SCP-6700 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-6700
Expected annual
$129.7M
One-time setup
$243.6M
Annual recurring
$127.4M
Personnel
380
Estimated one-time capital costs are large (~$244M) driven by fleet/aircraft purchases, site restorations, and an initial catastrophic-response reserve; annual recurring program costs are substantial (~$127M/yr) driven by Class A amnestic administration, local security staffing, specialist personnel, and global travel/logistics.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $243.6M
Catastrophic Response Initial Reserve $100.0M
[#25] Initial capitalization of a long-term catastrophic-response / contingency fund (mid-range reserve chosen for baseline).
Equipment $93.2M
[#11, #12, #13, #21, #22, #9] Fleet & vessel purchase, helicopter purchase(s) and aviation assets (items #11, #12), initial monitoring kit installs (item #13), data systems/secure comms setup (item #21), initial instruments/props/costume kits (item #22), and medevac helicopter purchase (item #9) aggregated.
Facilities $37.6M
[#2, #17, #24] Protective enclosure/site restoration (item #2), regional vault installation (item #17), and remote-site energy/utility installs (item #24) — aggregated baseline estimates for 50-site program.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.5M
[#1, #18] Program planning & site surveys (item #1) and amnestic production / R&D facility build (item #18) initial capital and setup.
Artifact Replacement Initial $5.0M
[#15] Initial budget for forensic-quality replicas, procurement of originals, and archive-quality facsimiles.
Performer Roster Setup $200K
[#5] One-time contracting/roster setup and initial outreach/honoraria for approved performers and cultural liaisons.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $127.4M/yr
Staff Wages $27.6M/yr
[#3, #20] Permanent/local security staffing (item #3: ~50 sites × 6 guards at $60k fully-burdened) plus centralized specialist personnel / program staff (item #20; baseline ~80 FTEs at ~$120k fully loaded).
Class A Administration $25.0M/yr
[#8] Class A amnestic doses, medical administration, observation, follow-up counselling, and associated forensic/medical staffing (item #8).
Logistics And Transport $14.0M/yr
[#6, #11, #12] Annual travel/lodging, vessel charters/leasing, and helicopter availability/charter budgeting for remote insertions (items #6, #11, #12 combined into an operational transport budget).
Environmental Mitigation $12.5M/yr
[#14] Active mitigation against proliferation-driven deadzones, aeration systems, fisheries management, and shoreline stabilization (item #14 baseline program).
Coastal Erosion Engineering $10.0M/yr
[#26] Multi-year coastal engineering projects, sand replenishment, seawalls and reef/mangrove restoration to counter performance-induced erosion (item #26).
Emergency Repair Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#10] Annual contingency reserve for emergency repairs, marine salvage, local contractors and conservation specialists (item #10 baseline).
Catastrophic Response Annual Reserve Contribution $5.0M/yr
[#25] Annual set-aside to replenish and grow catastrophic-response fund (item #25 recurring contribution).
Event Day Security Augmentation $4.4M/yr
[#4] Temporary event-day security augmentation, police liaisons, barricades, permits, and associated event insurance/PR (item #4).
Medical Trauma Response $4.0M/yr
[#9] On-call trauma teams, medevac readiness charters/standby, EMT/surgical standby per performance (item #9 operational baseline).
Facilities Maintenance $3.4M/yr
[#2] Ongoing maintenance and conservation for protective enclosures and restored sites (item #2).
Cover Story And Legal $3.0M/yr
[#16, #23] Cultural/political cover operations, PR/legal fees, and community relations / ethical oversight (items #16 and #23 combined).
Research And Monitoring $2.3M/yr
[#13] Ongoing oceanographic & atmospheric monitoring maintenance, in-situ sensor servicing, and data subscriptions (item #13).
Performer Contracts And Fees $2.0M/yr
[#5] Per-performance performer fees, retainers, cultural liaisons, and honoraria (item #5 operational component).
Amnestic Production Ops $2.0M/yr
[#18] Ongoing operating costs for amnestic production / procurement line and secure storage (item #18 operational).
Data Systems Ops $2.0M/yr
[#21] Command center operations, secure comms, satellite links, scheduling & incident-reporting system maintenance (item #21 ongoing ops).
Energy And Utilities $1.5M/yr
[#24] Fuel transport, generator maintenance, battery replacements and site utility upkeep for remote installations (item #24).
Insurance And Fiscal Overheads $1.2M/yr
[#27] Internal audits, accounting, insurance-equivalent fiscal buffers, and fiscal overhead (item #27).
Supplies And Consumables $1.0M/yr
[#22] Consumable replacement (props, costumes, instruments) and general supplies; replacement allowance baseline for program (item #22).
Rehearsal And Training $600K/yr
[#19] Rental of rehearsal spaces, staging simulations, and safety rehearsals (item #19).
Artifact Maintenance $500K/yr
[#15] Ongoing archival care, replica maintenance, and periodic replacement (item #15 recurring).
Squid Procurement $230K/yr
[#7] Procurement, transport, quarantine, veterinary care, and wildlife permitting for live cephalopods (item #7 plus permit/legal fees).
Vault Maintenance $150K/yr
[#17] Climate control, power, and physical security maintenance for regional vaults (item #17 recurring).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $127.4M/yr
90.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with scheduled performances, standard maintenance, and no major incidents.
standard_performance_cycle no_major_incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $137.4M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$10.0M vs baseline
Localized structural damage or a high-profile permit/legal incident requiring elevated repairs, PR, and limited emergency response.
localized_structural_damage high-profile_legal_incident
🚨 Major Breach $202.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$75.0M vs baseline
Significant containment-related structural failures, multi-site ecological impacts, or major international political fallout requiring large-scale response and reconstruction.
multi-site_damage international_political_exposure
👥 Personnel 380 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 300 [#3] ~6 guards per site across 50 baseline sites (rotational coverage), fully-burdened positions included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 40 [#20] Oceanographers, mythologists, data analysts included in specialist personnel headcount.
Program Manager / Executive Staff 20 [#20] Program management, scheduling, and senior coordination staff included in specialist personnel.
Administrative Staff 10 [#20] Administrative and clerical support for global program operations.
Engineer / Maintenance 5 [#20] Engineers and maintenance technicians supporting installations and site systems.
Medical Officer 5 [#20, #9] Core medical staff assigned to program coordination and oversight; event medevac/standby costs billed separately under medical_trauma_response.
📋 Confidence Notes
Line items and scale assumptions are well documented in the analyst notes, but wide ranges for many items (fleet/aircraft purchases, contingency reserve, amnestic per-dose costs, and environmental response scale) create material uncertainty; estimates use mid-range choices and a 50-site baseline.
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