SCP-6813 Potentially ~ medium confidence
SCP-6813
Expected annual
$9.4M
One-time setup
$34.9M
Annual recurring
$9.1M
Personnel
26
Large one-time capital outlays (~$34.9M) are driven by a remote reinforced facility and an escalation reserve; recurring annual costs are significant (~$9.06M/yr) driven by field personnel, contingency reserves, consumables, and monitoring infrastructure.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $34.9M
Escalation Reserve $17.5M
[#23] Escalation / full-containment contingency reserve (midpoint of $10M–$25M range; set-aside ~$17,500,000).
Facilities $8.2M
[#4, #5] One-time facility costs: remote reinforced hangar/observation bay midpoint $8,000,000 (#5) plus safehouse minor setup/mods ~$200,000 (#4).
Strike Neutralization Capability $4.0M
[#9] One-time procurement/contract retainer for remote munitions-capable platforms / contingency capability (~$4,000,000 estimate).
Equipment $3.2M
[#3, #6, #7, #8, #10] One-time equipment purchases: unmarked vehicles $800,000 (#3); sensor nodes $500,000 (#6); drone fleet $500,000 (#7); UGVs $1,200,000 (#8); secure data hardware/software $250,000 (#10).
Legal Incident Reserve $1.0M
[#15] One-time incident contingency fund / reparations reserve for public incidents (~$1,000,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $600K
[#12, #19, #20] Research/lab setup: amnestic manufacturing/storage setup $100,000 (#12); archive acquisition/equipment $100,000 (#19); secure pharmacy / small chemical lab build-out $400,000 (#20).
Initial Spare Pool $200K
[#17] Initial spare parts stockpile and spare pool for drones/UGVs/cameras (~$200,000 one-time).
Training Setup $150K
[#16] Initial training setup and courseware / simulators (~$150,000 one-time).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $9.1M/yr
Supplies And Consumables $3.3M/yr
[#7, #12, #13, #14, #16, #17, #18, #20] Consumables and operational supplies: drone spares/consumables/pilots portion ~$250,000/yr (#7); amnestic administrations ~200×$500 = $100,000/yr (#12); medical/psychological support and indemnity ~$300,000/yr (#13); informant/liaison payments ~$200,000/yr (#14); ongoing training/exercises ~$200,000/yr (#16); consumables/spares stock replenishment ~$150,000/yr (#17); emergency repair / public-safety contingency reserve ~$2,000,000/yr (#18); pharmacy operating/supplies ~$75,000/yr (#20).
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#1, #2] Field operatives and leadership: 20operatives (10 per country) at $90,000/yr = $1,800,000 (#1) plus 6 supervisors/analysts/case officers at $130,000/yr = $780,000 (#2).
Facilities Maintenance $1.3M/yr
[#3, #4, #5, #8] Ongoing site and asset maintenance: vehicle maintenance/fuel/insurance ~$200,000/yr (#3); safehouse rents/utilities operations ~$480,000/yr (#4); remote facility security/ops ~$500,000/yr (#5); UGV maintenance portion included ~$150,000/yr (#8) (aggregated into facility/asset maintenance).
Research And Monitoring $720K/yr
[#6, #10, #11, #19, #21] Monitoring and analytics: sensor comms/bandwidth/maintenance ~$120,000/yr (#6); secure data/cloud/analytics recurring ~$150,000/yr (#10); satellite/SAR/EO tasking budget ~$200,000/yr (#11); intelligence research/staff & travel ~$100,000/yr (#19); communications intercept / counter-surveillance ~$150,000/yr (#21).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#15] Legal/diplomatic/PR retainers and ongoing cover-up costs estimated ~$500,000/yr (#15).
Strike Retainer $500K/yr
[#9] Recurring operational cost / retainer if strike/neutralization capability is maintained (~$500,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#22] Travel, shipping and customs handling: equipment movement, expedited transport, staff travel estimated ~$150,000/yr (#22).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $9.1M/yr
88.0% probability / year
Normal year with standard monitoring, patrols, consumables, and contingency reserves but no major incidents requiring escalation.
no_major_manifestation routine_surveillance_and_ops
🚨 Minor Incident $9.6M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized manifestation or witnessed event requiring rapid extra response, additional amnestic administrations, surge tasking and limited repairs.
localized_manifestation public_witnessing small_fire_or_damage
🚨 Major Escalation $24.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Sustained aggressive behavior or public exposure requiring activation of the escalation reserve, large contractor/military effort, and full remote neutralization campaign.
sustained_aggression widespread_public_exposure capture_or_neutralization_required
👥 Personnel 26 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Field Operative 20 [#1] Covert operatives patrolling Germany and Russia; baseline 20 operatives at $90,000/yr each.
Team Leadership / Analysts / Case Officers 6 [#2] Supervisors, intelligence analysts and legal/ops leads; baseline 6 staff at $130,000/yr each.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are based on detailed analyst line items but many items are wide ranges (facility cost, escalation reserve, legal/diplomatic volatility) and operational behavior of the anomaly is uncertain, producing moderate confidence.
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