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SCP-7010 Thaumiel ~ medium confidence
SCP-7010
Expected annual
$10.9M
One-time setup
$29.1M
Annual recurring
$10.5M
Personnel
40
Initial capital outlay is large (one-time ~29.1M) driven by site construction, redundancy, contingency reserves and transport assets; recurring annual costs are ~10.5M driven by high-skill staff, continuous research/monitoring, power/transport operations and community/diplomatic retainer.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $29.1M
Emergency Contingency Reserve $10.0M
[#14] One-time catastrophic failure / rapid-replacement reserve sized to allow large-scale recovery/disaster response.
Facilities $7.6M
[#1, #8, #13, #23] Site construction, housing/dormitory fit-out, creation of redundant ward nodes, and medical clinic build-out / fit-out (stormproofing, helipad/moorings structural work included in broader site works).
Equipment $4.2M
[#2, #7, #9, #16, #22, #12, #27] Power infrastructure installation (generators/UPS), purchase of boats/vehicles, environmental monitoring hardware & install, secure communications hardware, perimeter installations (fencing/RFID/CCTV), initial artifact conservation storage/equipment, and initial spares inventory.
Transport Helicopter Optional $3.0M
[#7] Optional light helicopter purchase for rapid response / medevac; recommended for robust operations but optional.
Insurance Reserve $2.0M
[#21] Internal self-insurance reserve for property damage / liability where third-party insurance is unavailable.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.4M
[#25, #20] Specialized instrumentation and lab buildout (microscopes, spectrometers, HPC) plus initial baseline environmental/impact studies supporting research programs.
External Assets Retainer $500K
[#15] One-time contract retainer for external coast guard/airlift/medical providers.
Security Initial Gear $200K
[#6] Initial procurement of weapons, body armor, comms and security equipment for guard force.
Diplomatic One Time $200K
[#17] One-time negotiation / treaty costs for establishing/control agreements with local authorities (Hy-Brasil).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $10.5M/yr
Research And Monitoring $3.3M/yr
[#10, #9, #26, #20, #29, #13, #25] Long-term research & modelling program (staff, compute, instrumentation), data operations/analysis for continuous monitoring, statistical surveillance/forensics, environmental monitoring, sociological/psychological monitoring, periodic re-ritualization operational costs, and recurring calibration/consumables for specialized instruments.
Staff Wages $3.1M/yr
[#4, #5, #6] Wages and benefits for thaumaturgical specialists (senior ritualists/ward engineers), technical staff (electronics/HVAC/maintenance), and security personnel (armed guards/rapid-response teams).
Logistics And Transport $875K/yr
[#7, #28, #15] Recurring transport asset maintenance/fuel (boats / optional helipad operations), transport & logistics staff (supply chain/scheduled runs), and ongoing evacuation drills contracted to external providers.
Facilities Maintenance $775K/yr
[#2, #3, #16, #22] Ongoing site maintenance including generator fuel/maintenance and UPS upkeep, communications service fees, perimeter system maintenance, and general building/structural upkeep for storm/coastal environments.
Cover Story And Legal $750K/yr
[#17, #19] Diplomatic/legal retainer for treaty management and legal cover, plus cover-up / information operations and PR budgets.
Program Overhead And Contingency $650K/yr
[#30] Major program overhead: administration, accounting, audits, contingency for scope creep and routine unplanned expenditures.
Community Compensation $500K/yr
[#18] Local community compensation, infrastructure improvements, healthcare funds and other goodwill payments to maintain social license.
Supplies And Consumables $300K/yr
[#11, #12, #27] Consumable thaumaturgical reagents and ritual materials, artifact upkeep/replacement consumables, and annual replenishment of on-island spare parts inventory.
Medical And Mental Health $175K/yr
[#23] On-site medical clinic staffing, emergency care, and mental health services for personnel.
Training And Documentation $125K/yr
[#24] Formal training programs, secure documentation, certification redundancy and institutional knowledge preservation programs.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $10.5M/yr
82.5% probability / year
Normal operational year with steady maintenance, research, and personnel costs but no major incidents.
routine_operations scheduled_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $11.5M/yr
15.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized node attenuation or equipment failure requiring emergency rituals, targeted repairs and short-term surge staffing.
single_node_failure equipment_or_generator_failure partial_ward_attenuation
🚨 Major Breach $15.5M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Multi-node failure or coordinated external attack causing substantial infrastructure damage and larger emergency response.
multi_node_failure severe_storm_or_GOC_engagement large_scale_infrastructure_damage
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $35.5M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$25.0M vs baseline
Complete collapse of majority of ward system requiring island-wide reconstruction, mass evacuation and full deployment of contingency reserves.
systemic_failure catastrophic_natural_event major_hostile_attack
👥 Personnel 40 total
Role Count Notes
Thaumaturgical Specialist / Ward Engineer 6 [#4] Senior ritualists and ward engineers (rotation, hazard pay).
Technician (Electronics/HVAC/Maintenance) 10 [#5] Skilled technicians for sensors, power, HVAC, and on-site maintenance.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#6] Armed/unarmed perimeter guards and rapid-response team; includes rotation to cover 24/7 operations.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges which supports a medium confidence estimate; uncertainty remains around reserve sizing, optional helicopter inclusion, exact staffing levels and rare catastrophic event frequencies.
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