SCP-7024 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7024
Expected annual
$4.6M
One-time setup
$5.0M
Annual recurring
$4.3M
Personnel
13
One-time capital expenditures (lab equipment, storage/detention retrofits, and a contingency reserve) are about $5.01M; recurring annual operations (research staff, monitoring, raids, disposal, PR/legal, and contingency reserves) are roughly $4.284M/yr, driven primarily by personnel, crisis response, and media/legal cover budgets.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.0M
Contingency Scale Up Reserve $3.0M
[#27] One-time contingency reserve for rapid scale-up if SCP-7024 goes mass-market (warehousing, mass destruction, legal campaigns).
Equipment $1.1M
[#5] Analytical laboratory capital equipment (GC-MS, LC-MS/MS, high-resolution mass spec, HPLC, biosafety cabinet, fume hood, sample prep hardware).
Facilities $650K
[#1, #24] Storage room / less-hazardous materials depot upgrades and secure detention suite retrofit (structural, shelving, containment pallets, fire suppression, climate control, detention retrofit).
Legal And Cover Setup $100K
[#12] One-time legal/cover infrastructure to establish front companies, legal memos, forged documents and initial counsel setup.
Inventory System $60K
[#3] Inventory tracking / chain-of-custody system one-time setup (database, RFID/barcode tags, scanners, labeling, audit procedures).
Training And Sops $50K
[#23] One-time SOP and training program development for field/ops staff (safe handling, seizure, contamination avoidance, MTF drills).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.3M/yr
Staff Wages $1.1M/yr
[#7, #24] Research and operational staffing: research chemists/biologists/behavioral staff and detention staffing (salaries and benefits).
Media Crisis Reserve $500K/yr
[#26] Quick-response reserve for high-profile media crises, rapid PR buys and paid expert placement; maintained as a readily available fund.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#8, #21] Medical/toxicology studies, animal testing, and long-term forensic epidemiology / cohort monitoring studies.
Controlled Sabotage $300K/yr
[#11] Planned controlled sabotage / staged accidental fire operations and associated staging costs, plus modest remediation/legal mitigation averaged annually.
Casandra Monitoring $250K/yr
[#19] CASANDRA monitoring maintenance: analysts, cloud hosting, model tuning and alerting that detect SCP-7024-related signals.
Field Investigation $200K/yr
[#9] Undercover buys, surveillance, supply-chain tracing, forensic accounting and covert source development (per-major-investigation budget averaged annually).
Amnestic Program $200K/yr
[#15] Amnestic pharmaceuticals, administration, detention overhead and associated medical support (program budget averaged annually).
Remediation Reserve $200K/yr
[#18] Annual reserve for fire and environmental remediation / liability from staged closures or collateral damage.
Supplies And Consumables $150K/yr
[#6] Analytical consumables, solvents, columns, reference standards, sample prep consumables and occasional outsourced specialty assays.
Tactical Raids $150K/yr
[#10] Annualized budget for tactical MTF deployments and raids (personnel overtime, transport, equipment) averaged over expected operations.
Local Cooperation Payments $150K/yr
[#14] Discreet payments, reimbursements and informal influence to secure local cooperation or silence.
Secure Transport $100K/yr
[#16] Secure diplomatic couriers, charter flights, armored couriers and liaison expenses for international transfers when required.
Clinical Response $100K/yr
[#20] Clinical/emergency medical response costs for collateral victims (treatment, covert reimbursements, hospital bills).
Logistics And Transport $80K/yr
[#28] Vehicles, fuel, field consumables, PPE, evidence bags, and routine transport costs.
Cover Story And Legal $60K/yr
[#12] Recurring legal maintenance and occasional legal actions tied to cover stories and front companies.
Disinformation Campaigns $60K/yr
[#13] Baseline social-media monitoring and small disinformation/PR campaigns to counter notoriety; per-event spending handled in media_crisis_reserve.
Hazardous Waste Disposal $50K/yr
[#17] Incineration / chemical neutralization and disposal of seized product (scales with seizure volume; annual estimate).
Psychological Care $50K/yr
[#25] Behavioral health support for agents and affected civilians (debriefing, counseling).
Policy Uplift $44K/yr
[#29] Uplift (estimated ~20%) applied to PR/legal/medical budgets to account for prohibition on memetic suppression and resultant longer investigations / higher liabilities.
Facilities Maintenance $25K/yr
[#1, #4] Ongoing maintenance, utilities, HVAC/dehumidification, pest control, fire suppression energy and preventive maintenance for storage rooms.
Secure Communications $25K/yr
[#22] Encrypted communications, secure couriers and diplomatic pouch operations between labs and liaison offices.
Training And Sops Refresher $20K/yr
[#23] Recurring refresher training for field and ops staff and periodic SOP updates.
Storage Operations $10K/yr
[#2] Ongoing storage/warehousing operations for retained stock (rent, staffed inventory management, basic utilities and insurance).
Inventory Software $10K/yr
[#3] Recurring hosting/licenses for inventory tracking, database hosting and software maintenance.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.3M/yr
58.0% probability / year
Normal year with routine seizures, monitoring, research and periodic small operations; no major incidents or mass-market spread.
routine seizures ongoing research and monitoring periodic small ops and PR activity
🚨 Minor Incident $4.5M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Localized publicity or small production site uncovered requiring a targeted raid, extra forensic analysis and modest PR/legal response.
single production site discovered high-notoriety consumer event requiring PR response
🚨 Major Incident $5.3M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Serious outbreak or contested tactical operation with staged fire, significant remediation, legal action and larger-scale seizures.
large production site uncontrolled collateral damage / public exposure major remediation and legal costs
🚨 Mass Market Scale Up $11.3M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$7.0M vs baseline
Lucky Cola (SCP-7024) achieves mass-market distribution leading to emergency national-level seizures, major legal/PR campaigns and rapid infrastructure scale-up.
widespread commercial distribution mass-consumer events and national media attention
👥 Personnel 13 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist / Chemist 3 [#7] Analytical chemistry staff to run GC-MS/LC-MS and method development; salaries included in staff_wages.
Toxicologist 1 [#7] In vivo/in vitro study lead for toxicology and medical analysis.
Behavioral Scientist 1 [#7] Behavioral/ontokinetics analysis and epidemiology coordination.
Research Technician 3 [#7] Lab technicians and sample preparation staff supporting analytical workloads.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#24] Detention and tactical staffing for secure transport, raids and detention suite operations (staffing included in staff_wages).
Administrative Staff / Site Director 1 [#7, #24] Program admin and local site leadership included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items, but many estimates are wide ranges and depend on operational tempo (number of raids, seizure volume, scale-up risk). Assumptions on raid frequency, remediation needs and contingency drawdown introduce uncertainty.
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