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SCP-7038 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7038
Expected annual
$16.8M
One-time setup
$6.1M
Annual recurring
$13.8M
Personnel
26
Initial capital to modify an existing Site-06-3 M-SHACC cell and install specialized containment systems is roughly $6.1M one-time; recurring operations (staff, testing, maintenance, legal/cover) are ~ $13.85M/yr, driven primarily by staffing, testing cadence, and a contingency reserve.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.1M
Facilities $5.0M
[#1, #11] Structural build/upgrade of a single M-SHACC containment cell (reinforcement, magnetically-locking blast-rated door, HVAC isolation, pressure controls) and installation of hallway contingency systems (reinforced blast doors, flame-dispersal ceiling units, floor charges). Mid-range combined estimate of items #1 and #11.
Equipment $1.1M
[#2, #3, #4, #5, #6, #8, #9, #10] One-time procurement and installation: restraint harness & suspension system (#2), trapdoor + industrial grinder array (#3), reinforced transport/holding cages & handling equipment (#4), ceiling-mounted security camera array initial purchase (#5), mechanized catwalk (#6), pulley/hoist load system initial purchase (#8), initial CBRNA suits inventory (#9 initial), and initial small-arms & armory procurement (#10 initial).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $13.8M/yr
Catastrophic Contingency Fund $5.0M/yr
[#25] Annual reserved fund for extreme containment-failure responses, rapid escalations, interagency buys, and accelerated containment operations. Range is highly variable; conservative baseline reserve set at $5,000,000/yr.
Research And Monitoring $3.2M/yr
[#17] Testing program operational costs (sedation/euthanasia supplies, pathology, sterilization, per-test instrumentation and data acquisition). Estimate reflects mid-range testing tempo (annualized from per-test ranges, 1–4 tests/week).
Staff Wages $2.5M/yr
[#13, #14, #15] 24/7 security staffing (12 guards + 4 supervisors), dedicated research & containment staff (aggregate ~8 FTEs including engineers/researchers/technicians), and psychiatric staff (1 psychiatrist + 1 therapist). Fully loaded totals used to estimate annual wages.
Cover Story And Legal $1.6M/yr
[#22, #26] Legal/cover-up, public affairs, plausibility operations and regulatory compliance/inspections; includes settlements, fabricated records and insurance/compliance costs aggregated from items #22 and #26.
Supplies And Consumables $390K/yr
[#9, #10, #16, #27] Recurring PPE replacement and consumables (#9), ammunition/training costs (#10 recurring), hazmat/medical consumables and readiness (#16), and miscellaneous consumables/cleaning/disposables (#27).
Facilities Maintenance $360K/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #8, #11, #12] Routine maintenance, certifications and spare parts for harnesses, grinders, trapdoor, cameras, hoist certification, and recurring safety audits/fuel replenishment; includes ongoing scheduled maintenance fund (item #12).
Emergency Response And Reconstruction $300K/yr
[#18] Annual budget for emergency drills, routine exercises and small-scale response; larger per-activation reconstruction costs treated as scenario-driven (item #18 per-activation range).
Turnover And Retraining $175K/yr
[#24] Psychological/turnover costs, recruitment, retraining and compensation for staff replacement due to trauma and burnout.
Energy And Utilities $140K/yr
[#20] Power, HVAC, UPS/generator fuel and continuous energy overhead for containment systems (HVAC, restraint motors, hoists, grinders, CCTV servers).
Data Storage $112K/yr
[#23] Secure data storage, WORM archives, air-gapped backups, logging and quarterly audits for incident records.
Logistics And Transport $51K/yr
[#7] Live-animal (cow) procurement, secure biosecure transport, quarantine holding and handling for monthly feedings.
Environmental Controls $43K/yr
[#21] HEPA filter replacements, biofilter maintenance and environmental air monitoring for containment and grinder exhaust.
Nuclear Device Custodial $0/yr
[#19] Custodial/maintenance costs for an on-site nuclear device if present. Assumed not present for baseline budgeting; if present, this item could be $2,000,000–$10,000,000/yr.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $13.8M/yr
74.0% probability / year
Normal year with no major containment incidents; routine testing and maintenance only.
no_major_incident planned_testing routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $14.8M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Localized containment incident (small breach, equipment failure, or limited offspring escape) requiring emergency repairs, overtime, and limited replacement of equipment.
small_breach grinder_or_trapdoor_failure limited_offspring_escape
🚨 Major Breach $18.8M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment breach causing hallway activations, extensive damage to corridors/equipment, mass suppression operations and major reconstruction.
cascade_offspring_outbreak hallway_activation extensive_equipment_loss
🚨 Catastrophic Breach $263.8M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$250.0M vs baseline
Uncontrolled cascade (SK/NK-class) requiring extreme measures up to on-site nuclear detonation or nationwide-scale remediation.
cascade_breaches SK/NK_scenario nuclear_detonation
👥 Personnel 26 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#13] Armed on-site guards per shift; baseline staffing for direct approaches.
Security Supervisor 4 [#13] Supervisors and floaters to staff rotational coverage and incident command.
Research Scientist 2 [#14] Dedicated researchers responsible for testing and analysis.
Engineer / Maintenance 2 [#14] On-call engineers for containment systems, hoists, grinders and HVAC/structural support.
Containment Specialist / Technician 4 [#14] Testing technicians, lab techs, and containment specialists who operate hardware and handle specimen processing.
Psychiatrist / Medical Officer 1 [#15] Assigned psychiatrist for bi-weekly checkups and mental health oversight.
Therapist / Counselor 1 [#15] Support therapist for staff exposed to traumatic duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling a mid-confidence estimate for capital and recurring costs; major uncertainties remain around testing tempo (item #17), frequency/severity of breaches, and whether an on-site nuclear device is present, so catastrophic exposures retain high variance.
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