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SCP-6870 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6870
Expected annual
$1.2M
One-time setup
$2.8M
Annual recurring
$1.2M
Personnel
8
[#28] Initial capital costs are estimated at roughly $2,810,000 (property purchase, site conversion, RF containment/shaft access and contingency are the largest drivers); ongoing annual operations are estimated at about $1,154,000/yr, driven primarily by personnel (security and technical) and research/monitoring needs.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.8M
Facilities $1.6M
[#1, #2, #9, #10, #19] Property acquisition and structural conversion costs including RF-tight retrofit, shaft access installation, soundproofed control rooms, privacy walls/landscaping and related hardening.
Equipment $548K
[#5, #8, #11, #12, #13, #14, #18, #20, #21] Initial purchase of security gear and vehicles, radio tooling and spare parts, generator and UPS hardware, HVAC units, sensors & display case hardware, monitoring hardware and server/storage, conservation/restoration initial work, emergency kits, and communications hardware.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $275K
[#16] Seed funding and setup for controlled exposure studies, neuroimaging/toxicology access, specialized lab time and research protocol reviews.
Contingency Fund $200K
[#26] Capital reserve for unexpected repairs, replacement of interfacing equipment, and unplanned site upgrades (10–20% of capital).
Legal And Permitting $150K
[#3] One-time legal/permitting/municipal liaison, cover-story establishment and compensation/quieting payments.
Medical Program Setup $20K
[#15] Initial medical surveillance program setup and PPE procurement for auditory/psychological effects monitoring.
Training And Drills Initial $18K
[#17] Initial confined-space, RF safety, audio-exposure and emergency response training and drills setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.2M/yr
Staff Wages $850K/yr
[#4, #7, #22] Ongoing salaries/benefits/overtime for four STF operators (~$480k/yr), two certified radio technicians including backup/travel (~$170k/yr), and 2 analysts (~$200k/yr).
Research And Monitoring $120K/yr
[#14, #15, #16] Ongoing hosting/storage/IT support for continuous HF logging, recurring medical surveillance and PPE costs, and follow-up research studies/subject compensation.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#27] Ongoing OPSEC/cover-up costs including false records, retainers and local liaison payments.
Facilities Maintenance $54K/yr
[#9, #10, #11, #12, #23, #25] Routine RF compliance testing, shaft inspections/maintenance, generator fuel & maintenance, HVAC energy/maintenance, utilities/grounds upkeep, and annual certifications/inspections.
Supplies And Consumables $53K/yr
[#6, #8, #13, #18, #20, #24] Vehicle fuel/maintenance and consumables, radio spare parts replacements, sensor/seal replacements, periodic conservation/restorative work, emergency kit consumables, and hazardous waste/fuel disposal contracts.
Training And Drills $10K/yr
[#17] Annual refresher training and drills costs for technicians and STF.
Communications Service $6K/yr
[#21] Recurring satellite/link/comms service, maintenance and secure data transfer costs.
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.2M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine operations, monitoring, maintenance and research activities but no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance ongoing_research
🚨 Minor Incident $1.2M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$75K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small containment incident requiring emergency repairs, overtime and limited public cover actions.
localized_equipment_failure minor_containment_breach emergency_repairs
🚨 Major Breach $1.7M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Significant containment failure or damage to SCP-6870-1 interfacing systems requiring major replacement, forensic investigation and extended response.
hardware_destruction major_containment_response extended_repair_and_investigation
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $1.5M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Discovery that necessitates expanded studies, new instrumentation and temporary staffing increases.
novel_anomalous_findings expanded_study_campaign temporary_scale_up
👥 Personnel 8 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#4] Four permanent STF operators providing 24/7 site security (salaries+benefits+overtime included in staff_wages).
Radio Technician 2 [#7] Two certified radio technicians based on-site (salary+benefits+backup travel included in staff_wages).
Data Analyst 2 [#22] Two analysts monitoring HF broadcasts and logs (salaries included in staff_wages).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and reasonable ranges, but large uncertainty remains from variable real-estate costs, RF-containment engineering choices, and unpredictable research outcomes; therefore medium confidence.
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