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SCP-6794 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-6794
Expected annual
$9.2M
One-time setup
$4.5M
Annual recurring
$8.5M
Personnel
24
Estimated one-time startup costs are roughly $4.48M for a minimal containment + lab/R&D buildout and contingency reserve; baseline annual operations are approximately $8.54M/yr driven mainly by specialist/security wages, ongoing research/surveillance, supplies, and legal/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $4.5M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.3M
[#12, #14, #16, #17, #24, #27] Diagnostic molecular lab kit-out (qPCR, sequencer, cold storage), initial genomic/pathogenesis project startup, epidemiological surveillance program build costs, initial liaison/MOU legal agreements, secure IT systems, and partnered mortuary upgrade capital.
Countermeasure R&D Initial $1.0M
[#15] One-time seed funding for early countermeasure/therapeutic candidate development (preclinical/lead identification) before larger-scale trials.
Contingency Reserve $1.0M
[#30] Recommended one-time contingency reserve allocation for rapid escalation response (mobilization, mass containment, mass disposal, emergency settlements).
Facilities $600K
[#1, #29] Retrofit/construct single-room negative-pressure containment to BSL‑3+ spec, permits and site work for containment chamber and minor structural upgrades.
Equipment $590K
[#2, #3, #8, #9, #10, #7, #22] HVAC/HEPA installation and upgrades, backup generator purchase, on-site autoclave, walk-in refrigerated unit, one sealed transport van + sealed body bags, positive-pressure suit stockpile, and initial decontamination kit.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.5M/yr
Staff Wages $2.4M/yr
[#4, #5, #17] Security staff (12 FTEs to cover 24/7 access control), specialized scientific/medical/BSL technicians (10 FTEs), and 2 liaison/administrative positions.
Research And Monitoring $1.4M/yr
[#14, #15, #16, #31] Ongoing genomic/pathogenesis research, limited ongoing countermeasure R&D, epidemiological surveillance staffing/data contracts, and long-term serosurveys/archival studies.
Cover Story And Legal $800K/yr
[#18, #26] Legal retainers and baseline PR/cover operations as well as small-scale public narrative/cover-story expenditures.
Supplies And Consumables $765K/yr
[#7, #8, #13, #22, #23] Consumable PPE replacement and fit-testing, hazardous waste disposal contract, reagents/per-sample testing consumables (PCR/sequencing), annual decontamination replenishment, and per-corpse disposal/incineration costs.
Compensations Settlements $500K/yr
[#19] Reserve for family settlements, hush payments, and situational compensations to avoid public alarm.
Emergency Quarantine $500K/yr
[#20] Maintaining quarantine facility readiness/standby and baseline provisioning (beds, food, medical staffing) even if unused most years.
Forensic Autopsy $400K/yr
[#11] High-containment autopsy/pathology, histology/toxicology and specialized per-case costs (assumes dozens of cases annually).
Misc Overhead $400K/yr
[#32] Office/admin overhead, janitorial, utilities not captured elsewhere, insurance, and telecom costs attributed to the program.
Logistics And Transport $300K/yr
[#10, #25] Vehicle maintenance/decontamination, per-deployment vehicle costs, and logistics for sample/staff transport (excludes retainer/charter retainer line-item).
Hazmat Response $250K/yr
[#6] Standby hazmat response teams, overtime, travel, and ~10 deployments/year (estimated).
Outreach Incentives $200K/yr
[#28] Grants/incentives to partner hospitals and labs for prioritized reporting and sampling.
Contingency Replenish $200K/yr
[#30] Annual replenishment target for contingency/reserve spending if used in prior incidents.
Facilities Maintenance $135K/yr
[#2, #3, #9] HVAC/HEPA preventive maintenance and energy, generator fuel/testing contracts, refrigeration electricity and routine maintenance.
Training Drills $75K/yr
[#21] Annual PPE, decon, incident response training and fit-testing across staff.
Info Security Maintenance $75K/yr
[#24] Ongoing secure IT/system maintenance, encrypted communications and secure evidence logging.
Transportation Retainer $50K/yr
[#25] Charter/airlift retainer for urgent specialist/samples medevac needs.
Mortuary Training $50K/yr
[#27] Annual training and support contracts for county coroners/medical examiners.
Permits Compliance $15K/yr
[#29] Ongoing compliance audits, hazardous transport licensing renewals, and small permitting fees.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.5M/yr
83.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major incidents; program operates at steady staffing, surveillance, and maintenance levels.
no resurgence routine surveillance only
🚨 Minor Incident $9.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Limited resurgence or isolated cluster requiring extra deployments, extra testing, targeted quarantine and PR/legal actions.
isolated deaths discovered local media attention several hazmat deployments
🚨 Major Outbreak $33.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Sustained multi-county transmission or public exposure causing mass containment, large-scale settlements, major clinical/R&D scaling and extensive logistics.
multi-county spread public breach/exposure rapid case acceleration
👥 Personnel 24 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#4] 12 FTEs to provide 24/7 armed/unarmed coverage for access control and emergency response.
Research Scientist / HMCL supervisor / Virologist / Lab Technician 10 [#5, #14] Combined scientific/medical team (HMCL supervisor, virologists, infectious disease physicians, BSL technicians, pathologists, epidemiologists, lab managers).
Liaison Officer / Administrative Staff 2 [#17] Seconded liaison positions and administrative support for coordination with local health, coroners, and law enforcement.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates span wide published ranges; the anomaly's unknown transmissibility, virulence, and potential for nonlinear escalation create high uncertainty. Many line items (BSL‑4 buildouts, clinical trials, settlement sizes) are open-ended.
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