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SCP-7161 Safe ~ medium confidence
SCP-7161
Expected annual
$438K
One-time setup
$712K
Annual recurring
$402K
Personnel
5.25
Initial one-time setup is approximately $712,500 driven by AI integration, contingency funds and remediation reserves; ongoing operations are roughly $401,800/year, dominated by continuous plainclothes guard payroll and monitoring operations.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $712K
Environmental Remediation Contingency $250K
[#14] Contingent remediation (excavation, disposal, groundwater remediation). Highly variable; representative planning estimate.
Contingency And Escalation Fund $100K
[#23] Liquid contingency reserve for unplanned settlements, extended surge staffing, remediation escalation, or O5 interventions.
Collus Aic Development $80K
[#6] One-time development/integration/QA/data-labeling for Collus.AIC monitoring and automated alerting.
Equipment $74K
[#3, #10, #11, #15] Covert exterior camera purchase & concealment, two unmarked vehicles, communications hardware, and initial PPE kits.
Contaminated Soil Disposal Contingent $50K
[#16] Contingent cost for regulated transport and disposal of contaminated soil/lab waste in a non-catastrophic removal.
Surge Deployment Per Activation $45K
[#2] One-month surge deployment cost (5 additional plainclothes guards: short-term pay, travel, lodging, per-diem, equipment, admin).
Municipal Compensation $30K
[#17] One-time compensation/settlement to Horace / municipal arrangements for restricted access or lost use.
Rapid Response Activation Cost $25K
[#19] One-off cost for an MTF/contract rapid-response activation (transport, overtime, special equipment) when called out.
Initial Research And Lab Setup $20K
[#12] Initial hazardous fluid sampling, lab analyses (PCR/TOX/metals/isotopes/bioculture) and chain-of-custody.
Facilities $18K
[#9, #13] Lock upgrades, tamper sensors and installation of environmental monitoring probes/initial baseline testing.
Certification And Vetting Initial $10K
[#8] Initial background checks, psychological screens, procedural training and paperwork for two 4/7161-certified personnel.
Legal Setup Retainer $10K
[#17] One-time legal/setup retainer to arrange access agreements, NDAs and cover-story preparations.
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $402K/yr
Staff Wages $288K/yr
[#1, #5] ~5 FTE plainclothes guards (salaries + ~20% benefits = ~$270,000/yr) and part-time live-feed monitoring/operator (~$18,000/yr).
Research And Monitoring $43K/yr
[#7, #13, #21] Collus.AIC hosting and retraining + 0.25 FTE analyst (~$37,000/yr), recurring soil sampling/lab tests (~$3,000/yr), and secure records retention (~$3,000/yr).
Rapid Response Reserve $25K/yr
[#19] Annual reserve to fund at least one rapid-response/MTF callout (~$25,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $12K/yr
[#17] Ongoing legal liaison/retainer and municipal point-of-contact arrangements (~$12,000/yr).
Logistics And Transport $11K/yr
[#10, #11] Recurring vehicle fuel/insurance/maintenance (~$5,000/yr) and cellular/data/radio plans (~$6,000/yr).
Amnestic And Medical Incident Costs $10K/yr
[#18] Medical evaluation, nonlethal subdual, Class-B amnestic administration and aftercare; budgeted for ~2 civilian incidents/yr (~$10,000/yr).
Periodic Training And Audits $5K/yr
[#20] Quarterly drills and annual external audit (~$5,000/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $4K/yr
[#15, #22, #16] PPE consumables (~$1,000/yr), small consumables/maintenance (~$2,000/yr), routine hazardous-disposal (~$1,000/yr).
Certification Recurring $2K/yr
[#8] Annual re-certification and refresher training for certified personnel (~$2,000/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $2K/yr
[#4, #9] Camera cloud/video retention, firmware/security updates and small repairs (~$1,500/yr) plus sensor telemetry maintenance (~$300/yr).
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $402K/yr
48.0% probability / year
Normal uneventful year with no major incidents; only baseline recurring operations (guards, monitoring, Collus ops, maintenance, liaison, training, incident-average amnestics).
no_social_media_spike no_major_breach routine_operations
🚨 Surge Deployment $447K/yr
40.0% probability / year +$45K vs baseline
Collus.AIC detects a social-media spike triggering a one-month surge of five additional plainclothes guards.
social_media_spike Collus.AIC_alert
🚨 Major Breach $523K/yr
10.0% probability / year +$121K vs baseline
Escalated breach requiring rapid-response mobilization, additional surge staffing, extra amnestic/medical response and emergency legal/operational costs.
physical_breach multiple_civilians_exposed MTF_activation
🚨 Environmental Remediation $702K/yr
2.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline
Contamination discovered requiring excavation, disposal and extensive remediation of soil/groundwater.
contamination_detected regulatory_exposure public_health_risk
👥 Personnel 5.25 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / Plainclothes Guard 5 [#1] Five FTEs to provide continual plainclothes coverage within 400 meters (includes benefits and payroll contingencies).
Surveillance Analyst / Operator (part-time) 0.25 [#5] Part-time live-feed monitoring/analysis position (0.25 FTE equivalent included in staff wage totals).
📋 Confidence Notes
Line-item estimates are drawn directly from analyst notes and reasonable midpoints were chosen for ranges; staffing and recurring costs are well-defined but remediation and contingent legal/settlement costs are highly uncertain, reducing overall confidence.
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