SCP-6959 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-6959
Expected annual
$13.2M
One-time setup
$278.2M
Annual recurring
$12.8M
Personnel
29
One-time setup and capital (facility, containment hardware, contingency reserves, and optional removal mission) dominate costs (~$274M one-time in this estimate); recurring annual costs are driven by specialized staff, long-term R&D and capital replacement (~$12.8M/yr baseline).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $278.2M
Dedicated Removal Mission $150.0M
[#21] Optional dedicated removal mission capital (launch + specialized hardware) — highly variable and optional; included here for completeness.
Contingency Reserve $55.0M
[#19] Contingency reserve for catastrophic failure, emergency response, rapid airlift and demolition/containment contracts (held reserve).
Facilities $20.0M
[#1] Secure site acquisition, underground/hardened reinforced-concrete containment vault, airlocks, blast/EMP hardening and classified-site features; excavation and structural work.
Decommissioning Fund $20.0M
[#24] Decommissioning, relocation and environmental remediation liability / fund.
Equipment $12.8M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #9, #10, #13, #16] UHV vacuum chamber (#2), electromagnetic levitation system (#3), cryogenics plant capex (#4), primary power upgrade/grid-tie (#5), backup generators & UPS capex (#6), initial monitoring/sensors (#9), remote handling robotics capex (#10), initial security equipment (#13), secure communications & IT capex (#16).
Removal Mission Concept $10.0M
[#20] One-time mission concept / preliminary engineering study for jettison/removal (small-scale concept).
Insurance And Escrow Reserve $5.0M
[#22] Held insurance / escrow reserve for liabilities and whistleblower/community compensation.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.8M
[#11] Specialized non-contact research instrumentation setup (remote spectroscopy, particle detectors, tomography, high-speed cameras) and associated lab research setup.
Cryogenics Plant $1.2M
[#4] One-time capex portion for cryocoolers, liquid helium handling and cryogenic piping (capex distinct from recurring consumables).
Cover Story Setup $1.2M
[#17] One-time establishment of front companies, PR/legal setup and initial OPSEC cover-story establishment.
Background Checks Setup $100K
[#18] Initial background checks, top-tier clearance processing and psychological screening setup.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $12.8M/yr
Long Term Research R And D $5.0M/yr
[#20] Ongoing R&D program funding for feasibility studies toward neutralization/removal (lower-bound recurring estimate).
Staff Wages $3.2M/yr
[#12] Salaries, benefits and shift coverage for 24/7 containment (Site Director, lead engineers, technicians, security, monitoring operators, ERT, admin/support).
Annual Capital Replacement Reserve $2.0M/yr
[#23] Annual reserve for scheduled replacement of pumps, magnet components, electronics and facility upgrades (5–10% of capital).
Research And Monitoring $600K/yr
[#11] Ongoing non-contact research operating costs for specialized instruments and data collection.
Cover Story And Legal $350K/yr
[#17] Ongoing cover-story maintenance, PR management, legal counsel and contractor payments to maintain secrecy.
Security Training And Recurring $275K/yr
[#13] Recurring security training, tactical recertification, intrusion response readiness and vehicular maintenance.
It Ops And Data Archiving $200K/yr
[#16] Classified networks, hardened servers, telemetry archiving and off-site backups operations.
Insurance Legal Retainer $200K/yr
[#22] Annual legal retainer and recurring liability insurance-related costs.
Generator Fuel And Maintenance $160K/yr
[#6] Fuel, inspections and maintenance for redundant backup generators & UPS systems (frequent inspections).
Cryogenics Consumables $125K/yr
[#4] Cryogenics consumables and related recurring support (boil-off handling, cryogen replenishment, servicing).
Energy Bill $125K/yr
[#7] Continuous electrical energy for cryocoolers, control systems, monitoring and HVAC (50–200 kW steady-state).
Routine Inspections $125K/yr
[#14] Labor and parts for frequent generator/system inspections and predictive maintenance contracts.
Supplies And Consumables $100K/yr
[#15] Consumables and small spares (O-rings, seals, pump oils, connectors, camera spares).
Vacuum Maintenance $85K/yr
[#8] Vacuum pump servicing, spare cartridges, periodic rebaking and leak repair.
Background Vetting Recurring $75K/yr
[#18] Ongoing vetting, periodic polygraphs and continuous psychological monitoring tools.
Robotics Upkeep $62K/yr
[#10] Maintenance, spare actuators and upkeep for remote handling robotics and tooling.
Monitoring Maintenance $50K/yr
[#9] Maintenance and replacement for cameras, sensors, fiber telemetry and redundancy.
Facilities Maintenance $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $12.8M/yr
91.3% probability / year
Normal uneventful year: steady-state operations, scheduled maintenance and routine research with no major incidents.
no_incidents scheduled_maintenance routine_research
🚨 Minor Incident $13.3M/yr
8.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized equipment failure or small containment alarm requiring emergency repairs, overtime, PR mitigation and limited use of contingency operational funds.
pump_failure seal_leak minor_security_breach
🚨 Major Breach $32.8M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$20.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or emergency requiring large-scale response contracts, partial deployment of contingency reserve and extended recovery operations.
containment_system_failure major_equipment_quench sustained_power_loss
🚨 Dedicated Removal Mission $162.8M/yr
0.2% probability / year +$150.0M vs baseline
Decision-year in which a dedicated off-world removal/launch mission is executed (one-time large capital outlay for mission and operations).
executive_decision_to_launch approval_of_major_mission funding_allocation_for_removal
👥 Personnel 29 total
Role Count Notes
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#12] Site director oversight and authorization (1).
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#12] Lead engineers for systems (2).
Technician 6 [#12] Technical staff for vacuum, cryogenics, magnets, robotics (6).
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#12] Security personnel distributed across shifts (12 total across shifts).
Monitoring Operator 4 [#12] Operators for sensors, telemetry and monitoring (4).
Rapid-Response / E.R.T. 2 [#12] Emergency response team members (2).
Administrative Staff 2 [#12] Admin and support staff (2).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided ranges exist for most line items, enabling reasoned mid-point estimates; however very large optional items (dedicated removal mission) and contingency/reserve sizing introduce substantial variance, so confidence is medium.
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