SCP-7169 — SCP-7169 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7169 Safe ~ medium confidence

SCP-7169

Expected annual

$4.7M

One-time setup

$5.4M

Annual recurring

$4.6M

Personnel

Initial one-time containment and covert access setup is estimated at approximately $5.4M, driven primarily by covert access, network integration, and a large contingency reserve; ongoing annual costs are ~ $4.62M driven by staffing, monitoring, legal/PR, and network enforcement.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $5.4M

Contingency Reserve $3.0M

[#16] Reserved emergency fund for escalation, rapid procurement, neutralization, or major containment upgrades.

Network Integration $800K

[#4] One-time integration costs to implement ISP/platform-level filtering and backend firewall/IPS insertion.

Covert Webcrawler Development $500K

[#1] Development, integration, obfuscation, QA, covert deployment planning for Foundation webcrawler embedded in Tinder.

Tinder Access $500K

[#2] Payments, legal arrangements, NDAs, or insider placement to obtain write/access to Tinder source or deployment path.

Residence Security Upgrades $150K

[#19] One-time physical security upgrades for at-risk staff residences (safe rooms, reinforcing, cameras) for a small cohort.

Equipment $120K

[#3] Dedicated servers and secure storage hardware (air-gapped/mirrored) and related hardware purchases.

Legal Incident Response $100K

[#7] Per-incident legal/litigation costs reserved as one-time expenditures for complex vendor negotiations or lawsuits.

Cassidy Investigation $100K

[#12] Forensic investigation, scene stabilization, lab analysis, and potential MTF field operations related to Terrance Cassidy disappearance.

Mdm Rollout $50K

[#8] One-time Mobile Device Management rollout, training, policy rollout and legal signoffs for Foundation devices.

Sop Development $40K

[#9] One-time development of SOPs, training materials, drills and documentation for no-contact policies and reporting.

Archival Setup $40K

[#21] Hardened archival system setup for long-term secure storage of logs, legal memos, and chain-of-custody records.

Facilities $0

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Initial Research And Lab Setup $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $4.6M/yr

Opportunity Cost Overhead $770K/yr

[#22] Administrative overhead and program-level management (estimated at ~20% of operating budget).

Staff Wages $750K/yr

[#5] Dedicated cyber-ops team salaries, benefits, on-call rotas (senior engineer + analysts + overhead).

Logistics And Transport $600K/yr

[#13] MTF rapid-response rotation costs (vehicles, equipment, training, emergency housing) funded annually.

Research And Monitoring $500K/yr

[#15] Ongoing scientific monitoring, telescope/radio time, telemetry and covert funding to steer civilian research.

Cover Story And Legal $300K/yr

[#7] Legal retainer, ongoing counsel, FOIA responses and baseline vendor negotiations (includes budgeted per-year incident allowance).

Network Monitoring $300K/yr

[#4] Ongoing coordination, enforcement, and monitoring costs to maintain ISP/platform-level filters and network blocks.

Social Media Monitoring $300K/yr

[#6] Web scraping, takedowns, counter-narratives and staffing/tools for monitoring social media and civilian discovery.

Insurance And Liaisons $300K/yr

[#18] Indemnity funds, payments to cooperating agencies, and insurance against legal exposure.

Record Sanitization $200K/yr

[#17] Ongoing costs to sanitize public records, remove search results, and manage cross-jurisdictional takedowns.

Pr Cover Operations $150K/yr

[#20] Media purchases, influence ops, and grants to steer civilian attention away from the anomaly.

Covert Webcrawler Maintenance $100K/yr

[#1] Ongoing maintenance, updates, obfuscation, rollback testing for the crawler embedded in third-party services.

Amnestics $100K/yr

[#11] Budget for amnestic courses, medical administration and monitoring (average annual volume allocation).

Internal Surveillance $80K/yr

[#10] Camera audits, IT audit tools and staff to enforce device/policy compliance.

Psych Support $50K/yr

[#14] Counseling, debriefing, and mental-health monitoring for exposed or near-miss staff.

Continuous Monitoring Operations $30K/yr

[#3] Hosting, power, backups, encryption key management and disaster recovery for monitoring servers.

Archival Maintenance $30K/yr

[#21] Annual costs for secure archival storage, staff, and compliance maintenance.

Mdm Licensing $20K/yr

[#8] Per-device licensing and management costs for MDM on ~200 Foundation devices.

Training Refreshers $20K/yr

[#9] Annual refresher training and drills for staff on reporting protocols and no-contact policies.

Residence Security Maintenance $20K/yr

[#19] Maintenance and occasional upgrades for staff residence security installations.

Facilities Maintenance $0/yr

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Supplies And Consumables $0/yr

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⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $4.6M/yr

85.0% probability / year

Normal year with ongoing containment, monitoring, legal retainer, and routine operations with no major incidents.

no public exposure no major incidents regular monitoring and maintenance

🚨 Minor Incident $4.9M/yr

12.0% probability / year +$300K vs baseline

Localized exposure or discovery requiring legal action, targeted PR push, a small amnestic response and short-term increased monitoring.

single public mention/viral post minor legal challenge one or two amnestic procedures

🚨 Major Breach $6.8M/yr

3.0% probability / year +$2.2M vs baseline

Significant breach or escalation requiring large-scale legal/PR response, MTF deployments, and use of contingency funds for rapid containment upgrades.

large-scale public exposure coordinated platform compromise physical manifestations/abductions

👥 Personnel 4 total

Role	Count	Notes
Senior Security Engineer	1	[#5] Senior engineer responsible for webcrawler architecture, obfuscation, and ops.
Cyber Analyst	3	[#5] Analysts who monitor crawler alerts, perform traffic/NLP analysis, and update signatures; on-call rotation staffing included.

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed line-item ranges enabling mid-range point estimates, but many costs (covert access methods, legal exposure frequency, contingency drawdowns) are inherently uncertain, so medium confidence is appropriate.

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