SCP-6882 — SCP-6882 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-6882 N/A ? low confidence

SCP-6882

Expected annual

$1.2B

One-time setup

$3.5B

Annual recurring

$931.0M

Personnel

500

Estimated one-time capital of approximately $2.995 billion with recurring annual costs around $906 million; main cost drivers are backup power and fuel, biohazard management/ocean cleanup, global logistics, robotics/data center operations, and contingency reserves.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $3.5B

Equipment $1.3B

[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #8, #12, #14, #25, #26] Generator/genset installs and hardware, data center build/hardening, satellite spares/launch capital, drone/robot fleet procurement, sensor/buoy hardware, spare parts stockpile, ocean salvage vessel/ASV acquisition, communications gear, cybersecurity/hardening upgrades, and automated defensive systems.

Facilities $900.0M

[#7, #20, #23, #24] Site hardening, containment retrofits, decommission/mothballing, and SMR/energy alternative construction costs.

Biohazard Initial $500.0M

[#10] Initial large-scale coastal cleanup / incineration/forensic surge costs (major initial spike scenario).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $300.0M

[#11, #9, #21, #22, #13] Deep-sea ROV/submersible acquisition, hydroponic/food lab setup, high-value archival/cold storage buildout, on-site fabrication labs, and emergency medical stockpile/lab items.

Contingency Reserve $300.0M

[#16] Insurance-like reserve and asset write-downs / capital reserve for premium spares and replacement.

Emergency Response $150.0M

[#1] Immediate global emergency mobilization: chartered flights, naval escorts, temporary base ops, emergency fuel airlifts and evacuation transport.

Legal Residual $20.0M

[#15] Residual legal/diplomatic/consolidation expenses after breach.

Planning Baseline $0

[#30] Planning baseline summary; costs enumerated in other line items.

🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $931.0M/yr

Backup Power Fuel $200.0M/yr

[#2] Diesel/biodiesel fuel, generator fuel logistics, battery replacement and UPS maintenance for distributed priority sites.

Biohazard Management $200.0M/yr

[#10] Recurring coastal cleanup, forensic testing, incineration/processing and environmental remediation.

Logistics And Transport $170.0M/yr

[#17, #12] Specialized logistics, chartered shipping, armored convoys, and ocean salvage/ship operations.

Staff Wages $60.0M/yr

[#18] Salaries, hazard pay, incentives for core surviving staff (estimated 500-person core cadre at ~$120k average all-in scaled to chosen headcount).

Public Infrastructure $60.0M/yr

[#27] Minimal regional infrastructure stabilization where Foundation assumes power/water/communications responsibilities.

Research And Monitoring $55.0M/yr

[#11, #28] Scientific research program, oceanographic studies, and long-term environmental monitoring.

Supplies And Consumables $40.0M/yr

[#8, #13, #9] Consumables and stockpile replenishment (spare parts, medical supplies, food/water consumables).

Drone Fleet Ops $30.0M/yr

[#5] Spares, consumables, remote operator/AI upkeep for autonomous robot/drone fleets.

Sensor Maintenance $20.0M/yr

[#6] Maintenance and servicing of ocean buoys, underwater sensors, coastal radars and acoustic arrays.

Ocean Operations $20.0M/yr

[#12] Charter costs and operating expenses for ocean research/salvage vessels and autonomous surface vehicles (assigned to logistics bucket as well).

Facilities Maintenance $15.0M/yr

[#7] Ongoing maintenance and remote system upkeep for hardened sites.

Data Center Operations $10.0M/yr

[#3] Power, cooling, maintenance, bandwidth and hardware refresh cycles for automated AI and secure data centers.

Defense Maintenance $10.0M/yr

[#26] Maintenance, munitions reserves, and upkeep for automated defensive and anti-intrusion systems.

Mental Health Support $10.0M/yr

[#19] Counseling, social cohesion programs, and survivor support services.

Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr

[#15] Residual legal work, asset consolidation, and limited cover-up/administrative legal costs.

Satellite Ops $5.0M/yr

[#4] Satellite operations, telemetry, ground station operations and routine space asset maintenance.

Archives Maintenance $5.0M/yr

[#21] Power and climate control for seed banks, DNA banks, and cultural archives.

Raw Materials Replenishment $5.0M/yr

[#22] Raw material resupply for on-site fabrication and additive manufacturing.

Nuclear Waste Management $5.0M/yr

[#24] Waste handling and regulatory-compliant management costs for any SMR/sealed reactor deployments.

Communications Ops $2.0M/yr

[#14] Bandwidth leases, satellite phone networks, encrypted mesh and broadcast operations.

Cybersecurity Ops $2.0M/yr

[#25] Ongoing monitoring, patching, and secure-software licensing for autonomous networks.

Extinction Watch Overhead $2.0M/yr

[#29] Administrative overhead for continual scenario planning, ethical review boards, and command decision processes.

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $931.0M/yr

80.0% probability / year

Normal year with no large-scale incidents; ongoing operations, maintenance, and scheduled research only.

steady_operations no_major_breaches

🚨 Minor Incident $1.1B/yr

12.0% probability / year +$175.0M vs baseline

Localized breach or regional logistical failure requiring emergency response, limited repairs and replacements.

regional_attack localized_power_loss limited_sensor_failure

🚨 Major Breach $1.9B/yr

6.0% probability / year +$975.0M vs baseline

Significant containment breach or widespread infrastructure damage requiring large-scale cleanup, repairs, and asset replacement.

widespread_site_attack major_biohazard_event satellite_loss

🚨 Catastrophic Breach $10.9B/yr

2.0% probability / year +$10.0B vs baseline

Full-scale collapse scenario requiring global-scale remediation: SMR deployment, multi-billion ocean cleanup, and mass asset replacement.

global_infrastructure_failure mass_casualty_remediation multiple_satellite_and_site_losses

👥 Personnel 500 total

Role	Count	Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent	120	[#26, #7, #18] Personnel for site defense, automated system oversight, and hardened site response; salaries included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist	80	[#11, #3, #28] Oceanographic, anomaly research, and environmental monitoring staff; accounted for in research_and_monitoring.
Engineer / Maintenance	80	[#2, #22, #20] Electrical/mechanical engineers for generators, fabrication labs, containment retrofit and general site maintenance.
Logistics / Maritime Crew	80	[#12, #17] Vessel crews, salvage operators, and logistics coordinators supporting ocean operations and supply lines.
AI Operator / Technician	50	[#3, #5, #25] Operators and technicians for automated AI systems, drone fleets, and cybersecurity monitoring.
Administrative Staff	20	[#15, #29] Administration, legal liaison, and operational planning support.
Medical Officer	20	[#13] Emergency medical staff and public health/epidemiology monitoring.
Specialist / Deep-sea Crew	45	[#11, #12] Deep-sea ROV operators, submersible pilots, and specialized technicians for oceanic research/recovery.
Site Director / Executive Staff	5	[#18] Executive oversight and command staff for remaining Foundation operations.

📋 Confidence Notes

High uncertainty in many line items (biohazard remediation, satellite replacement, SMR costs, and global logistics) and wide ranges provided in source notes; values are order-of-magnitude estimates based on midpoints and chosen site counts.

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