SCP-7202 — SCP-7202 | Cost Breakdown

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SCP-7202 Unknown ~ medium confidence

SCP-7202

Expected annual

$2.1M

One-time setup

$2.4M

Annual recurring

$1.9M

Personnel

One-time capital and contingency costs (diagnostics, HVAC retrofit, potential relocation) total roughly $2.36M, while recurring annual costs are about $1.88M, driven mainly by medical staffing and lost productivity.

🏗️ One-Time Capital Costs Total: $2.4M

Relocation And Decommissioning $2.0M

[#20] Contingency for partial/full relocation of ~200 people for ~6 months / new facility decommissioning or rebuild example (~$2M temporary relocation).

Initial Research And Lab Setup $175K

[#5, #9] Initial diagnostic testing/metagenomics and initial epidemiological/internal study (example medians: $75k + $100k).

Facilities $120K

[#7] HVAC filtration/UV-C retrofit capital costs (mid-range example).

It System Development $40K

[#8] One-time development/configuration of electronic reporting/EMR/symptom dashboard.

Training Rollout $12K

[#22] One-time initial training for first responders and supervisors.

Communications Rollout $10K

[#16] One-time design and rollout of internal communications, signage, and information campaign.

Equipment $0

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🔄 Annual Recurring Costs Total: $1.9M/yr

Lost Productivity $800K/yr

[#11] Estimated productivity loss (~$4k/affected employee × 200 symptomatic = ~$800k/yr).

Staff Wages $658K/yr

[#2, #3, #18] Loaded RN staffing for 24/7 EWS (~4 FTEs loaded $416k) + contract dentist (~$112.5k) + additional security coverage (~$130k).

Increased Sick Leave And Replacement Staffing $150K/yr

[#12] Extra sick leave / replacement staffing and OT (mid-range estimate ~$120–200k/yr).

Cover Story And Legal $75K/yr

[#17] Legal/PR retainer for cover-story and counsel (baseline retainer example).

Insurance And Compliance $40K/yr

[#21] Increased insurance premiums, workers' comp, and compliance audits (~$20–100k/yr; example $40k).

Research And Monitoring $36K/yr

[#6] Ongoing environmental monitoring (monthly/quarterly sampling and lab fees, example ~$36k/yr).

Hr Accommodations And Admin $35K/yr

[#13] Disability accommodations, HR admin, and case management (~$20–60k/yr plus per-case management).

Dental Treatment Escalation $30K/yr

[#14] Contingency for periodontal therapy/specialist referrals for progressed cases (example ~$30k/yr).

Supplies And Consumables $22K/yr

[#1, #4, #15] OTC oral gels (~$6k), EWS consumables (~$4.5k), increased PPE/hygiene supplies (~$12k).

Waste Disposal $12K/yr

[#19] Regulated clinical/biohazard waste disposal contract (~$12k/yr example).

Facilities Maintenance $10K/yr

[#7] Ongoing HVAC filter replacements / maintenance (estimated mid-range).

It Hosting And Support $8K/yr

[#8] Annual hosting/support for EMR/symptom tracking and dashboards.

Communications And Training Refreshers $5K/yr

[#16, #22] Annual refreshers for communications and supervisor/first-responder training (~$2–3k and ~$2–3k respectively).

Logistics And Transport $0/yr

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Optional Cure Research Program $0/yr

[#10] Long-term cure/trial program costs are highly variable; not included in baseline recurring estimate (captured instead in adverse scenario).

⚡ Cost Scenarios

📊 Baseline (baseline) $1.9M/yr

80.0% probability / year

Normal year with ongoing monitoring, EWS staffing, consumables, and routine HR/legal overhead; no major relocation or scale-up of cure research.

steady symptomatic prevalence no major incident standard monitoring and care

🚨 Minor Incident $2.0M/yr

10.0% probability / year +$100K vs baseline

Short-term spike in cases or localized contamination requiring extra testing, overtime, and temporary containment measures.

temporary case spike increased lab testing overtime staffing

🚨 Research Breakthrough Requiring Scale Up $2.9M/yr

4.0% probability / year +$1.0M vs baseline

Decision to actively pursue cure/clinical trials with multi-year research program and initial scale-up costs.

launch of cure research program preclinical/clinical trial initiation procurement of trial materials

🚨 Partial Relocation $3.9M/yr

6.0% probability / year +$2.0M vs baseline

Partial or full relocation of affected residents/staff and associated temporary housing/transport costs.

failure to identify/remediate source health/safety escalation operational decision to vacate site

👥 Personnel 7 total

Role	Count	Notes
Registered Nurse (EWS)	4	[#2] 24/7 EWS coverage requiring ~3–4 FTE RNs (loaded cost ~$104k/FTE).
Contract Dentist (part-time)	1	[#3] Contract dentist ~2 days/week (budgeted as 1 part-time contract position, ~$112.5k/yr).
Security Officer / MTF Agent	2	[#18] Additional security coverage (1–2 FTEs; budgeted as 2 FTE equivalence, loaded ~$130k total).

📋 Confidence Notes

Analyst notes provide detailed mid-range estimates for a 500-person site; major uncertainties remain around optional research costs, exact symptom prevalence variability, and the probability/timing of relocation or large-scale remediation.

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