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SCP-6877 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-6877
Expected annual
$6.3M
One-time setup
$16.1M
Annual recurring
$6.1M
Personnel
32
Estimated one-time setup costs are roughly $16.1M driven by secure site acquisition, BSL-3 lab buildout, and specialized tether/probe infrastructure; recurring annual costs are about $6.14M dominated by personnel, long-term research funding, and operational maintenance.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $16.1M
Contingency Fund $5.0M
[#26] One-time reserved contingency fund for large-scale containment breaches, rapid contracts and emergency purchases.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $4.8M
[#15, #17, #18] BSL-3 onsite construction and lab buildout (HEPA/neg pressure/autoclaves), necropsy/specimen storage setup and vivarium buildout, and one-time specialized research equipment ramp-up.
Facilities $2.9M
[#1, #2, #6] Site acquisition/title-obfuscation, secure perimeter construction, and hardened on-site operations building (control room, locker rooms, decon area).
Equipment $2.1M
[#3, #4, #5, #7, #8, #9, #12, #13, #19] Remote surveillance hardware, secure comms/servers, power infrastructure hardware (UPS/generators), tethered probe winches/cables, initial drone/robot fleet, PPE setup, ground vehicle fleet (ground assets), emergency extraction hardware, and several specialized instruments.
Long Term Program Ramp Up $1.0M
[#30] Initial ramp-up funding for a sustained, decades-scale theoretical and mitigation research program.
Info Security Initial $100K
[#24] Initial OPSEC/secure storage systems, anti-surveillance setup and vetting infrastructure.
Data Archiving Initial $100K
[#27] Initial high-bandwidth storage, mirrored backups and compute provisioning.
Legal Structuring $75K
[#20] Initial covert legal structuring, shell-company setup and one-time legal fees to establish plausible cover.
Training Initial $60K
[#22] Initial specialized training course equipment and simulation setup for climbing/rescue/biohazard scenarios.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $6.1M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#10, #11, #18, #14] Salaries and benefits for MTF presence (rotational), on-site security guards, researchers/technical staff, and on-site medical officer.
Long Term Program Fund $1.0M/yr
[#30] Ongoing strategic multi-decade research funding for fundamental mitigation and closure research.
Research And Monitoring $900K/yr
[#15, #18, #19] Ongoing research program operational costs, modeling, specialized instrument ops, and BSL-3 validation/operations.
Cover Story And Legal $250K/yr
[#20, #21] Recurring covert payments, PR/cover story maintenance, local authority liaisons and legal counsel fees.
Logistics And Transport $150K/yr
[#12, #13] Ground vehicle operations/fuel/insurance, occasional helicopter charters or long-range transport for incidents.
Decommission Recovery $150K/yr
[#29] Annual replacements and recovery operations for lost/cut probes, tether losses and retrieval missions.
Medical Support $150K/yr
[#14] MEDEVAC retainers, trauma supplies, hospital partnership fees and per-evac contingency budgeting (excludes on-site medic salary included in staff_wages).
Facilities Maintenance $100K/yr
[#2, #6] Ongoing repairs to perimeter, mast anchoring, building maintenance and weatherproofing.
Training And Drills $100K/yr
[#22, #13] Recurrent specialized training, rescue exercises, and certification renewals.
Specimen Storage Recurring $100K/yr
[#17] Cryogenic/freezer power, maintenance, vivarium upkeep and quarantine facility recurring costs.
Info Security Recurring $100K/yr
[#24] Ongoing OPSEC measures, internal counterintelligence, background checks and secure archival management.
Supplies And Consumables $60K/yr
[#23] General consumables, sampling kits, batteries, ropes and routine perishable safety gear replacement.
Drones Maintenance $60K/yr
[#8] Maintenance, replacement parts, and specialist calibration for aerial and climbing robots.
Psychological Care $60K/yr
[#28] Counseling, hazard leave, long-term care plans and payout reserves for affected staff.
Biological Waste Disposal $50K/yr
[#16] Contracted removal and incineration of biohazardous waste and covert disposal logistics.
Environmental Monitoring $50K/yr
[#25] Biodiversity surveys, soil/water testing and ecological remediation contracts.
Power Fuel $40K/yr
[#5] Diesel generator fuel contracts, UPS maintenance and power system servicing.
Tether Maintenance $40K/yr
[#7] Cable inspection, replacement of armored tether segments and winch servicing.
Comms Bandwidth $30K/yr
[#4] Fiber/satellite bandwidth leases, encrypted link costs and satellite backup fees.
Ppe Consumables $25K/yr
[#9, #23] Consumable life-support items (O2 bottles, filters), mask/cartridge replacements and consumable PPE.
Instrument Calibration $25K/yr
[#19] Calibration, consumables and radiation/EM shielding upkeep for scientific instruments.
Data Archiving Recurring $25K/yr
[#27] Ongoing cold-storage, backup transfers and compute costs for high-bandwidth sensor/video archives.
Remote Surveillance Maintenance $20K/yr
[#3] Maintenance, weatherproofing and periodic replacement of PTZ/thermal/LIDAR/radar sensor packages.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $6.1M/yr
87.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with routine surveillance, maintenance, research and no major incidents.
routine_surveillance scheduled_research standard_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $6.4M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Localized incident such as an unauthorized climb, single-probe loss, small contamination event or isolated injury requiring medevac and replacements.
unauthorized_climb probe_loss single_medical_evacuations
🚨 Major Breach $9.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach or mass equipment loss requiring large retrievals, elevated biosecurity response and substantial repairs.
multiple_probe_losses biohazard_contamination extended_retrieval_operations
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $31.1M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Large-scale catastrophe involving widespread contamination, multiple casualties, long-duration response, possible need for accelerated BSL-4 construction/access and major legal/PR fallout.
widespread_contamination mass_extraction national_exposure
👥 Personnel 32 total
Role Count Notes
MTF Agent / Mobile Task Force (rotational) 10 Primary rapid-response patrol team (mapping: #10).
On-site Security / Guard 5 24/7 gate and perimeter security separate from MTF (mapping: #11).
Research Scientist 8 Physicists, meteorologists, biologists and engineers involved in day-to-day research (mapping: #18).
Engineer / Maintenance 3 Site technicians, winch and power system maintenance (mapping: #5, #7).
Lab Technician / Vivarium Staff 3 Specimen handling, necropsy and BSL support (mapping: #15, #17).
Medical Officer / On-site Medic 1 On-site medic for stabilization and routine medical oversight (mapping: #14).
Administrative Staff / Site Coordinator 2 Cover story management, liaison, and administrative duties (mapping: #20, #21).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges allowing a bounded estimate, but significant uncertainty remains around frequency/severity of anomalous interactions (BSL-4 need, large-scale breaches) and the chosen long-term program commitment; ranges therefore retain material uncertainty.
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