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SCP-7048 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7048
Expected annual
$824K
One-time setup
$267K
Annual recurring
$816K
Personnel
7
One-time setup and specialized research equipment and facility hardening are modest (~$267k), while recurring personnel, medical/psych support, and research/testing operations drive annual costs (~$816k/yr). Major drivers are staff wages (security + research) and ongoing research/medical monitoring.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $267K
Initial Research And Lab Setup $91K
[#12, #19, #5] Telecine/scanner purchase for digitization research, data-acquisition (EEG/etc.) equipment, initial film preservation supplies.
Facilities $75K
[#1, #6] Fire-rated archival locker installation and secure/medical-hardened controlled projection suite (structural/hardening costs).
Provenance Investigation Initial $30K
[#24] Initial field investigations, travel, and acquisition costs related to GGFP/provenance research.
Equipment $27K
[#2, #3, #11, #16] HVAC/climate-control hardware, CCTV/access hardware, secure transport casing, initial IT/infosec hardware/setup.
Incident Response Initial $20K
[#14] Initial development of SOPs, tabletop exercises and training for emergency recovery.
Legal Initial $20K
[#15] Initial legal research, filings, and provenance/cover paperwork setup.
Archival Duplication $4K
[#17] One-time cost to produce non-anomalous duplicates (estimated per-reel duplication for 4 reels).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $816K/yr
Staff Wages $470K/yr
[#9, #13] Security staffing (guards/escort FTEs) and research team salaries (anomalous-media specialist, psychologist, physicist/research assistant).
Research And Monitoring $155K/yr
[#7, #8, #12, #19, #22] Medical screening/post-test care, psychological evaluation/therapy, ongoing digitization experiments, per-test lab/data acquisition costs, and longitudinal study follow-up budgets.
Contingency Reserve $80K/yr
[#23] Reserve fund for unexpected escalation (recommended 20% of operating budget for a modest program).
Cover Story And Legal $25K/yr
[#15, #20] Ongoing legal counsel, records/cover-story maintenance, and plausible-deniability / PR reserves.
Test Subject Program $20K/yr
[#10] Recruitment/compensation/indemnity/housing for paid/contract test subjects.
Information Security $20K/yr
[#16] Background checks, ongoing IT security monitoring, and classified database maintenance.
Insurance $12K/yr
[#21] Insurance, indemnity, and workers' comp provisioning for contractors and clinicians.
Incident Response And Contingency $10K/yr
[#14] Annual drills, rapid-response team retention, and SOP maintenance.
Provenance Investigation $10K/yr
[#24] Ongoing investigative travel and archival access related to GGFP/provenance.
Supplies And Consumables $5K/yr
[#4, #5, #18] Conservator inspection consumables and labor (periodic inspections), replenishment of preservation supplies, operational consumables (power, bulbs, cleaning, UPS maintenance).
Facilities Maintenance $5K/yr
[#2, #3, #17] HVAC calibration/maintenance and environmental monitoring, CCTV/storage costs, and secondary-site storage fees.
Logistics And Transport $4K/yr
[#11] Secure/site-to-site transport event costs (climate-controlled courier events).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $816K/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with scheduled tests, routine maintenance, and no major incidents.
routine_testing_schedule no_medical_emergencies no major legal or transport incidents
🚨 Minor Incident $841K/yr
5.0% probability / year +$25K vs baseline
Small-scale medical or equipment incident requiring emergency care, minor legal/repair costs.
non-fatal injury during projection equipment failure requiring repair minor PR/legal inquiry
🚨 Major Breach $1.0M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$200K vs baseline
Serious incident: subject fails to return properly, significant medical/psychological harm, or legal exposure requiring relocation and major response.
subject requires extended hospitalization large-scale legal/relocation costs urgent relocation of reels/containment
🚨 Research Scaleup $1.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$250K vs baseline
Decision to aggressively scale research (large digitization program, expanded cohort studies, or procurement of vendor services) requiring major one-time and recurring investment.
successful/dangerous research breakthrough policy decision to digitize/archive at scale expanded longitudinal cohort launch
👥 Personnel 7 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 4 [#9] Four guard FTEs to provide coverage/escorts and enforce two-person rule (budgeted as majority of security wages).
Research Scientist / Anomalous Media Specialist 1 [#13] Senior researcher leading digitization and anomaly analysis.
Psychologist 1 [#13, #8] Clinical psychologist for screening, debriefing, and therapy oversight.
Research Assistant / Technician 1 [#13, #12, #19] Research assistant to run tests, handle telecine/digitization, and operate data-acquisition equipment.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges, allowing a reasonable estimate, but many items (frequency of tests, decision to digitize, contingency sizing) require judgment; ranges and organizational choices create residual uncertainty.
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