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SCP-7165 Unknown ~ medium confidence
SCP-7165
Expected annual
$2.1M
One-time setup
$1.8M
Annual recurring
$2.1M
Personnel
20
First-year one-time setup and contingency costs are approximately $1,751,500 driven by legal takedowns, HUMINT/covert actions, research setup, and emergency reserves; baseline recurring costs are approximately $2,069,200/year driven primarily by MTF Kappa-43 staffing, continuous monitoring, and ongoing legal/personnel support.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $1.8M
Long Term Humint $400K
[#12] One-time costs for long-term infiltration/HUMINT against GoI-5889 (agent recruitment, cover identities, safehouses).
Initial Research And Lab Setup $250K
[#11] Establish targeted multi-disciplinary research program (memetics, computational linguistics, controlled trials).
Contingency Escalation One Time $250K
[#20] Emergency fund for worst-case anomalous escalation, site-level lockdown, mass medical care and quarantine.
Data Privacy Liability One Time $200K
[#22] One-time reserve for data-privacy liability, potential settlements or initial legal defense costs.
Domain Takedown Legal Reserve $110K
[#3] Registrar/dehost takedown attempts and international cyber-legal counsel reserve.
Psychological Initial Reserve $100K
[#9] Initial reserve for counseling, amnestic stocks and medical observation if multiple staff require treatment.
Bribery Reserve One Time $100K
[#19] Contingency reserve for negotiation/bribery/purchase of operator cooperation if required.
Covert Cyber Ops $88K
[#4] Covert domain sinkhole/hijack operations, red-team infrastructure and OPSEC/deniability costs.
Initial Dfir Team $80K
[#1] One-time contract DFIR & incident response team (2–3 senior DFIR, 1 malware analyst, 1 OSINT investigator for 4–8 weeks).
Hr Cover Story One Time $60K
[#10] Immediate one-time leak-response, tailored cover-story campaigns, and PR/legal onboarding for an incident.
Data Protection It Changes One Time $40K
[#14] Audit and one-time modifications to internal HR/dating systems, prophylactic patches, and account-hygiene measures.
Training Development One Time $40K
[#17] One-time development of dating-safety protocol, materials, and initial instructor costs.
Equipment $15K
[#13] Secure air-gapped archival servers and physical vault media for evidence storage (one-time purchase).
Honeypot Setup $15K
[#5] One-time setup of honeypot/decoy/profiling accounts and initial tooling for active counter-influence research.
Domain Procurement One Time $4K
[#15] Purchase of alternative domains and controlled mirrors (defensive registration / initial hosting).
Facilities $0
[]
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $2.1M/yr
Staff Wages $1.5M/yr
[#6] MTF Kappa-43 operational budget (dedicated ~10–15 personnel; salaries/benefits, equipment, travel, training).
Research And Monitoring $192K/yr
[#2, #11, #15, #17] Continuous domain/traffic monitoring compute + ML inference and on-call engineer, recurring research program costs, defensive hosting/mirror maintenance, and training refreshers.
Personnel Monitoring $115K/yr
[#8] Recurring costs for discreet monitoring, part-time security detail, surveillance and tech monitoring for targeted personnel.
Cover Story And Legal $80K/yr
[#10, #22] Ongoing PR/legal/HR costs for cover stories, leak management, and routine litigation defense budget.
Psychological Support $50K/yr
[#9] Ongoing counseling, medical follow-ups, targeted amnestic administration per affected personnel averaged across year.
Administrative Overhead $50K/yr
[#21] Ongoing project management, periodic audits, compliance and inter-site coordination overhead.
Logistics And Transport $20K/yr
[#7] Baseline reserve for emergency rapid-response deployments (tactical transport, overtime, evidence collection) averaged over year.
Social Media Suppression $20K/yr
[#16] Baseline annual reserve for social-media suppression and influence operations readiness; scales up during active campaigns.
Facilities Maintenance $15K/yr
[#8] Ongoing physical-security modifications and maintenance related to protective detail for targeted staff.
Honeypot Operations $15K/yr
[#5] Ongoing operation and monitoring of decoy accounts, staff time, and account churn management (~$500–$2,000/month).
Supplies And Consumables $7K/yr
[#13] Secure archival storage ongoing costs (cloud/air-gapped media rotation, vault storage rentals) estimated at ~$100–$1,000/month.
Prisoner Handling Reserve $5K/yr
[#18] Small expected annualized reserve for detainee processing/debriefing/legal handling averaged over time.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $2.1M/yr
78.0% probability / year
Normal year with continuous monitoring, research, MTF readiness, and periodic training; no major incidents or international legal escalations.
no major incidents monitoring alerts only routine staffing and upkeep
🚨 Minor Incident $2.2M/yr
20.0% probability / year +$165K vs baseline
Localized incident: one in-person memetic/phenomenal exposure or targeted harassment requiring a rapid deployment, limited legal action, and short-term staff medical/psych support.
single in-person exposure limited rapid-response deployment short-term legal/PR response
🚨 Major Breach $3.1M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline
Significant escalation: adversarial GoI resistance, cross-border legal battles, major covert cyber-ops, HUMINT activation, or anomalous cascade requiring site-level emergency response.
international GoI involvement failed legal takedown requiring covert ops anomalous escalation / site lockdown
👥 Personnel 20 total
Role Count Notes
Security Officer / MTF Agent 12 [#6] MTF Kappa-43 dedicated team for in-person interventions, undercover work, logistics and readiness.
Research Scientist 3 [#11] Memetics experts, computational linguists and dating-app engineers supporting the research program.
DFIR / OSINT Analysts (FTE-equivalent) 2 [#1, #2] Ongoing on-call DFIR/OSINT capacity for monitoring and incident follow-up (initial team was temporary).
Engineer / Maintenance 1 [#2] On-call engineer to tune monitoring models, maintain VMs/containers and monitoring infrastructure.
Medical Officer 1 [#9] Medical and psychiatric officer to administer amnestics, oversee counseling and aftercare.
Administrative Staff 1 [#10, #21] Project management, HR coordination, and cover-story/PR liaison duties.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges and clear operational drivers (monitoring, MTF staffing, legal/HUMINT contingencies) allowing a reasoned cost model, but many high-cost items are conditional (GoI operations, anomalous escalation) and carry wide ranges, producing moderate confidence.
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