SCP-7118 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7118
Expected annual
$11.7M
One-time setup
$25.3M
Annual recurring
$11.4M
Personnel
31
Initial one-time containment, legal/escrow and research setup dominate costs (~$25.3M one-time), while recurring annual operations (security, medical, research, legal, contingencies) are the main ongoing drivers (~$11.4M/yr).
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $25.3M
Escrow Fund $15.1M
[#13] Client asset custody & escrow: administrative fees $50k–$200k plus contingency escrow $5M–$25M; midpoint used (includes both admin fee and conservative escrow reserve).
Facilities $3.0M
[#1] Secure humanoid containment retrofit: 6–12 cells @ $150k–$350k each (midpoint used). Includes HVAC, plumbing, CCTV, Faraday shielding integration, reinforced doors, negative pressure and sound isolation.
Research Program Start One Time $2.8M
[#23] Major research program startup (multi-year weaponization/mitigation program) $0.5M–$5M (midpoint used as one-time major program start cost).
Legal Initial Reserve $1.1M
[#11] Initial legal counsel & litigation reserve for shutdown/settlements: $300k–$2M one-time setup (midpoint used).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $900K
[#5, #6] Startup lab buildout and scientific instruments: sequencers/PCR/centrifuges/containment-grade cabinets and secure freezers; combined midpoints from analyst estimates for lab startup and medium lab equipment + storage.
Amnestics One Time $310K
[#9] Manufacture/acquisition and administration of amnestics for families/associates: $200–$2,000 per administration; analyst range 100–300 administrations -> midpoint used.
Pr One Time $300K
[#10] Cover-story PR and reputation management campaign (local/national) estimated $100k–$500k.
Genomic Sequencing One Time $288K
[#7] Per-sample whole-genome sequencing and deep-analysis projects: base 30-sample sequencing ($15k–$60k) plus deeper analysis projects ($100k–$400k); combined midpoint used.
Field Operations One Time $275K
[#16] Field operation & transport costs for Operation: FAMILY TREE and capture operations estimated $50k–$500k (midpoint).
External Liaison One Time $275K
[#27] External liaison / bribery / compensation to local officials for cover operations estimated $50k–$500k (midpoint).
Compensation Settlements One Time $275K
[#25] Compensation/settlement for former employees & unemployment liabilities $50k–$500k (midpoint).
Forensic Accounting $175K
[#14] Financial forensics & audit of firm records estimated $50k–$300k (midpoint).
It Forensics One Time $150K
[#15] IT seizure, forensic imaging, decryption and secure archival/destruction work $50k–$250k (midpoint).
Identity Management One Time $110K
[#17] Identity management & documentation setup (aliases, forged/controlled records) $20k–$200k (midpoint).
Equipment $60K
[#20] Specialized comms suppression hardware (Faraday cages/jamming hardware) estimated $20k–$100k; equipment-level hardware separated from structural retrofit.
Archive Setup $60K
[#26] Archive/evidence chain management initial setup $20k–$100k (midpoint).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $11.4M/yr
Risk Multiplier Reserve $5.5M/yr
[#29] Unknown-risk / scientific surprises reserve (analyst recommended $1M–$10M); midpoint used as recurring reserve/contingency due to high uncertainty and potential cascade effects.
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#3, #4, #5] Security staffing (guards & L4 specialists) plus medical (physician, nurses, psychologist) and specialized research team salaries; midpoints of analyst salary ranges summed.
Contingency Fund $875K/yr
[#22] Annual rapid-response/contingency fund to cover emergency relocations, emergency amnestics, crisis PR: $250k–$1.5M (midpoint used as maintained annual liquidity).
Opportunity Costs $600K/yr
[#24] Insurance/administrative opportunity cost for dedicating Site assets (displaced program costs/premium staffing) $200k–$1M/yr (midpoint).
Cover Story And Legal $500K/yr
[#11, #12] Ongoing legal counsel, regulatory monitoring and cover maintenance: initial analyst recurring legal retainer $100k–$500k/yr and monitoring $100k–$300k/yr combined (midpoints).
Research And Monitoring $425K/yr
[#18, #21] Family/associate aftercare & monitoring ($1k–$5k/person/yr; analyst range applied) plus identity-fraud monitoring/public-record monitoring ($50k–$200k/yr); combined midpoint used.
Supplies And Consumables $272K/yr
[#8, #19] Research consumables (reagents, PPE) $20k–$100k/yr and ongoing containment consumables (food, laundry, PPE) $50k–$375k/yr; combined midpoint used.
Facilities Maintenance $105K/yr
[#2] Annual maintenance & facility amortization for containment cells: $5k–$15k per cell/year aggregated (midpoint).
Logistics And Transport $60K/yr
[#13] Ongoing client asset custody/administrative fees and routine transport/operations ~$20k–$100k/yr (midpoint).
It Secure Storage $12K/yr
[#15] Ongoing secure offline storage costs for forensic images and archives $5k–$20k/yr (midpoint).
Aggregate Per Detainee Metric $0/yr
[#28] Analyst aggregate per-detainee recurring metric ($1.0M–$7.5M/yr) provided as a budgeting rule-of-thumb; included here for reference but not double-counted (estimate set to 0 to avoid duplication).
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $11.4M/yr
82.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with no major incidents; routine staffing, maintenance, monitoring, and contingency funding as budgeted.
no breaches standard monitoring routine legal/regulatory activity
🚨 Minor Incident $12.1M/yr
10.0% probability / year +$700K vs baseline
Small containment incident or limited exposure requiring emergency amnestics, targeted field response, and short-term PR/legal expenses.
localized breach limited public contact emergency amnestic administration
🚨 Major Breach $16.4M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant containment failure or wide exposure requiring large-scale relocations, settlements, repair/rebuild of containment, and extended legal action.
multiple-instance breach major legal actions large-scale emergency relocation
🚨 Political Exposure $14.4M/yr
1.0% probability / year +$3.0M vs baseline
Public/political discovery or regulatory subpoena requiring intensive PR, legal settlements, and escrow top-ups to placate exposed clients/claimants.
media/regulatory exposure class-action or government inquiry large settlements/escrow demands
🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $14.6M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$3.2M vs baseline
Discovery of scalable/weaponizable properties leads to accelerated research program start and staff/equipment scale-up during the year.
major research finding priority escalation scale-up of labs and personnel
👥 Personnel 31 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 18 Estimated 12–24 guards (midpoint ~18) to provide 24/7 coverage; salaries included in staff_wages.
Containment Specialist (L4) 4 3–5 L4 containment specialists (midpoint 4) per analyst notes; included in staff_wages.
Research Scientist 5 Specialized anomaly/genetics research team 3–6 FTEs (rounded to 5); salaries included in staff_wages.
Physician / Medical Officer 1 Full-time physician for ongoing monitoring; salary included in staff_wages.
Nurse 2 1–2 nurses estimated (rounded to 2) for daily medical care; salaries included in staff_wages.
Psychologist / Psychiatrist 1 One psychologist/psychiatrist for ongoing mental health monitoring; salary included in staff_wages.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst-provided ranges cover many line items but several dominate (escrow, contingency, research scale-up) and are highly uncertain; counts of contained instances are not fixed, and legal/escrow needs could vary orders of magnitude, so medium confidence.
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