K/yr
[#21] Regular tabletop and live drills, procedural updates, and new-hire training for seasonal staff.
Communications And It Ongoing $25K/yr
[#18] Ongoing encrypted comms, satellite uplink fees, secure hosting for video feeds and logs.
Community Management $20K/yr
[#20] Social media monitoring, temporary event PR, local compensation/ads to mitigate publicity.
Psychological Care $15K/yr
[#22] Counseling and long-term personnel support for MTF and guards exposed to traumatic events.
Morgue And Evidence $10K/yr
[#24] Temporary morgue capacity and chain-of-custody logistics for recovered entities/evidence.
Decon And Waste Disposal $5K/yr
[#23] Per-event hazardous waste disposal contracts and decontamination services.
Fuel And Service $5K/yr
[#15] Fuel and service contracts for emergency generators and on-site power during operations.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.8M/yr
87.0% probability / year
Normal year with planned annual deployment and routine operations; no major incidents beyond expected annual surge.
annual_Oct31_manifestation routine_maintenance no major breaches
🚨 Minor Incident $3.0M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized containment complication requiring additional response, repairs, extra medical treatment and legal activity.
unexpected property damage larger-than-planned emergence group needing extra resources
🚨 Major Breach $4.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline
Significant breach with casualties, public exposure, extended containment operations and major forensic/research response.
large-scale containment failure civilian exposure or casualty event
🚨 Demolition Decision $4.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$1.2M vs baseline
Decision to raze or permanently seal the facility in-year to eliminate recurring manifestations or public hazard.
policy decision to remove hazard unsustainable repeated incidents
👥 Personnel 11 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 Core 24/7 on-site guards (2–6 range noted). MTF surge personnel are event-specific and not counted in steady-state headcount. [#5]
Research Scientist 3 On-staff research leads supporting containment research program (salaries and program costs in research_and_monitoring). [#25, #11]
Engineer / Maintenance 1 Facility/equipment maintenance and generator/IT support (covers recurring maintenance estimates). [#15, #3, #18]
Medical Officer 1 On-call medical support for routine operations; larger medical teams are event-contracted. [#10]
Archivist / Curator 1 Artifact handling, cataloguing and vault operations (archive_operations_and_curation). [#12, #13]
Administrative Staff 1 Recordkeeping, redaction, FOIA responses and administrative support. [#29]
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, enabling a mid-confidence estimate; however many items have wide ranges (esp. research, surge, and demolition), and yearly variance (one-off capital decisions and incident severity) is significant, hence medium confidence.
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