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SCP-7074 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7074
Expected annual
$892K
One-time setup
$1.2M
Annual recurring
$874K
Personnel
12
Initial capital outlays are modest (~$1.21M) for site setup (compound, sensors, power, vehicles, legal/liaison); recurring annual costs are dominated by staff wages and specialist analysis (~$874.5k/yr), with legal/contingency and data/archive costs as secondary drivers.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.2M
Land Access And Government Liaison $200K
[#1] Covert MOUs/permits/initial compensation and travel to establish government/park liaison (~$200,000 one-time).
Legal Pr Cover $200K
[#16] Initial cover-story establishment, expungement operations, and major legal/PR setup (~$200,000 one-time, midpoint of range).
Contingency Reserve $200K
[#20] Contingency / emergency response fund (reserve) ~$200,000 one-time.
Equipment $155K
[#4, #7, #8, #9, #10] Power system ($40,000), surveillance/detection ($45,000), EM monitoring hardware ($25,000), on-site archiving server ($30,000), off-site secure rack provisioning ($15,000).
Decommissioning Reserve $100K
[#24] Decommissioning and site-closure reserve (~$100,000 one-time).
Vehicles And Transport $90K
[#6] Patrol vehicles / 4x4s / ATV / trailer purchase (approx. $90,000 one-time).
Facilities $85K
[#2, #3] Physical perimeter installation ($25,000) and on-site container compound fit-out including small generator ($60,000).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $66K
[#19, #23] Field lab/analysis kit and instruments ($8,000) plus scientific remote-interrogation instrumentation ($57,500).
Detention And Amnestic Equipment $40K
[#15] Mobile detainment van purchase (~$40,000 one-time).
Initial Logistics And Importation $40K
[#17] Shipping, customs, and covert import logistics for heavy equipment (~$40,000 one-time).
Sop Development And Training $20K
[#18] SOP development and initial training/drills (~$20,000 one-time).
Archival Setup $10K
[#21] Initial long-term archival setup and format migration (~$10,000 one-time).
Wildlife Management $7K
[#14] One-time deterrent installation and animal-proofing (~$7,000).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $874K/yr
Staff Wages $600K/yr
[#5, #11, #12] Perimeter security ($60,000/yr), remote research/analysis staff (4×$120k = $480,000/yr), on-site manager & technician (2×$30k = $60,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $50K/yr
[#16] Ongoing PR/legal retainer, incident responses and expungement monitoring (~$50,000/yr, midpoint).
Contingency Replenishment $50K/yr
[#20] Annual replenishment/contingency budget (~$50,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $48K/yr
[#8, #9, #10, #19, #21, #23] EM monitoring licensing/maintenance ($5,000/yr), on-site archiving bandwidth/offsite storage ($8,000/yr), off-site colocation/audit ($10,000/yr), environmental sampling & lab tests ($12,000/yr), long-term archival rotation ($5,000/yr), instrumentation calibration/specialist time ($7,500/yr).
Land Access And Government Liaison $40K/yr
[#1] Annual liaison fees, permits, and travel to maintain covert agreements (~$40,000/yr).
Interdiction And Amnestic $35K/yr
[#15] Amnestic drug inventory (~$5,000/yr) plus interdiction/specialized operations (~$30,000/yr) = ~$35,000/yr.
Logistics And Transport $11K/yr
[#6] Vehicle fuel, tires, and maintenance (~$10–12,000/yr; $11,000 chosen).
Facilities Maintenance $8K/yr
[#2, #3] Perimeter and onsite compound maintenance/repairs (~$2,000 + $6,000 = $8,000/yr).
Surveillance Maintenance $6K/yr
[#7] Camera/sensor maintenance, replacement, and data links (~$6,000/yr).
Anomalous Provisioning $6K/yr
[#13] Food/water/medicine provisioning and delivery materials (~$6,000/yr).
Wildlife Management $6K/yr
[#14] Monitoring, veterinary liaison, and deterrent repairs (~$6,000/yr).
Medical Surveillance $6K/yr
[#22] Vaccinations, periodic medical checks, and evacuation insurance (~$6,000/yr).
Sop And Training Refreshers $5K/yr
[#18] Annual refresher training and drills (~$5,000/yr).
Power Maintenance $4K/yr
[#4] Solar/battery/generator maintenance and occasional fuel costs (~$4,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $0/yr
[]
Annual Total Example $0/yr
[#25] Analyst consolidated baseline estimate provided as a summary; not added as a separate recurring cost.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $874K/yr
89.0% probability / year
Normal year with steady operations, no major incidents; standard staffing, maintenance, provisioning, legal retainers and contingency replenishment.
normal_operations no_breach routine_maintenance
🚨 Minor Incident $924K/yr
8.0% probability / year +$50K vs baseline
Localized incident (equipment damage, small wildfire, animal intrusion, or short PR event) requiring emergency repairs, replacement gear, and modest PR/legal response.
equipment_failure minor_wildlife_incident small_media_exposure
🚨 Major Breach $1.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Major security breach or high-cost emergency (attack, large-scale media/diplomatic incident, mass amnestic operations) requiring contingency fund use, international legal costs, emergency logistics and replacement.
armed_attack mass_exposure diplomatic_crisis
🚨 Political Exposure $1.2M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Targeted political or investigative exposure leading to extended legal battles, large payouts, and sustained PR/expungement operations.
investigative_report government_scrutiny whistleblower_exposure
👥 Personnel 12 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] Six local guards (3 shifts, 2 per shift), all-in cost rolled into recurring security wage total.
Research Scientist 4 [#11] Remote linguists/psychologists/anomalous specialists (4 FTE at specialist rates).
Site Manager / Technical Staff 2 [#12] One site manager and one technician for day-to-day operations and equipment maintenance.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line items and ranges for most costs, but political/liaison/legal expenses and rare incident magnitudes are speculative; range-based estimates and local-country variables reduce confidence.
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