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SCP-7178 Keter ~ medium confidence
SCP-7178
Expected annual
$8.3M
One-time setup
$6.2M
Annual recurring
$8.0M
Personnel
53
One-time setup and lab/production fit-out dominate upfront costs (~$6.2M), while personnel (field agents, monitoring operators, researchers) and personnel overhead drive recurring costs (~$8.03M/yr). Major cost drivers are staff wages/overhead, research/lab setup, contingency reserves, legal/cover budgets, and emergency monitoring infrastructure.
🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $6.2M
Initial Research And Lab Setup $2.2M
[#6, #9] Research lab fit-out & instruments (midpoint $2,000,000) + amnestic production/validation infrastructure ($250,000).
Contingency Fund $2.0M
[#19] Minimum capital reserve for escalations and mass-exposure responses (maintained as one-time reserve).
Facilities $1.0M
[#8, #10, #11] Vault/inventory ($200k), replica bedroom build (midpoint $300k), one safehouse outfitting ($500k).
Equipment $950K
[#1, #3, #4, #14, #15, #17] Emergency-call servers/gateways ($150k), vehicles & outfitting ($350k), covert props initial stock ($75k), intelligence software ($200k), field comms equipment ($75k), IT air-gapped hardware ($100k).
🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $8.0M/yr
Staff Wages $4.4M/yr
[#2, #3, #5, #9, #14] Base salaries (monitoring operators/supervisors $840k, rapid-response agents $2,040k, child psychologists/social workers $430k, research staff portion ~$800k, intelligence analysts ~$250k).
Personnel Overhead $1.3M/yr
[#18] Benefits/insurance/pensions at ~30% of estimated payroll (30% of ~$4,360,000 ≈ $1,308,000/yr).
Cover Story And Legal $600K/yr
[#13] Baseline legal/PR/cover budgets (liaison lawyers, disinformation, small settlements) midpoint of $300k–$1M/yr.
Research And Monitoring $400K/yr
[#9, #7, #14] Non-salary research consumables, lab consumables, testing, model maintenance and external analysis (~$400k/yr).
Facilities Maintenance $250K/yr
[#8, #10, #11] Vault & storage operations ($50k/yr), one safehouse operations/staffing ($200k/yr). Replica bedroom baseline ops not assumed in baseline.
Intelligence And Analysis $250K/yr
[#14] Data feeds, modeling maintenance, and 2–3 analysts (~$200–300k/yr; midpoint used).
Logistics And Transport $240K/yr
[#3, #16] Vehicle maintenance & fuel ($40k/yr) + annual travel/charter budget (mid $200k/yr).
Supplies And Consumables $225K/yr
[#4, #7, #20] Field medical testing & PPE budget ($150k/yr), covert props replacement ($25k/yr) and miscellaneous incident consumables ($50k–$100k; midpoint $75k/yr).
Emergency Call Center Operations $200K/yr
[#1] Monitoring center recurring ops: licenses, bandwidth, integration maintenance (~$200k/yr).
Amnestic Consumables $100K/yr
[#6] Per-dose amnestic costs assumed 100 doses/yr at ~$1,000/dose (~$100k/yr) (excludes administering staff wages included in payroll).
It Security Operations $50K/yr
[#17] Audits, secure-storage costs and memetic-safe archival upkeep (~$50k/yr).
Covert Props Replacement $25K/yr
[#4] Ongoing replacement of fake badges, uniforms, decoy vehicle consumables (~$25k/yr).
Field Comms Maintenance $25K/yr
[#15] Maintenance, airtime and replacements for field comms (~$25k/yr).
Shadowing Program $0/yr
[#12] Long-term 24/7 shadowing per-child cost exists but is not implemented in baseline; included as zero here and modeled as a scenario under cost_scenarios.
Contingency Fund Replenishment $0/yr
[#19] Replenishment only if contingency is spent; set to 0 in baseline.
⚡ Cost Scenarios
📊 Baseline (baseline) $8.0M/yr
63.0% probability / year
Normal operational year with monitoring, rapid response, research baseline and legal/cover budgets active; no major incidents or policy shifts.
routine monitoring regular incidents managed no public exposure
🚨 Minor Incident $8.4M/yr
30.0% probability / year +$400K vs baseline
A local exposure or difficult case requiring extra legal settlements, overtime, and increased amnestic use.
local leak/exposure high-profile family complaint
🚨 Major Breach $13.0M/yr
2.0% probability / year +$5.0M vs baseline
Significant public exposure or containment escalation requiring mass remediation, large settlements, emergency construction and recruitment.
mass public disclosure large-scale litigation urgent temporary containment construction
🚨 Full Shadowing Program $9.7M/yr
5.0% probability / year +$1.7M vs baseline
Administrative decision to implement long-term 24/7 shadowing for ~10 at-risk children (full containment policy shift).
policy decision for active full containment identification of multiple high-risk minors
👥 Personnel 53 total
Role Count Notes
Monitoring Operator 12 [#2] 12 operators to staff 24/7 monitoring center (three shifts).
Monitoring Supervisor 2 [#2] Supervisory staff for monitoring center.
Security Officer / MTF Agent 24 [#3] 3 regional rapid-response teams × 8 agents = 24 field agents.
Research Scientist 6 [#9] Multi-disciplinary research team (biomechanics, neuroscience, memetics) supporting study and lab work.
Child Psychologist 2 [#5] On-call child psychologists for immediate and follow-up care.
Social Worker 4 [#5] Social workers for aftercare and family liaison.
Intelligence Analyst 3 [#14] Data analysts/modelers for pattern analysis and risk mapping.
📋 Confidence Notes
Analyst notes provide itemized estimates for most categories; however several values required mid-point assumptions, staff/research splits, and discretionary policy choices (e.g., shadowing, bedroom experiments), so totals have moderate uncertainty.
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