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SCP-654 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-654
Expected annual
$3.3M
One-time setup
$6.5M
Annual recurring
$3.3M
Personnel
3
Initial one-time setup is approximately $6.5M driven by specialized tank construction, site/building work, chillers, and integrated systems; ongoing annual operations are roughly $3.28M driven by contractor management, energy (chillers), staffing, security, and research/monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.5M
Facilities $3.7M
[#1, #4, #8] Structural tank construction (~$2,000,000 midpoint), ceramic/composite wall plating & insulation (~$425,000 midpoint), and facility shell/site development (~$1,250,000 midpoint).
Equipment $1.9M
[#2, #3, #5, #6] Industrial chillers and associated heat rejection (~$1,200,000 midpoint), backup generators/UPS installation (~$200,000), arc-protection/grounding hardware (~$150,000), and water treatment/circulation mechanical systems (~$325,000).
Capture And Transfer $550K
[#9] Specialized Arctic capture and refrigerated transport, crane/lift and initial transfer costs (midpoint ~$550,000).
Decommissioning $175K
[#27] Decommissioning and site remediation if habitat retired (midpoint ~$175,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $125K
[#7] Monitoring/instrumentation setup (sensors, acoustic/EM monitoring, cameras, DAQ and secure storage) estimated at the midpoint ~$125,000.
Legal And Permitting One Time $55K
[#22] Upfront legal/permitting/environmental assessment fees (midpoint ~$55,000).
Data Security Setup $20K
[#21] One-time secure IT/network setup and encrypted backups (midpoint ~$20,000).
Ppe Initial $15K
[#19] Initial arc-rated PPE and insulated gear (midpoint ~$15,000).
Emergency Initial Kit $10K
[#18] One-time emergency response kit (sedation/anesthesia/euthanasia tools) midpoint ~$10,000.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.3M/yr
Contractor Management $1.1M/yr
[#10] Annual contractor/management fees per Boring Agreement (midpoint ~$1,150,000/yr).
Contingency $428K/yr
[#28] Operating contingency (allocated at ~15% of annual operating budget) to cover anomalous behaviors, engineering surprises (~$427,500/yr).
Security And Access Control $300K/yr
[#13] 24/7 security contract, CCTV, access control (midpoint ~$300,000/yr).
Staff Wages $275K/yr
[#11] Keeper/marine technician salaries (2–4 FTE; midpoint 3 FTE, total midpoint ~$275,000/yr).
Energy Electricity $275K/yr
[#14] Continuous electrical load for chillers, pumps and life-support (midpoint ~$275,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $192K/yr
[#7, #20] Ongoing monitoring data costs (~$17,500/yr midpoint) and active research/instrumentation program (~$175,000/yr midpoint).
Supplies And Consumables $142K/yr
[#6, #15, #16] Feed/diet (~$102,500 midpoint), makeup seawater/salts/chemicals (~$25,000 midpoint), and filter media/consumables (~$15,000 estimated).
Facilities Maintenance $140K/yr
[#5, #17] Routine maintenance and service contracts (chiller service, pump rebuilds, seal replacements) midpoint ~$125,000 plus periodic arc/grounding testing and inspections ~$15,000 -> total ~$140,000/yr.
Veterinarian And Medical $130K/yr
[#12] Veterinarian retainer (~$100,000 midpoint) plus meds/consumables (~$30,000 midpoint) -> ~$130,000/yr.
Cover Story And Legal $70K/yr
[#22, #23] Ongoing permitting/compliance (~$15,000/yr) plus cover/PR maintenance (~$55,000/yr) combined (~$70,000/yr).
Insurance And Indemnity $55K/yr
[#24] Liability and specialized marine animal insurance (~$55,000/yr midpoint).
Data Security It $30K/yr
[#21] Ongoing secure data storage, encrypted backups and IT maintenance (~$30,000/yr).
Decontamination Event Costs $30K/yr
[#26] Annual allocation for potential decontamination/environmental remediation events (per-event can be $10k–$100k; allocating ~$30,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $25K/yr
[#3] Recurring fuel/maintenance for backup generators, occasional refrigerated transport and logistics (~$25,000/yr allocated).
Emergency Fund $15K/yr
[#18] Annual replenishment allocation for emergency consumables and immediate repairs (~$15,000/yr).
Drills And Compliance $15K/yr
[#25] Regular containment drills, audits and reviews (~$15,000/yr).
Ppe And Training Recurring $5K/yr
[#19] Annual refresher training and PPE replacements (~$5,000/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.3M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with standard operations and no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $3.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline
Localized equipment damage or moderate discharge event causing veterinary treatment and limited repairs.
tusk discharge damages pumps/sensors non-critical injury requiring treatment
🚨 Major Breach $3.8M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant equipment failure or large discharge event requiring major repairs, replacement of chillers or structural work.
chiller failure large arc damages tank lining or electronics
🚨 Neutralization Due To Negligence $3.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Loss of the specimen or catastrophic incident leading to neutralization, fines and decommissioning costs in that year.
operator negligence fatal injury to animal regulatory fine and decommissioning
👥 Personnel 3 total
Role Count Notes
Keeper / Marine Technician 3 [#11] Dedicated animal care staff (2–4 FTE per notes; midpoint 3 included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Notes provide fairly detailed line-item ranges allowing midpoint estimates, but many items have wide ranges (capture, contractor fees, chillers, contingency) and some recurring allocations are judgement-based; therefore confidence is medium.
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