SCP-7159 Keter ? low confidence
SCP-7159
Expected annual
$48.6M
One-time setup
$1.0B
Annual recurring
$8.6M
Personnel
30
First-year program costs are dominated by a one-time catastrophic contingency reserve and buildout; steady-state annual costs are driven by personnel wages, dedicated site overhead, research, staging/prop consumables, and information-security/cover operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.0B
Catastrophic Contingency Reserve $1.0B
[#20] Conservative one-time contingency reserve for catastrophic containment failure / large-scale mitigation (practical planning figure; truly unquantifiable risk).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $1.0M
[#19] Initial research lab equipment and setup to support multi-year R&D into non-belief-based containment.
Equipment $802K
[#3, #11, #18, #10] Containment locker and infrasound system integration (#3), secure AV broadcast/staging hardware (#11), hazmat/training equipment initial purchase (#18), and initial secure IT build for falsified records (#10).
Facilities $725K
[#2, #16] Build-out of staged observation/ritual infrastructure and installation of a staged incinerator room (construction, structural, HVAC modifications, set dressings, and installation).
Initial Recruitment And Vetting $150K
[#6] Initial cohort vetting, background checks, and psychological testing for the first 30 personnel.
Amnesic Stockpile Initial $50K
[#13] Initial stock of amnestics/treatment materials reserved for immediate incident responses.
Program Ballpark First Year $0
[#30] First-year aggregate estimate provided in notes; individual one-time items are captured above to avoid double-counting.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.6M/yr
Staff Wages $3.0M/yr
[#5] Core staff salaries for ~30 personnel (actors/operatives, researchers, security, medical/therapists, admin/director) per analyst staffing model.
Facilities Maintenance $1.5M/yr
[#1] Dedicated site overhead for Area-7159 exclusivity (security, facility management, utilities, janitorial, amortization).
Research And Monitoring $1.1M/yr
[#19, #24] Recurring research payroll and supplies plus environmental testing (soil, water, livestock assays).
Hazmat Readiness $1.0M/yr
[#18] Annual readiness, drills, and small on-site hazmat/rapid-response team readiness costs.
Hazard Pay Premiums $600K/yr
[#21] Personnel hazard pay and retention premiums (15–30% premium on payroll; analyst reasonable figure).
Staff Casualty Contingency $250K/yr
[#27] Contingency reserve for settlements, long-term care, and replacement hiring following staff casualties or moral injury.
Cover Story And Legal $200K/yr
[#14] Ongoing legal counsel, cover-up funds, and discretionary hush/reserve spending to manage exposure and audits.
Amnestic And Remediation Reserve $200K/yr
[#13] Recurring reserve for amnestic interventions, rapid response treatments, and remediation of belief-chain breaches.
Counterintelligence $150K/yr
[#12] Surveillance, logging, leak detection, internal audits, and forensic efforts to detect and suppress information leaks.
Fake It Maintenance $100K/yr
[#10] Ongoing maintenance of fake procurement/bookkeeping infrastructure, secure servers and staff time to maintain falsified records.
Psychological Conditioning $100K/yr
[#22] Ongoing psychometric monitoring, memetic inoculation, briefings and reinforcement programs to sustain belief.
Supplies And Consumables $83K/yr
[#9, #23] Daily theatrical prosthetics/consumables and PPE/disposables used in staged scenes and to mirror falsified procurement.
Public And Insider Pr $75K/yr
[#28] Operations to manage internal rumor, training to limit curiosity-driven inspections, and controlled narratives for unassigned personnel.
Therapy Program $50K/yr
[#7] Mandatory therapy program overhead (facility, materials, additional clinician hours beyond therapists included in payroll).
Administrative Overhead $50K/yr
[#15] RAISA/Director approval labor, review cycles, and high-level oversight meeting costs.
Third Party Audits $50K/yr
[#29] Annual audits and red-team assessments to test resilience of the belief chain and falsified documentation.
Recruitment And Vetting $30K/yr
[#6] Ongoing turnover hiring costs and vetting (~$5k per replacement hire).
Acting Training $30K/yr
[#8] Continuous acting rehearsals, director/choreographer fees, and stagecraft training.
Archival And Document Management $25K/yr
[#25] Secure Level 5/7159 archival systems, tamperproof logging, and controlled access procedures.
Staging Hardware Replacement $15K/yr
[#26] Annualized replacement/upkeep for cameras, prosthetic molds, stage rigging, and servers.
Incinerator Maintenance $10K/yr
[#17] Ongoing checks, filtration, cleaning, and disposal costs for the staged incinerator room.
Av Maintenance $10K/yr
[#11] Recurring maintenance and minor upkeep for high-fidelity AV broadcast/staging equipment.
Infrasound Monitoring $5K/yr
[#4] Routine calibration and replacement sensors for infrasound detectors (technician salary folded into core staffing).
Logistics And Transport $0/yr
[]
Program Ballpark Ongoing $0/yr
[#30] Ongoing annual aggregate estimate reported in analyst notes; recurring line items above capture the components to avoid double-counting.
Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.6M/yr
92.0% probability / year
Normal year with no significant leaks or belief collapses; steady-state containment operations.
no_leaks_detected belief_chain_intact routine_operations
🚨 Minor Incident $9.1M/yr
6.0% probability / year +$500K vs baseline
Localized leak or staff skepticism event requiring targeted amnestic interventions, PR/legal action, and temporary increased staffing.
isolated_information_leak single_staff_belief_failure
🚨 Major Breach $2.0B/yr
2.0% probability / year +$2.0B vs baseline
Significant collapse of the belief chain or public exposure requiring emergency mobilization, large-scale remediation, and drawing on contingency reserves.
widespread_belief_failure external_exposure containment_activation
👥 Personnel 30 total
Role Count Notes
Actors/Operatives 12 [#5] Perform staged ritual elements and maintain the appearance of daily torture.
Research Scientist 6 [#5, #19] Conduct research into SCP-7159 mechanics and non-belief-based containment; included in core payroll.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 6 [#5] On-site security and access control per staffing model.
Medical Officer / Therapist 2 [#5, #7] Provide medical care and mandatory therapy sessions (base therapist salaries included in core payroll).
Administrative Staff / Site Director 4 [#5, #15] Administrative and director-level oversight, RAISA signoff coordination.
📋 Confidence Notes
Many line items are estimates or ranges and the program’s costs hinge on an inherently fragile, memetic/belief-dependent containment strategy; catastrophic outcomes are poorly quantifiable, producing low confidence in long-run precision.
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