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SCP-6828 Unknown ? low confidence
SCP-6828
Expected annual
$288.7M
One-time setup
$83.7M
Annual recurring
$274.9M
Personnel
360
Estimated one-time setup is approximately $83.7M driven by facilities, detention, transport and research setup; recurring annual costs are approximately $274.9M driven by staff wages, contingency reserves, covert operations, and long-term political programs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $83.7M
Detention Facilities $30.0M
[#2] Conversion/buildout of short- and mid-term detention/processing facilities and safehouses (program-level multi-country buildout; conservative program estimate).
Vehicle And Maritime Fleet $20.0M
[#16] Field vehicles, armored transport and patrol boat acquisition for program fleet (aggregate initial fleet purchase).
Aviation Assets Purchase $8.0M
[#17] Purchase of rotary-wing assets (two helicopters at moderate purchase cost as program assets).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $7.1M
[#10, #25] Counter-memetic research lab and forensics/biosecurity lab setup (combined midpoint: $2M–$10M and $200k–$2M).
Surveillance Deployment $5.0M
[#7] One-time deployment of CCTV/SIGINT/IMSI-catchers/license-plate systems to initial hotspots (aggregate estimate across hotspots).
Facilities $4.8M
[#1] Secure program headquarters and regional command center buildout, leasehold improvements, SCIFs, server rooms and hardened offices (midpoint of $1.5M–$8M).
Communications Infrastructure $3.0M
[#19] Secure comms, servers and SATCOM/VPN initial infrastructure buildout (midpoint of $500k–$5M).
Cover Enterprises Setup $2.8M
[#27] One-time establishment of cover enterprises, shell NGOs and front networks (midpoint of $500k–$5M).
Drone Fleet Purchase $2.5M
[#18] Long-endurance ISR UAV fleet purchase (fleet-level purchase estimate).
Translation And Document Unit $600K
[#13] One-time setup for translation, forensics, and documentation replacement unit (est. $200k–$1M).
Equipment $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $274.9M/yr
Contingency Reserve $50.0M/yr
[#29] Liquid contingency reserve for escalations, kinetic mobilization and large-scale evacuations (strategic reserve $50M–$500M).
Long Term Political Program $50.0M/yr
[#30] Long-term political engineering, institution-building and influence program (multi-year sustained funding).
Staff Wages $38.0M/yr
[#3, #12] Salaries, hazard pay and benefits for core JTF personnel including linguists/cultural specialists (300-person JTF baseline plus program specialists; midpoint of $20M–$50M plus language program).
Covert Operations Budget $30.0M/yr
[#5] Covert ops and government-infiltration budget; program-level recurring reserve (within $10M–$100M/yr range; conservative program allocation).
Local Contractors $15.0M/yr
[#4] Payments to local augmentation, contractors, liaison reimbursements and intelligence purchases (midpoint $5M–$25M/yr).
Counter Propaganda Campaign $15.0M/yr
[#9] Paid media buys, production and community outreach to counter memetic spread (global campaign midpoint $5M–$50M/yr).
Logistics And Transport $12.5M/yr
[#6] Capture/extraction operations and transport reserve (maintain operational reserve; midpoint of $5M–$20M/yr).
Emergency Humanitarian $10.0M/yr
[#23] Humanitarian and stabilization funds to address grievances and preempt escalation (program midpoint within $1M–$50M/yr).
Clinical Treatment Program $6.0M/yr
[#11] Clinical treatment, deradicalization and rehabilitation program budget (program estimate within $2M–$20M/yr range).
Public Safety Support $6.0M/yr
[#22] Funding and equipment support for local policing, riot control and non-lethal munitions ($2M–$20M/yr program funding).
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#14] Baseline legal, diplomatic, hush-money and cover-up expenses (baseline $500k–$5M/yr aggregated).
Detention Operations $5.0M/yr
[#2] Recurring operational cost for detainee housing, staff, food and medical per-detainee costs (capacity-based estimate using $75–$150/day rates).
Witness Protection $5.0M/yr
[#15] Relocation, new IDs, housing and long-term support for protected families (program reserve $2M–$20M/yr).
Aviation Ops Reserve $5.0M/yr
[#17] Lease/charter and ops reserve for helicopters and air support when needed ($5M–$30M/yr if frequent; conservative allocation).
Research And Monitoring $4.0M/yr
[#10, #20] Recurring budget for counter-memetic research, clinical trials and data modeling/GIS/epidemiology (includes $1M–$5M/yr for research plus $300k–$2M/yr modelling).
Social Media Monitoring $3.0M/yr
[#8] Enterprise-grade social scraping and platform cooperation for content removal and trend detection (approx. midpoint $1M–$10M/yr).
Fleet Maintenance $3.0M/yr
[#16] Fuel, maintenance and crewing for land and maritime fleet ($1M–$10M/yr range).
Media Legal Countermeasures $3.0M/yr
[#28] Rapid-response legal and PR budgets to counter leaks and international exposure ($500k–$5M/yr baseline).
Branding Suppression Ops $2.0M/yr
[#24] Field teams and operations to remove/replace triggering symbols (est. $500k–$5M/yr aggregated).
Drone Ops $1.5M/yr
[#18] Drone operations, data processing and long-endurance ISR operating costs ($500k–$3M/yr).
Telecom Cooperation Fees $1.5M/yr
[#21] Payments and legal fees to telcos/platforms for access and expedited court orders (program-level per-country aggregation).
Training And Exercises $1.0M/yr
[#26] Ongoing multinational training, cultural and tactical exercises ($200k–$2M/yr).
Cover Enterprise Maintenance $1.0M/yr
[#27] Annual maintenance and compliance costs for cover enterprises and front organizations ($200k–$2M/yr).
Translation And Document Ops $800K/yr
[#13] Annual operating costs for translation, forensics and identity/document replacement operations ($200k–$2M/yr).
Communications It Licenses $600K/yr
[#19] Recurring licenses, SATCOM, VPN and cloud costs ($200k–$1M/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $525K/yr
[#1] Utilities, maintenance and facility staff operating costs for headquarters and regional hubs (midpoint of $250k–$800k/yr).
Surveillance Maintenance $500K/yr
[#7] Maintenance, software updates and analysts for deployed monitoring systems ($100k–$1M/yr per country aggregate).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $274.9M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine monitoring, research and program maintenance; no major incidents.
no_large_protests localized containment only routine operations
🚨 Minor Incident $289.9M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$15.0M vs baseline
Localized outbreak/protests requiring surge deployments, extra legal/media spending and limited detentions.
major_protest localized broken masquerade small-scale riots
🚨 Major Breach $474.9M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$200.0M vs baseline
Large-scale multi-site territorial seizures or rapid transnational spread requiring contingency mobilization and international kinetic/strategic response.
territorial_seizure mass_mobilization international_escalation
👥 Personnel 360 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 200 [#3] Field operatives, tactical teams and MTF agents comprising the bulk of JTF Zeta-7 personnel.
Research Scientist 40 [#10, #20] Counter-memetic researchers, epidemiologists and data scientists assigned to research and modelling teams.
Intelligence Analyst / Linguist / Cultural Specialist 60 [#3, #12] Analysts, Albanian-language specialists, cultural and religious experts supporting operations and messaging.
Engineer / Maintenance 10 [#16, #19] Technical staff for vehicles, maritime assets, comms and facility maintenance.
Medical Officer 10 [#11, #25] Medical and clinical staff for detainee care, treatment programs and screenings.
Administrative Staff 40 [#1, #13, #27] Command staff, legal liaisons, translators, and cover enterprise administrators.
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates are built from wide ranges in analyst notes and depend heavily on uncertain political dynamics, unknown scale of affected populations and choices of program scope; large multiyear political programs and contingency reserves dominate uncertainty.
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