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SCP-6644 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6644
Expected annual
$5.9M
One-time setup
$5.9M
Annual recurring
$5.6M
Personnel
26
Initial one-time setup for a regional program is roughly $5.9M (main drivers: facility enclosure, lab upgrades, vehicle/sensor/drone purchases, and a contingency reserve). Annual recurring costs are roughly $5.58M/yr (main drivers: MTF salaries, research/monitoring, logistics/helicopter access, and information/legal operations).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.9M
Facilities $2.0M
[#11] Construction/upgrading of capture/containment enclosures and site structural work for large vegetated habitats and associated site prep.
Equipment $1.4M
[#3, #5, #6, #7, #14, #15, #21, #24] Purchase of field vehicles/ATVs/trailers, initial remote sensor nodes and installations, drone fleet, solar/hardware for some nodes, decon trailers and field decon kits, evidence storage hardware/servers, rapid-response kits, and communications hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.4M
[#8, #10] Acoustic/forensic audio lab setup, wet-lab (BSL-2/3) upgrade capital and compliance, initial sequencing/instrumentation for biological/mycological analysis.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#23] One-time contingency/reserve fund for emergency escalations, rapid exclusion zones, mass amnestic operations, and emergency logistics.
Signage Rollout $25K
[#19] Initial printing/installation and local rollout of park/reserve signage and region-level lobbying costs to discourage mushroom picking.
Program Scale Estimate $0
[#30] Placeholder to explicitly reference analyst's overall regional vs national program ROM; detailed costs are distributed among other line items.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.6M/yr
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#1, #2, #8, #9, #20, #26, #28] MTF Gamma-44 cadre salaries/benefits and ongoing tactical training; includes acoustic analysts and research staff salaries, social-media/data analysts, psychological support contracts and baseline research headcount. (Long-term captive program staffing accounted separately and baseline set to 0 unless capture occurs.)
Research And Monitoring $760K/yr
[#5, #6, #7, #9, #20, #22, #27] Sensor node replacement/maintenance, drone maintenance/consumables, lab consumables and per-sample sequencing costs, social-media/tooling subscriptions, long-term ecological monitoring, and GIS/data-modeling purchases and analyst costs.
Cover Story And Legal $580K/yr
[#16, #17, #19, #29] Information operations/media buys, dedicated PR staff, legal/takedown efforts and witness privacy/amnesty management, signage maintenance, and ongoing archive/redaction/cover documentation production.
Logistics And Transport $465K/yr
[#3, #4, #21, #24] Vehicle fuel/insurance/maintenance and periodic replacement parts, rotary lift/helicopter contract standby and flight hours, rapid-response team retainer and deployment costs, and satellite/comms service fees.
Facilities Maintenance $340K/yr
[#10, #11, #14, #15] Ongoing operating costs for upgraded BSL lab (consumables/compliance), enclosure upkeep and animal care, hazardous waste removal/decontamination contractor fees, and climate-controlled evidence storage maintenance.
Amnestic Program $200K/yr
[#18] Procurement, administration teams, medical oversight, and program budget for amnestic administrations and related clinical support.
Supplies And Consumables $190K/yr
[#12, #13, #6] Annual replenishment of sedatives and field medical supplies, feeding/sustenance program costs if contained, and battery replacements/consumables for solar and field nodes.
Insurance And Overhead $75K/yr
[#25] Internal indemnity reserves, audits, liability accounting, and compliance oversight costs.
Long Term Captive Program $0/yr
[#28] Recurring costs for long-term captive behavioural enrichment and specialist staffing are set to 0 baseline (program only activates if a successful capture and housing occurs; see capture scenario).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.6M/yr
85.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with routine monitoring, MTF on-call readiness, routine research, and ongoing information/legal operations.
no major incidents routine sensor maintenance periodic MTF deployments
🚨 Minor Incident $5.8M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Localized surge in sightings requiring extra deployments, additional helicopter hours, emergency amnestic administrations, and targeted PR/legal activity.
clustered sightings small-scale civilian injuries viral social media attention
🚨 Major Breach $9.6M/yr
3.0% probability / year +$4.0M vs baseline
Large-scale incident (multiple mass sightings/injuries or sustained media exposure) forcing contingency use, large-scale amnestic and relocation operations, emergency logistics, and major PR/legal campaigns.
mass sightings multiple civilian casualties national media viral exposure
🚨 Capture And Containment $15.6M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Successful capture and decision to maintain long-term captivity triggers full enclosure operation, expanded research programs, and substantial ongoing care and staffing increases.
successful capture decision for long-term housing expanded research mandates
👥 Personnel 26 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 Core Gamma-44 on-call cadre (field lead, medics, trackers, marksmen, comms). Matches analyst note staffing assumptions.
Research Scientist 4 Ecologists, mycologists, and research scientists responsible for field/lab studies and coordination.
Acoustic Analyst 2 Specialists for acoustic denoising, analysis, and audio forensic work.
Social Media Analyst 2 Analysts to triage social/video leads and operate monitoring tooling.
Medical Officer / Veterinarian 1 Veterinary and medical oversight for field sedation, captive care and amnestic administrations.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 Technicians for vehicle/sensor/drone maintenance and remote power systems upkeep.
Administrative Staff 2 Legal/PR liaisons, records/redaction staff, and program administration support.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 Executive oversight and decision-making authority for regional program.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are medium confidence: analyst notes provide many ranges and clear cost drivers, but key uncertainties remain (frequency of incidents, scale of sensor grids, helicopter usage, and whether capture/long-term housing is pursued).
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