SCP-6684 — SCP-6684 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-6684 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-6684

Expected annual

$5.5M

One-time setup

$1.3M

Annual recurring

$5.5M

Personnel

Estimated one-time startup costs are approximately $1,260,000 driven by vault fit-out, equipment, initial legal work, training design and a start-up contingency; recurring annual operations are approximately $5,458,500/yr driven mainly by inventory acquisition (~$1.2M/yr), staffing/security (~$1.6M/yr), insurance, freight, and research.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.3M

Start Up Contingency $450K

[#30] Start-up contingency / inflation buffer (one-time portion) approximated at $450,000 to cover unforeseen setup costs and permit/installation overages.

Equipment $390K

[#5, #9, #12, #13, #14, #28] Warehouse capital equipment (racking, forklifts) $80,000; security hardware installation $50,000; label/tag printers and dies $15,000; POS deployment $100,000; vehicles purchase (2 used box trucks) $120,000; IT/database initial deployment $25,000.

Facilities $200K

[#18] Secure, climate-controlled vault fit-out within the warehouse (reinforced vault space) estimated at $200,000 one-time.

Initial Research And Lab Setup $150K

[#16] Laboratory buildout and benches/equipment for containment science and controlled conversion experiments estimated at $150,000 one-time.

Legal Setup And Filings $50K

[#1] Legal work to structure Partner ownership, title agreements, NDAs, and initial filings (one-time legal setup & filings) $50,000.

Training Program Design $20K

[#20] One-time design of Partner/staff training program and onboarding materials estimated at $20,000.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $5.5M/yr

Staff Wages $1.6M/yr

[#6, #10, #11] Warehouse operations staff (4–6 FTEs midpoint) $240,000/yr; contracted security/guard services $300,000/yr; store staffing (Partners stipends, assistant managers, part-time clerks, benefits) combined ≈ $1,062,500/yr.

Inventory Merchandise $1.2M/yr

[#2] Purchase of overstock/damaged merchandise: 1,200 pallets/yr × $1,000/pallet = $1,200,000/yr.

Facilities Maintenance $646K/yr

[#4, #7, #8, #9, #18] Warehouse rent & utilities $96,000/yr; 10 store leases $240,000/yr; store utilities/CAM/maintenance $200,000/yr; security system monitoring & maintenance $10,000/yr; vault security & climate control $100,000/yr.

Research And Monitoring $400K/yr

[#16] Ongoing research and monitoring: personnel (3 researchers + overhead) and consumables total ≈ $400,000/yr.

Logistics And Transport $320K/yr

[#3, #14] Freight and pallet distribution $240,000/yr; vehicle operations (drivers, fuel, maintenance) $80,000/yr.

Cover Story And Legal $310K/yr

[#1, #21, #29] Ongoing legal counsel/registrations $60,000/yr; PR/brand management and crisis retainer $150,000/yr; miscellaneous legal liabilities & compliance reserve $100,000/yr.

Insurance $300K/yr

[#15] General/product/property/business-interruption insurance with elevated premiums due to anomalous risk estimated at $300,000/yr.

Incident Response Fund $150K/yr

[#19] Incident response & contingency fund for emergency response, medical bills, PR, legal defense and unplanned transport estimated at $150,000/yr.

Shrinkage Allowance $150K/yr

[#22] Loss/shrinkage allowance (~10–15% of inventory value); applied here as $150,000/yr based on $1.2M inventory.

Travel And Partner Allowance $120K/yr

[#26] Travel reimbursements, incidentals, and local stipends for Partners (~$12,000/Partner/yr ×10) = $120,000/yr.

Supplies And Consumables $65K/yr

[#12, #23] Label stock & consumables $5,000/yr; store consumables and upkeep (cleaning supplies, fixtures, POS supplies, small capex) $60,000/yr.

Medical Supervision $50K/yr

[#24] Medical and mental-health support for Partners: $5,000/Partner/yr ×10 = $50,000/yr.

Administration And Accounting $40K/yr

[#27] Audit, accounting, and profit-recapture administration (contracted/accounting staff) ≈ $40,000/yr.

Pos And It Support $30K/yr

[#13] POS, inventory and compliance IT support & hosting ≈ $30,000/yr.

Decommissioning Budget $25K/yr

[#17] Protocol 80 decommissioning budget for site deactivation (sanitation, removal, disposal) budgeted ~$25,000/yr (1–2 events expected).

Evidence Disposal $25K/yr

[#25] Specialized evidence/disposal operations contingency ≈ $25,000/yr.

It And Data Security Maintenance $15K/yr

[#28] Ongoing maintenance, backups, monitoring, and restricted-access audit trails for secure anomaly reporting ≈ $15,000/yr.

Training And Hr $10K/yr

[#20] Recurring refresher training and onboarding estimated at $10,000/yr.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $5.5M/yr

83.0% probability / year

Normal operating year with no major incidents; routine conversions, scheduled decommissions, and expected operating costs.

routine_operations no_major_incidents

🚨 Minor Incident $5.8M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline

Localized unsuccessful conversion or single-store explosive/unsuccessful event requiring emergency response and partial decommissioning.

unsuccessful_conversion localized_explosive_event emergency_medical_response

🚨 Major Breach $7.0M/yr

2.0% probability / year +$1.5M vs baseline

Large-scale breach or multiple-site explosive/unsuccessful conversion events with significant inventory loss, extended decommissions, legal action and PR costs.

multi_site_incident extensive_inventory_loss major_legal_exposure

🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $6.1M/yr

5.0% probability / year +$600K vs baseline

A research result necessitates accelerated study and scaling of containment/research capabilities (hiring, equipment, facility upgrades).

novel_findings need_for_scale_up

👥 Personnel 50 total

Role	Count	Notes
Partners (Taggers)	10	[#11] Ten appointed Partners required to hold legal title and be present.
Store Assistant / Manager	10	[#11] Ten assistant managers supporting day-to-day store operations.
Retail Clerks / Part-time Coverage	10	[#11] Coverage clerks/part-time staff across 10 locations.
Warehouse Staff / Operations	5	[#6] Receiving, sorting, palletizing and QC staff (4–6 FTEs; midpoint 5).
Security Officer / Contracted Guards	6	[#10] Contracted guards and on-call response for multiple sites (estimated coverage equivalent to ~6 FTEs).
Research Scientist	3	[#16] Containment science staff studying conversion mechanics and monitoring messages (3 researchers).
Driver / Logistics	2	[#14] Drivers for 1–3 box trucks (2 drivers for two-truck operation).
Engineer / Maintenance	2	[#5] Maintenance staff for forklifts, racking, facility upkeep and vehicles.
Administrative Staff / Accounting	1	[#27] Accounting/audit and administrative support (contracted equivalent ~1 FTE).
Medical Officer / Mental Health	1	[#24] Medical/mental-health support for Partners (periodic screenings and treatment budgeted).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item estimates and ranges for most costs, but several inputs (pallet pricing, insurance premiums, incident frequency/severity) are variable; contingency and scenario probabilities are judgment-based, so confidence is medium.

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