SCP-7029 Neutralized ~ medium confidence
SCP-7029
Expected annual
$4.5M
One-time setup
$65.5M
Annual recurring
$3.9M
Personnel
15
Total up-front (one-time) containment and cover costs are dominated by potential civil settlements and institutional cover operations, producing a multi‑million-dollar one-time bill; ongoing annual costs are primarily staff salaries, secure storage/security, and digital takedown/monitoring (~$3.9M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $65.5M
Settlements $45.0M
[#19] Civil compensation to passengers' families and survivors; highest uncertainty and largest single driver of program cost.
Contingency Reserve $8.5M
[#28] 15% contingency set-aside for unforeseen escalation (10–20% recommended); applied to initial program one-time subtotal.
Airline Coordination $5.5M
[#20] Back-channel payments, manipulated records and indemnities to align airline/insurance with cover story.
Fake Wreckage Ops $1.6M
[#21] Fabrication/placement/disposal of fake wreckage for a 'loss at sea' narrative (chartered vessel, submersible ops, fabricated debris).
Cover Story Fabrication $850K
[#18] PR/cover-story creation and dissemination across agencies as CV-33454 / CV-00501; forged documents and press management.
Facilities $600K
[#5] Reinforced hangar/warehouse upgrades, climate/access control for wreckage storage; transport costs noted as included in item #2.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $568K
[#4, #16, #24, #25] Forensic aviation investigation and lab analysis, initial clinical/research testing on Max, initial evidence analysis/archiving, and initial consumables/reagents/PPE.
Legal Indemnity Funds $550K
[#22] Retainers, NDAs, hush agreements and indemnities for contractors or bystanders.
Media Suppression $525K
[#23] Payments or incentives to social-media personalities and local media to suppress or redirect coverage.
Residence Repair $300K
[#13] Repair or rebuild of McGall residence including structural, contents replacement and permits.
Contingent Fatality Reserve $250K
[#30] Reserve for mortuary, autopsy, funeral and paperwork per contingent fatalities (per-body costs aggregated).
Equipment $225K
[#2] Heavy equipment rental and operator costs for debris removal and aircraft extraction (cranes, flatbeds, heavy-lift trucks).
Short Term Detention $190K
[#10] Temporary holding operations for witnesses, custodial staff, meals, medical monitoring and legal cover during amnestic administration.
Web Crawler Dev $175K
[#7] Development and initial surge for automated web crawlers, takedown tooling and legal templates.
Immediate Medical $175K
[#14] ER visits, burn/inhalation care and follow-up for immediate injuries (paid to remove medical-record anomalies).
Hazard Cleanup $150K
[#3] Hazmat remediation: jet fuel recovery, ash/char removal, contaminated soil remediation, hazardous disposal and permitting.
Emergency Scene Response $80K
[#1] Immediate overtime for police/fire/EMS, temporary road closures, vehicle fuel, temporary barriers and scene management for 72–120 hrs.
Witness Amnestics $75K
[#9] Medical/amnestic doses and administration costs for detained witnesses (estimated per-person costs aggregated for ~200 witnesses).
Transport Travel Initial $48K
[#26] Charter flights, ground transport, hotels and meals for operational teams during initial response.
Surveillance Setup $28K
[#11] Initial covert camera/audio/GPS installs and safehouse fallback setup for the McGall family.
Relocation Initial $25K
[#12] Initial temporary relocation, moving costs and setup for the McGall family.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $3.9M/yr
Staff Wages $2.6M/yr
[#17] Salaries and operational overhead for assigned Foundation staff pool (site director, field agents, lab techs, security contractors, legal/cover officers) — monthly budget converted to annual.
Facilities Maintenance $360K/yr
[#6] Ongoing secure storage, 24/7 guards, alarm systems, CCTV, climate control and insurance for stored wreckage (~$10k–50k/mo).
Digital Takedown Ops $330K/yr
[#8] Ongoing online monitoring, takedown staffing, servers/bandwidth, platform relationships and repeat takedowns.
Utilities $180K/yr
[#27] Power for hangars, labs, servers, CCTV and generator fuel (~$5k–25k/mo).
Surveillance Ops $108K/yr
[#11] Ongoing physical and technical surveillance shifts, vehicle tails and sensor upkeep for the McGall family (~$6k–12k/mo).
Long Term Monitoring $108K/yr
[#29] Years of periodic checks, sensor maintenance and periodic re-testing for Max and family (~$3k–15k/mo).
Evidence Storage $60K/yr
[#24] Ongoing secure datacenter storage, forensic video enhancement and archival maintenance (~$2k–8k/mo).
Psychological Care $48K/yr
[#15] Trauma counseling and PTSD support for family/neighbors (~$24k–72k first year).
Supplies And Consumables $36K/yr
[#25] Replenishment of PPE, reagents, syringes and amnestic stocks (ongoing consumables).
Clinical Monitoring $36K/yr
[#16] Ongoing medical monitoring and follow-up testing for Max (neuropsych batteries, periodic imaging and analysis).
Consumables $36K/yr
[#25] Recurring small supplies (amnestics stock rotation, PPE) included as separate recurring line for clarity.
Relocation Support $12K/yr
[#12] Short-term ongoing support/per-diem/lost-wage compensation during temporary relocation (3–6 mo aggregated into annual figure).
Research And Monitoring $0/yr
[]
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
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Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $3.9M/yr
93.5% probability / year
Normal, uneventful year with steady containment and monitoring operations; no major public exposure or large settlements executed.
no_public_exposure routine_monitoring scheduled_takedowns
🚨 Minor Incident $4.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$464K vs baseline
Localized leak/exposure requiring increased takedown effort, short legal actions and overtime but not large civil settlements.
viral_video_persistence localized_media_attention minor_legal_scrutiny
🚨 Major Public Exposure $57.9M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$54.0M vs baseline
Wide public awareness requiring full-scale narrative engineering: large civil settlements, airline/insurance coordination and major cover operations.
uncontained_media_surge class_action_litigation regulatory_investigation
🚨 Fake Wreckage Deployment $5.9M/yr
0.5% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline
Operational decision to create and place fabricated wreckage/underwater debris to support a 'lost at sea' narrative.
need_for_physical_evidence official_agency_non-cooperation high_public_scrutiny
👥 Personnel 15 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#17] 24/7 security staffing for wreckage storage and field operations; included in staff wages.
Field Agent 3 [#17] Field containment and surveillance shifts; included in staff wages.
Research Scientist 2 [#17] Forensic and clinical testing oversight; included in staff wages and lab operations.
Lab Technician 1 [#17] Sample processing and evidence handling; included in staff wages.
Medical Officer 1 [#17] Medical administration for amnestics and clinical monitoring; included in staff wages.
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#17] Operational leadership and coordination with legal/agency partners; included in staff wages.
Administrative Staff / Legal/Cover 1 [#17] Administrative, legal coordination and cover-story management support; included in staff wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges enabling a reasoned estimate, but large uncertainty remains around settlement sizes, airline/insurance cooperation and contingent public-exposure responses; mid confidence reflects good operational detail but wide cost ranges for the largest drivers.
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