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SCP-7094 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-7094
Expected annual
$39.6M
One-time setup
$21.7B
Annual recurring
$33.4M
Personnel
67
Estimated one-time capital requirements are dominated by contingency/reserve pools and optional large-scale prevention programs; recurring costs are dominated by personnel, monitoring, legal/PR, and per-manifestation response. Baseline recurring spend is approximately $33.4M/yr, with one-time capital/reserve items totaling ~ $21.7B driven by hypothetical population-management buyouts and large reserves.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $21.7B
Population Management Program $21.0B
[#16] Major capital for town buyouts/mergers if pursued region-wide (program-level midpoint $21B; policy option — effectively optional and scale-dependent).
Contingency Reserve $600.0M
[#18] Recommended contingency/catastrophe reserve (midpoint $600M).
Legal Reserve Fund $30.0M
[#12] One-time reserve component of legal/lobbying/indemnity funds (midpoint $30M reserve).
Scaleup Reserve $30.0M
[#30] Rapid scale-up on-call contracting authority / reserve (maintained $10–50M; midpoint used $30M).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $13.0M
[#14] Central research lab buildout and specialized instrumentation (midpoint $13M).
Facilities $12.2M
[#1, #22] Regional operations center buildout ($11.5M midpoint) and regional warehousing/staging facilities ($700k midpoint).
Equipment $8.2M
[#2, #3, #5, #8, #13, #15] Geospatial DB hardware/software ($425k), media ingestion/software ($400k), rapid-response vehicles/aircraft/drones ($4.75M), cybersecurity/hardened servers ($600k), forensic field kits ($100k), HPC cluster ($1.9M).
Town Growth Incentives Initial $2.8M
[#17] One-time per-town incentive midpoint ($2.75M per town). Note: multiplies with number of targeted towns; this entry is per-town baseline cost.
Training Program Setup $275K
[#23] One-time setup for training programs, PPE procurement, and certification program setup (midpoint $275k).
Archival Setup $125K
[#25] One-time setup for long-term archival/paper record management (midpoint $125k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $33.4M/yr
Staff Wages $6.8M/yr
[#3, #4] Salaries and benefits for standing program team (core personnel midpoint $6.5M) plus media analysts called out in #3 (~$350k total) included in this line.
Research And Monitoring $5.5M/yr
[#2, #14, #15, #26] Geospatial DB updates/hosting ($185k), central lab recurring costs ($2M), HPC/power/licensing ($275k), and negative-result intensive research line program-level budget ($3M).
Per Manifestation Response $3.9M/yr
[#10] Per-event cover-up & field operational budget: assumed manifestation cadence ~365/23.5 ≈ 15.5 events/yr × $250k/event baseline = $3.875M/yr. (This is the operational per-event baseline; higher-cost events modeled in scenarios.)
Legal And Lobbying $3.0M/yr
[#12] Baseline legal, lobbying, FOIA and indemnity operational spending (~$3M/yr midpoint).
Victim Payments $2.8M/yr
[#20] Victim family management, hush payments, relocation assistance buffer (~$2.75M/yr midpoint recommended).
Facilities Maintenance $2.5M/yr
[#1, #22] Ongoing operations for regional operations center (utilities, security contractors, maintenance $2.25M) and warehousing/staging upkeep ($275k).
Mapping Influence Budget $1.8M/yr
[#7] Covert data-influence, liaison and contract budget with map providers (midpoint $1.75M).
Public Memorials $1.1M/yr
[#24] Public memorial/false-history fabrication budget for projected high-profile events (~$1.1M/yr midpoint).
Pr Suppression $900K/yr
[#9] Public-relations suppression and takedown operations (midpoint $900k/yr).
Logistics And Transport $750K/yr
[#5] Rapid-response vehicle/aircraft/drones maintenance, fuel, pilots, insurance (~$750k/yr midpoint).
Media Monitoring Operations $600K/yr
[#3] Cloud, API costs, and subscriptions for automated media ingestion/NLP detection (~$600k midpoint).
Satellite Imagery Subscription $600K/yr
[#6] Commercial satellite/high-res imagery subscription (midpoint $600k/yr; tiered by cadence).
Communications Black Ops $600K/yr
[#27] Communications black-ops, domain sinkholes, fake news pages and SEO efforts (~$600k/yr).
Audit And Internal Security $600K/yr
[#29] Internal investigations, counter-intelligence, leak-hunting and related oversight (~$600k/yr).
Interagency Liaisons $525K/yr
[#19] Covert liaison offices and cooperation budget with state police/emergency services (~$525k/yr midpoint).
Record Falsification Operations $300K/yr
[#11] Ongoing missing-persons record falsification, identity maintenance staffing/legal cover (~$300k/yr midpoint).
Town Growth Incentives Support $300K/yr
[#17] Recurring support for per-town incentive programs ($100k–500k/yr; entry is per-town midpoint).
Cybersecurity Operations $275K/yr
[#8] SOC, incident response staffing, air-gapped backups and secure operations (~$275k/yr midpoint).
Psychological Support $162K/yr
[#21] Counseling and resilience programs for operatives and coerced witnesses (~$162.5k/yr midpoint).
Energy And Data Center $150K/yr
[#28] Power and utilities for secure servers, sensors, and labs (~$150k/yr).
Training And Ppe Recurring $130K/yr
[#23] Recurring training, PPE replacement, and certification expenses (~$130k/yr).
Archival Management $100K/yr
[#25] Ongoing archival and physical record management (~$100k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $55K/yr
[#13] Forensic field consumables & replenishment (~$55k/yr midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $0/yr
[]
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $33.4M/yr
70.0% probability / year
Normal year with monitoring, suppression, and average manifestation cadence; no large legal crises or surge events.
routine_manifestation_rate no_major_media_exposure standard_operational_tempo
🚨 Minor Incident $38.4M/yr
25.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Year with several high-profile manifestations causing elevated PR/legal action and modest reserve drawdown.
multiple_high_profile_manifestations increased_media_attention targeted legal challenges
🚨 Major Breach $133.4M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$100.0M vs baseline
Significant surge or exposure requiring large-scale emergency spending: contingency draw, surge hiring, emergency relocations, and national PR/legal operations.
nationwide_media_exposure manifestation_rate_surge legal/political_exposure
👥 Personnel 67 total
Role Count Notes
Research Scientist 4 [#4] Senior research staff to model anomaly and oversee experiments (3 noted in example; one additional included to match budget midpoint).
Researcher 12 [#4] Mid-level researchers and analysts for modeling and field analysis (example listed 8; increased to reflect staffing midpoint).
Field Operative / Security Officer / MTF Agent 20 [#4] Field operatives and tactical response teams for evidence capture, evacuations, and cover operations (example: 20operatives).
IT/GIS Specialist / Database Administrator 8 [#2, #15, #4] IT and GIS specialists to maintain geospatial DB, HPC, and mapping pipelines (example listed 8 IT/GIS).
Legal Counsel / PR Specialist 6 [#9, #12, #4] Legal and public-relations staff to handle takedowns, FOIA, and media suppression (example listed 6).
Administrative Support 6 [#1, #4] Administrative and program support staff to run the regional operation center (support staff included in note #4).
Media Analyst 6 [#3] Human analysts for media triage and takedown decisions; note #3 suggests 5–8 analysts (midpoint 6).
Engineer / Maintenance 4 [#1, #8] Engineers and maintenance staff for facility, vehicles, and data-center/hardware upkeep (derived to match staffing cost midpoint).
Site Director / Executive Staff 1 [#1, #4] Program leadership and executive oversight (1 FTE).
📋 Confidence Notes
Estimates rely on wide ranges given in analyst notes, uncertain manifestation cadence (9–38 days), and large optional policy choices (town buyouts, reserves) that dominate one-time totals. Many recurring costs are policy-dependent and scaling assumptions (per-event rates, number of targeted towns) introduce high uncertainty.
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