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SCP-6989 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-6989
Expected annual
$33.9M
One-time setup
$174.1M
Annual recurring
$28.2M
Personnel
35
Estimated first-year capital and setup costs are dominated by large contingency reserves, research capital and satellite/aircraft procurement; total one-time capital ~174.1M USD and ongoing annual operations ~28.19M USD, driven primarily by staffing, continuous monitoring, and reserve replenishment.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $174.1M
Major Incident Payout Reserve $100.0M
[#27] Large-payout contingency reserve recommended for major liability events (recommended coverage).
Equipment $25.2M
[#4, #6, #7, #20, #23, #2] Smallsat(s) build/launch, aircraft purchase & modifications, initial disposable drone purchases, initial ground fleet, secure archive hardware, and operations servers.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20.8M
[#9, #10, #7, #8, #26] R&D and prototyping for EMP-hardened instruments, initial modeling and compute setup, drone prototype R&D, passive-instrument R&D, and long-term capital research lab planning/construction.
Facilities $17.0M
[#2, #5, #12, #16] Hardened operations room, ground observation stations, cloud-chamber facility buildout and targeted critical-node hardening (aggregated).
Contingency Fund $10.0M
[#17] Recommended contingency fund seed for unpredictable damage, property loss, or legal settlements.
Public Safety Program Setup $500K
[#15] Initial localized evacuation and preparedness program buildout per affected region.
Legal Setup $250K
[#13] Initial legal/governmental liaison and regulatory coordination setup costs.
Cover Opsec Setup $250K
[#19] Initial cover/OPSEC and public-relations setup, media monitoring systems and plausible-deniability funding.
Amnestic Kits $100K
[#18] Initial amnestic protocol kits, pharmaceuticals and mobile med-team equipment.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $28.2M/yr
Staff Wages $5.5M/yr
[#1, #11] Task Force λ-10 staffing (25 personnel, loaded) and 10 additional research personnel (salaries, benefits, training).
Cover Story And Legal $5.0M/yr
[#13, #19, #14, #25, #29] Ongoing legal liaison, PR/cover-story operations, civil aviation coordination/compensation, public compensation programs and community-relations/secrecy-maintenance budgets.
Major Incident Reserve Replenishment $5.0M/yr
[#27] Recurring replenishment toward the large-payout reserve to restore readiness after major incidents.
Research And Monitoring $2.8M/yr
[#3, #4, #9, #10, #12, #23] Commercial satellite imagery subscriptions, smallsat ops, instrument calibration/replacement, cloud-compute/modeling recurring costs, lab ops and cybersecurity/secure-archive operations.
Supplies And Consumables $2.5M/yr
[#7, #8, #30] Consumable drone replacements, high-altitude balloons/probes replacement, and miscellaneous consumables buffer.
Logistics And Transport $2.3M/yr
[#6, #20, #24] Aircraft flight operations (fuel, maintenance, crew), ground transport fleet operations, and international transit/logistics for cross-border operations.
Replacement And Repair $1.5M/yr
[#22] Ongoing replacement and repair budget for lost probes, drones and damaged instrumentation.
Contingency Fund Replenishment $1.0M/yr
[#17] Recurring replenishment to contingency fund as drawn for smaller events.
Public Safety Programs $1.0M/yr
[#15] Annual training, drills and regional preparedness program costs.
Facilities Maintenance $700K/yr
[#2, #5, #16] Ongoing operations room/secure facility maintenance, ground-station upkeep and targeted-node maintenance.
Amnestic Readiness $500K/yr
[#18] Annual standby cost, training and readiness for amnestic deployment teams.
Annual Review And Audit $200K/yr
[#28] Independent audits, oversight briefings and compliance reviews.
Medical And Psych Support $100K/yr
[#21] Baseline medical monitoring and psychological support for exposed personnel.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $28.2M/yr
93.0% probability / year
Normal year of monitoring, research, regular replacements and reserve replenishment with no major incidents.
routine monitoring no aircraft or civilian major incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $31.2M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Localized incident(s) requiring limited amnestic operations, equipment replacements and legal/PR response.
small aircraft/equipment loss localized civilian exposure requiring amnestics and compensation
🚨 Major Incident $88.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$60.0M vs baseline
Significant civilian aircraft damage or multi-region electronics failures with large liability and emergency-response costs.
civilian aircraft avionics failure multi-region infrastructure damage
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $528.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$500.0M vs baseline
Nation-scale event with heavy casualties or cascading infrastructure collapse requiring national-level hardening and massive settlements.
catastrophic civilian losses nationwide electronics failure and litigation
👥 Personnel 35 total
Role Count Notes
Task Force Commander 1 [#1] Single commander overseeing DTF λ-10 operations.
Senior Researcher 4 [#1] Senior researchers embedded in task force.
Operational Analyst / MTF Agent / Air-Traffic Coordinator 8 [#1] Operational analysts responsible for tracking and coordination.
Field Operator / Pilot / Technician 6 [#1] Field operators, pilots and technicians for aircraft and field missions.
Administrative / Security / Logistics 6 [#1] Admin, security and logistics staff supporting operations.
Research Scientist 10 [#11] Core research hires (physicists, atmospheric scientists, EM specialists, data scientists).
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide many line-item estimates and ranges, enabling an order-of-magnitude budget; however significant uncertainty remains around incident frequency, scale of required infrastructure hardening and large liability payouts, so confidence is medium.
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